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Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp

Warren Sharp
Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp
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  • Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp

    NFL Win Total Draft 2026: The Teams We Trust Most

    03/09/2026 | 1h 22 mins.
    2026 NFL win totals, drafted. Three analysts pick 30 of the 32 teams in snake order by who will win the most games this season, with the schedule, roster and coaching reasons behind every pick and the two teams nobody wanted.
    Get 25 percent off every package with code TAKE25: https://sharp.football
    Ten rounds, thirty picks, two teams left on the board. Every pick comes with a case for the team, a case against it, and the win total number the market put on it. The back half covers the two teams nobody drafted, the picks that could look dumb by December, the Week 1 games where the drafters go head to head, and the strength of schedule tool that will update every week of the season.
    What You'll Learn
    • Which teams three analysts trust most for wins in 2026, in the order they were taken
    • Why the defending Super Bowl champions and the runners-up both lasted past the second round
    • The field goal luck and one-score record that explain one team's 2025
    • Why a team coming off a Super Bowl loss went in the fourth round
    • The late-season schedule that flattered a young quarterback's finish last year
    • Which teams sit in a brutal division, and which ones drew the easy runs
    • The four Week 1 games where two drafters own opposite sidelines
    • The two teams nobody drafted, and why
    Chapters
    00:00 Welcome, and what a win total draft is
    00:46 The Merril Hoge and Skip Bayless clip
    03:22 Why the analysis has to be researched
    04:32 Meet the drafters, and the two-time champ
    06:59 How the draft works
    08:30 Round 1
    09:39 The code for 25 percent off
    17:13 Round 2
    21:50 Round 3
    25:12 Round 4
    31:27 Round 5
    39:46 Round 6
    41:19 The Splash Sports pick five contest
    46:15 Round 7
    50:42 Round 8
    57:49 Round 9
    1:06:35 Round 10
    1:10:44 The two teams nobody drafted
    1:14:23 Which picks could look dumb
    1:15:42 Week 1 head to head games
    1:18:08 Which teams were under-drafted, and the projected totals
    1:20:33 The strength of schedule tool
    1:21:32 Wrap, and the packages
    Watch the video version on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XjCqN1RcX0w
    Splash Sports Pick 5 Contest
    Code SHARP, $100 entry, enter by September 13: https://splashsports.com/sharp
    Today's Drafters
    Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball
    Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/LordReebs
    Raymond Summerlin, Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/RMSummerlin
    More Resources
    All packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/
    Futures packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/futures-package/
    The 2026 Football Preview book: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/
    Follow Us
    YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis
    X: https://x.com/SharpFootball
    Website: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com

    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
  • Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp

    NFL Player Props 2026: Our 12 Favorite Bets

    02/09/2026 | 1h 4 mins.
    Twelve NFL player props and futures for the 2026 season from four Sharp Football analysts, with the schedule, target and blocking-scheme numbers behind them.

    Get the full props and futures packages at sharpfootballanalysis.com/props.

    Players and teams discussed: Josh Allen, D.J. Moore, Dalton Kincaid, Carnell Tate, Cam Ward, Elic Ayomanor, Rome Odunze, Jonathan Taylor, Jordan Love, Micah Parsons, Josh Jacobs, David Montgomery, Woody Marks, Christian Watson, Jayden Reed, Matthew Golden, Jaylen Waddle, Javonte Williams, Chase Brown, Baker Mayfield and Bucky Irving.

    WHAT YOU WILL LEARN

    • Why Buffalo's schedule of opposing offenses swings hard in the other direction this season

    • The quarterback who has hit a 5 percent touchdown rate in each of the last six seasons, and why nobody else over that stretch has

    • What happened to D.J. Moore's target quality in Chicago, and what changes now

    • Why a rookie wide receiver's reception floor depends on his quarterback's accuracy downfield

    • The 50 yard per game gap between one running back's wins and losses over the last two seasons

    • Why one of the run heaviest offenses in the league may be forced to throw more

    • Where one running back ranked among 44 backs on man blocking runs last season

    • How a Green Bay receiver's usage changed over the last three or four weeks of last season

    • What Denver's first half early down air yards this preseason say about the offense they are about to run

    • Two division futures, and the prices Warren was seeing when this was recorded

    CHAPTERS

    00:00 Welcome, and what the show is

    00:28 Who is on today, and the 25 percent off code

    02:09 Rich Hribar joins, and the case for more Buffalo passing

    03:51 The first angle, Josh Allen and the end zone

    05:00 The schedule swing that could change the Bills defense

    06:49 The first receiver, D.J. Moore and his target quality

    09:29 Dalton Kincaid at tight end, health and routes

    13:29 Ray Summerlin joins, a draft story and the rankings tool

    18:05 Ray's first bet, Carnell Tate and Cam Ward

    23:45 Ray's second bet, Jonathan Taylor and the Colts

    28:19 Ray's third bet, Jordan Love and a run heavy offense

    31:52 What Green Bay's defense does to the game script

    36:16 Curtis Hirsch joins, and a Cowboys curveball

    39:28 Curtis's first bet, David Montgomery to Houston

    43:44 Curtis's second bet, Christian Watson in Green Bay

    46:34 Curtis's third bet, Jaylen Waddle to Denver

    52:16 Warren's turn, and why some of his numbers already moved

    53:17 Chase Brown and the Bengals ground game

    55:22 The first division future

    58:26 The second division future

    1:03:53 Twelve futures, one show

    Watch the video version on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qaZ6bZJN4hY

