Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg

Read the full transcript here.
If you enjoy our podcast, we have some exciting news – we’ve just launched a new membership called Clearer Thinking Plus.
Members get this podcast completely ad-free, as well as two professional coaching sessions every month, access to our advanced cognitive assessment, and seven other exclusive perks.
Clearer Thinking Plus is one of the most affordable ways to get access to a high-quality coach - whether you want to improve your habits, find more effective ways to work towards your goals, or get assistance making difficult decisions. It is also a more affordable and convenient way to get all the perks we offer.
If you're not interested in coaching, you can still get ad-free access to this podcast and the other perks with our explorer plan.
Access www.clearerthinking.org/plus to become a member today. We hope to see you there!
Can radically different forms of good really be compared? What makes two charitable outcomes commensurable? When does cost effectiveness become a moral argument rather than just an economic one? Is helping the global poor often cheaper for reasons that are ethically relevant? How should we weigh temporary enrichment against preventing severe suffering? At what point does refusing comparison become morally evasive? Are some value systems too implausible to treat as equally serious? How much should location matter when the same intervention works in multiple places? Does the ability to compare causes require a single theory of value? What do we lose by pretending all forms of good are incomparable?
Marcus A. Davis is the co-founder and CEO of Rethink Priorities, a think-and-do tank that uses rigorous empirical research to help philanthropists, policymakers, and cause-focused organizations direct resources where they'll do the most good. Marcus writes about effective charity, EA culture, and arguments around doing good at his Substack, Charity for All, and you can also follow him on Bluesky: amarcusdavis.bsky.social.
Links:
Rethink Priorities Website

Marcus' Substack: Charity for All

Marcus' Bluesky Profile

Staff
Spencer Greenberg — Host + Director
Ryan Kessler — Producer + Technical Lead
WeAmplify — Transcriptionists
Igor Scaldini — Marketing Consultant
Music
Broke for Free
Josh Woodward
Lee Rosevere
Quiet Music for Tiny Robots
wowamusic
zapsplat.com
Affiliates
Clearer Thinking
GuidedTrack
Mind Ease
Positly
UpLift

[Read more]

Read the full transcript here.
If you enjoy our podcast, we have some exciting news – we’ve just launched a new membership called Clearer Thinking Plus.
Members get this podcast completely ad-free, as well as two professional coaching sessions every month, access to our advanced cognitive assessment, and seven other exclusive perks.
Clearer Thinking Plus is one of the most affordable ways to get access to a high-quality coach - whether you want to improve your habits, find more effective ways to work towards your goals, or get assistance making difficult decisions. It is also a more affordable and convenient way to get all the perks we offer.
If you're not interested in coaching, you can still get ad-free access to this podcast and the other perks with our explorer plan.
Access www.clearerthinking.org/plus to become a member today. We hope to see you there!
How much of psychology is built on a statistical illusion? What happens when we mistake population averages for truths about individual lives? Can a person ever really be understood through traits measured at a few isolated moments? Why do simplified categories feel so authoritative even when they fail to capture lived experience? What does it mean for a science of mind to ignore time, context, and development? How much of what we call personality is just a byproduct of how we choose to measure people? If most of what matters is situational, what kind of science would we need instead? Why are average-based explanations so intuitively appealing even when they may mislead us? What gets lost when human beings are treated as snapshots rather than processes? Could clearer thinking begin by questioning the categories we rely on most?
Dr. Steven C. Hayes is an Emeritus Professor of Psychology at the University of Nevada, Reno and President of the Institute for Better Health, a 45-year old charitable organization dedicated to better mental and behavioral health.
Links:
Steven's website

Hayes et al.: Evolving an idionomic approach to processes of change: Towards a unified personalized science of human improvement

Staff
Spencer Greenberg — Host + Director
Ryan Kessler — Producer + Technical Lead
WeAmplify — Transcriptionists
Igor Scaldini — Marketing Consultant
Music
Broke for Free
Josh Woodward
Lee Rosevere
Quiet Music for Tiny Robots
wowamusic
zapsplat.com
Affiliates
Clearer Thinking
GuidedTrack
Mind Ease
Positly
UpLift

[Read more]

