Dovish or Not? Central Banks Set the Tone for Year-End
In this episode of AIB Market Talk, host Joanne McCabe from AIB’s Customer Treasury Services team is joined by Senior Economist John Fahey to unpack the latest developments in global financial markets.Tune in as they discuss:The outcomes of recent ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve meetings, including policy decisions and market surprises.Why the ECB remains steady, the Fed delivered a rate cut but with less dovish guidance, and the Bank of England signals a possible cut in December.The impact of the US government shutdown on monetary policy and market data, and how its resolution could influence the Fed’s next move.Currency market trends, with a focus on the US dollar’s renewed momentum, euro-dollar forecasts, and the factors shaping sterling’s outlook ahead of the UK budget.Insights into interest rate expectations for the eurozone, US, UK, and Japan, and what these mean for investors and businesses as we approach year-end.Whether you’re a business leader, investor, or simply keen to stay informed, this episode delivers expert analysis on the forces driving today’s markets. Subscribe to AIB Market Talk for regular updates and insights from AIB’s team of specialists.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
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Ireland’s Services Surge as Manufacturing Stalls
Join host Sarah McGinley from AIB Treasury and AIB Chief Economist David McNamara for the latest PMIs edition of AIB Market Talk. In this episode, they unpack the latest AIB Ireland Manufacturing and Services PMI data for October, exploring:Why services sector activity has rebounded to its strongest level this year, and what’s driving the surgeThe shift in manufacturing trends, with growth easing after a strong start to 2025Insights into export markets, including the impact of weaker demand in Europe and ongoing tariff uncertaintiesSector highlights: robust growth in business, financial, and technology services, and the evolving role of AI in employment trendsForward-looking business sentiment and what the latest PMI figures signal for Ireland’s economic outlookVisit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
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Navigating Volatility: What’s Driving FX and Central Banks this Autumn?
Join host Mark McKevitt from AIB’s Customer Treasury Team and AIB Senior Economist John Fahey for the October Market Moves edition of AIB Market Talk. In this episode, they break down the latest developments in the financial markets, including:Recent shifts in the euro, dollar, and yen, and the drivers behind currency movementsThe impact of political events, such as the resignation of the French Prime Minister and leadership changes in JapanWhat to expect from the upcoming UK and Eurozone budgets, and their implications for fiscal sustainabilityCentral bank outlooks: ECB, Bank of England, and US Federal Reserve rate expectations for the coming monthsKey forecasts for EUR/USD and EUR/GBP through year-end and into 2026 Whether you’re a business leader, investor, or simply interested in market trends, this episode offers clear, expert insights to help you stay informed.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
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Resilience in Focus for Irish PMIs
Join Joanne McCabe and Chief Economist David McNamara as they break down the latest AIB Irish Manufacturing and Services PMI data. The pair discuss key trends in sector growth, export dynamics, employment shifts, and the impact of global events on Ireland’s economy. Listen to our Treasury team as they talk insights into the resilience of Irish business as we enter the final quarter of 2025, with a spotlight on standout sectors and the outlook for the months ahead.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
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Central Banks in Focus: ECB Holds, Fed Cuts
As global markets brace for pivotal central bank decisions, this episode dives into the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, where a potential rate cut could signal a shift in U.S. monetary policy. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank holds steady, opting to keep rates unchanged despite persistent inflation concerns. What do these diverging strategies mean for investors, businesses, and the broader economy? Join our Chief Economist, David McNamara, and Sarah McGinley from our Treasury team, as they unpack the implications, explore market reactions, and discuss what’s next for global financial markets.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
AIB Market Talk features a bi-weekly discussion including our Economists and Treasury experts, providing you with specialist insight into the prevailing topics impacting Financial Markets. Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. You can subscribe to the series or download individual episodes via iTunes, Android and Soundcloud.
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