    GUESTS

    Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis — @LordReebs

    Raymond Summerlin, Sharp Football Analysis — @RMSummerlin

    Curtis Hirsch, Sharp Football Analysis — @curtisharsch

    Hosted by Warren Sharp — @SharpFootball

    MORE RESOURCES
    Season long player props
    Futures packages
    The 2026 Football Preview book
    All packages

    Follow Us

    YouTube • X • sharpfootballanalysis.com

    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
  • Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp

    10 Fantasy Football Value Targets with JJ Zachariason

    28/08/2026 | 1h 8 mins.
    Fantasy football draft targets for 2026 - ten players Rich Hribar and JJ Zachariason are drafting this season, with the route rates, target share, red zone usage and ADP behind every pick.

    Get the fantasy football bundle for $99 with code BUNDLE, the draft kit plus the full regular season, normally $190: https://sharp.football

    Rich Hribar is joined by JJ Zachariason of Late-Round Fantasy Football for the sixth year of their targets and avoids trade off. JJ brings Chase Brown, Malik Willis, Jaylen Waddle, Dalton Kincaid and Stefon Diggs. Rich brings DeVonta Smith, Justin Herbert, Christian Watson, D.J. Moore and Jordan Mason, plus a detour on whether Josh Allen is worth the pick this year.

    What You'll Learn:

    • Why a running back with almost nothing changing around him is the most stable early pick on their boards

    • The wide receiver whose splits without his old teammate have been absurd every time we get them

    • A quarterback going outside the top 20 who only needs his legs to finish as a QB1

    • Why one of the league's best arms is being priced like a backup on some platforms

    • The receiver who just walked into a fifth-in-pass-attempts offense and a role the last guy could not hold

    • The receiver whose two biggest target competitors are both off the roster

    • The tight end who led his position in fantasy points per route and still finished TE10

    • The one thing veterans who beat their ADP kept having in common, and the counter-case against it

    • The veteran whose route share, not his ability, is the only thing holding him back

    • How to find a late-round running back who can actually take over a backfield

    Chapters:

    0:00 Intro

    1:01 1. Chase Brown, RB Bengals

    6:57 2. DeVonta Smith, WR Eagles

    10:49 The fantasy football bundle, code BUNDLE

    12:57 3. Malik Willis, QB Dolphins

    21:13 4. Justin Herbert, QB Chargers

    26:54 5. Jaylen Waddle, WR Broncos

    31:58 6. Christian Watson, WR Packers

    36:43 7. Dalton Kincaid, TE Bills

    42:42 8. D.J. Moore, WR Bills

    50:55 Is Josh Allen worth the pick this year

    54:03 9. Stefon Diggs, WR Commanders

    1:01:07 10. Jordan Mason, RB Vikings

    1:07:22 Wrap up

    Watch this episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p23yJHEL3AI

    Promo code BUNDLE gets the fantasy football bundle for $99 at Sharp Football Analysis.

    Today's Guest:

    JJ Zachariason, Late-Round Fantasy Football. Last week on his channel they gave you the ten players they are avoiding.

    More Resources:

    Fantasy packages, the draft kit and the worksheet: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy-packages/

    Late-Round Fantasy Football: https://lateround.com

    Rich Hribar on X: https://x.com/LordReebs

    JJ Zachariason on X: https://x.com/LateRoundQB

    Follow Us

    X: https://x.com/SharpFootball

    Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfootball/

    TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfootballanalysis

    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
  • Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp

    College Football Win Totals: Best OVER/UNDER Picks for 2026

    27/08/2026 | 31 mins.
    College football win totals and futures for the 2026 season — six win total bets across the Big 12, the ACC and the SEC, with every number, every price and the schedule spot that decides each one.

    Get everything at Sharp Football Analysis and take 20% off sitewide with promo code SHOW20: https://sharp.football

    Warren Sharp is joined by Sharp Football college betting analyst Ryan McCrystal for six 2026 futures before Week Zero: Cincinnati under 5.5 wins, Virginia over 7.5, Georgia Tech under 6.5, Cal over 6.5, Ole Miss to miss the College Football Playoff, and the best bet of the show, LSU over 8.5 wins.

    What You'll Learn:

    • The quarterback change that decides Cincinnati's season, and why it is worth more than a win

    • How to read a Virginia schedule that did not get harder, and the NIL money behind the rest of the case

    • What happens to a Georgia Tech offense when the coordinator, the starter and the backup all leave in one offseason

    • Why Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele raises the floor at Cal, not just the ceiling

    • What a first-year head coach and a brutal five-game stretch mean for Ole Miss and the College Football Playoff

    • What Lane Kiffin built at LSU in the transfer portal, and how the schedule sets up

    • The difference between an 8.5-win total and a 9.5-win total, and why one game is worth so much

    Chapters:

    0:00 Welcome

    0:35 Six win totals with Ryan McCrystal

    2:27 Cincinnati Bearcats

    6:03 Virginia Cavaliers

    10:36 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

    14:59 20% off sitewide, code SHOW20

    15:59 Cal Golden Bears

    20:36 The odds, book by book

    21:29 Ole Miss Rebels

    25:31 LSU Tigers, the best bet of the show

    27:09 Inside the LSU schedule

    29:49 Why one win changes everything

    30:13 The Friday betting show is back

    Watch this episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HMitDmnuLXA

    Promo code SHOW20 for 20% off everything at Sharp Football Analysis.

    More Resources:

    Betting packages, fantasy analysis, the draft kit and the 2026 Football Preview book: https://sharp.football

    Ryan McCrystal on X: https://x.com/Ryan_McCrystal

    Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball

    Follow Us

    X: https://x.com/SharpFootball

    Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfootball/

    TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfootballanalysis

    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
  • Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp

    NFL Preseason Week 2: QBs, Injuries and Cut Candidates

    27/08/2026 | 1h 2 mins.
    NFL preseason Week 2 is over and five of the six quarterback situations on this tape look bad — plus beat-reporter intel from the 32BeatWriters network before final roster cuts.

    Get everything at Sharp Football Analysis and take 20% off sitewide with promo code SHOW20: https://sharp.football

    Warren Sharp walks the quarterback tape from preseason Week 2 — Deshaun Watson named the Browns starter, Cam Ward's rough two weeks in Tennessee, Bryce Young still on a leash, Bo Nix letting it rip in Denver, Fernando Mendoza under pressure in Las Vegas, and Aaron Rodgers giving Mike McCarthy nothing downfield. Then Matt Olson of 32BeatWriters and Raymond Summerlin join for beat-reporter intel before final cuts: the Ashton Jeanty ankle and what it means for Mike Washington, the rookie receivers still going undrafted, 21 new offensive coordinators, what Pete Carmichael changes in Buffalo, and the trade and cut candidates worth tracking.

    What You'll Learn:

    • Why Cleveland picking Deshaun Watson is not the same thing as Watson winning a quarterback battle

    • Where Cam Ward ranks against the only four quarterbacks with real preseason volume

    • The three offenses that have changed the most through two preseason games

    • What the Ashton Jeanty ankle means for Mike Washington and the Raiders backfield

    • Which under-the-radar rookie receivers the beat reporters are actually hearing about

    • What Pete Carmichael changes about James Cook and the Buffalo passing game

    • The running back injuries and cut candidates that move a depth chart before final cuts

    Chapters:

    0:00 Today's show

    1:55 The 3 offenses that changed the most

    5:06 Deshaun Watson named the Browns starter

    8:56 De'Zhaun Stribling's usage problem

    12:46 Cam Ward: two rough weeks

    16:10 Managing Bryce Young

    18:40 Bo Nix letting it rip

    20:20 Fernando Mendoza thrown to the fire

    24:30 Aaron Rodgers x Mike McCarthy

    28:49 20% off sitewide, code SHOW20

    29:41 Matt of 32BeatWriters + Ray Summerlin join

    31:31 Stribling and Ja'Kobi Lane

    36:28 Under-the-radar rookie WRs

    39:37 Ashton Jeanty's ankle + the Raiders run game

    43:40 RB injuries to watch

    46:39 21 new offensive coordinators

    51:42 Pete Carmichael's Bills offense

    56:36 Trending up, trending down

    59:03 Trade + cut watch

    1:01:42 Wrap

    Watch this episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fVZ3-Z1w2dA

    Promo code SHOW20 for 20% off everything at Sharp Football Analysis.

    Today's Guests:

    Matt Olson of 32BeatWriters — beat-reporter intel from around the league: https://x.com/MattOlsonFF

    Raymond Summerlin of Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/RMSummerlin

    32BeatWriters on X: https://x.com/32BeatWriters

    32BeatWriters on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@32beatwriters

    More Resources:

    All 2026 Sharp Football packages — Draft Kit, In-Season, Betting, Futures and the 2026 Football Preview book: https://sharp.football

    Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball

    Follow Us

    X: https://x.com/SharpFootball

    Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfootball/

    TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfootballanalysis

    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
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About Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp
Warren Sharp is joined by his NFL & College Football Analysts to pore through the data and bring you the smartest people in the sport to find edges to exploit and advantages to make better bets and win fantasy football leagues & contests! Featuring insights, projections and commentary from Warren Sharp, Rich Hribar, Ray Summerlin, Ryan McCrystal and the Sharp Football team!
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