Read the full transcript here.
If you enjoy our podcast, we have some exciting news – we’ve just launched a new membership called Clearer Thinking Plus.
Members get this podcast completely ad-free, as well as two professional coaching sessions every month, access to our advanced cognitive assessment, and seven other exclusive perks.
Clearer Thinking Plus is one of the most affordable ways to get access to a high-quality coach - whether you want to improve your habits, find more effective ways to work towards your goals, or get assistance making difficult decisions. It is also a more affordable and convenient way to get all the perks we offer.
If you're not interested in coaching, you can still get ad-free access to this podcast and the other perks with our explorer plan.
Access www.clearerthinking.org/plus to become a member today. We hope to see you there!
What makes a piece of research “public property,” and what ethical obligations does that create for critics and authors alike? When a result feels wrong but you can’t locate the “smoking gun,” how should skepticism be calibrated without sliding into cynicism? How can a field avoid mistaking the absence of obvious errors for evidence that a claim is sound? What incentives cause entire literatures to form around fragile findings, and why do they persist for so long? Why do some researchers experience replication attempts as hostility, while others experience them as a gift? What norms would make constructive public criticism more common and less personally costly? How should we weigh a paper’s contribution when its analysis is flawed but its question is valuable? When is it rational to trust “the literature,” and when is the literature itself likely to be trapped in self-reinforcing error? What would it take for scientific communities to treat uncertainty as an honest output rather than a professional liability? Can a culture of open critique exist without amplifying bad-faith attacks or anti-science narratives?
Andrew Gelman, Ph.D., is Higgins Professor of Statistics, Professor of Political Science, and director of the Applied Statistics Center at Columbia University.
Links:
Andrew's Substack
Staff
Spencer Greenberg — Host + Director
Ryan Kessler — Producer + Technical Lead
WeAmplify — Transcriptionists
Igor Scaldini — Marketing Consultant
Music
Broke for Free
Josh Woodward
Lee Rosevere
Quiet Music for Tiny Robots
wowamusic
zapsplat.com
Affiliates
Clearer Thinking
GuidedTrack
Mind Ease
Positly
UpLift

[Read more]

Read the full transcript here.
If you enjoy our podcast, we have some exciting news – we’ve just launched a new membership called Clearer Thinking Plus.
Members get this podcast completely ad-free, as well as two professional coaching sessions every month, access to our advanced cognitive assessment, and seven other exclusive perks.
Clearer Thinking Plus is one of the most affordable ways to get access to a high-quality coach - whether you want to improve your habits, find more effective ways to work towards your goals, or get assistance making difficult decisions. It is also a more affordable and convenient way to get all the perks we offer.
If you're not interested in coaching, you can still get ad-free access to this podcast and the other perks with our explorer plan.
Access www.clearerthinking.org/plus to become a member today. We hope to see you there!
What changes when anyone can clone your voice from a minute of audio? If voice ID can be spoofed, what replaces it for everyday security? Why are phone scams evolving faster than our intuition for trust? What new “attack surfaces” appear when every service talks to you digitally? How much paranoia is rational before security becomes a tax on living? Could AI that talks to scammers become a tool for studying persuasion tactics at scale? What’s the most reliable habit for verifying calls, texts, and links? Are we entering a world where identity is probabilistic rather than certain? What do “AI employees” reveal about where agents shine and fail? Why do autonomous agents need triggers and stop conditions to behave? If an agent’s “memory” is a growing log, what kinds of false selves can it accidentally create? How do edge cases derail agents in ways humans handle effortlessly? Why is “be helpful” a dangerous default for external-facing bots? If someone can fake familiarity, how easily can they rewrite an agent’s memory? When you can’t see the system prompt, what are you really evaluating? Should we say please to machines, and what habits does that build in us? If we can’t tell performance from experience, how should we treat AI under uncertainty?
Evan Ratliff is a longtime journalist, writer and host of Shell Game, the podcast and newsletter about things that are not what they seem.
Links:
Evan's Podcast: Shell Game
Evan's X Profile
Staff
Spencer Greenberg — Host + Director
Ryan Kessler — Producer + Technical Lead
WeAmplify — Transcriptionists
Igor Scaldini — Marketing Consultant
Music
Broke for Free
Josh Woodward
Lee Rosevere
Quiet Music for Tiny Robots
wowamusic
zapsplat.com
Affiliates
Clearer Thinking
GuidedTrack
Mind Ease
Positly
UpLift

[Read more]

Read the full transcript here.
If you enjoy our podcast, we have some exciting news – we’ve just launched a new membership called Clearer Thinking Plus.
Members get this podcast completely ad-free, as well as two professional coaching sessions every month, access to our advanced cognitive assessment, and seven other exclusive perks.
Clearer Thinking Plus is one of the most affordable ways to get access to a high-quality coach - whether you want to improve your habits, find more effective ways to work towards your goals, or get assistance making difficult decisions. It is also a more affordable and convenient way to get all the perks we offer.
If you're not interested in coaching, you can still get ad-free access to this podcast and the other perks with our explorer plan.
Access www.clearerthinking.org/plus to become a member today. We hope to see you there!
Is Long COVID one illness or many? What turns a short infection into years of symptoms? When does “post viral” become a new chronic disease? Is viral persistence driving symptoms in some people? Could EBV reactivation be the hidden trigger? How might immune overreaction turn into autoimmunity? What do autoantibodies actually do to the body? Why do fatigue and exertion intolerance cluster together? Can we define subtypes with biomarkers, not guesswork? How much of long COVID is misdiagnosis versus missed mechanisms? What does pacing really mean in daily life? What would a mechanism first trial design look like? Are there early warning signs for who will stay sick? Is long COVID becoming a stable percentage of society? What would it take to build care systems that learn fast?
Carmen Scheibenbogen is a German immunologist who is the acting director of the Institute for Medical Immunology of the Charité university hospital in Berlin. She specialises in hematology (blood and blood diseases), oncology and immunology. She leads the Outpatient Clinic for Immunodeficiency and the Fatigue Centre at the Charité hospital. She is one of the few doctors specialised in myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS) in Germany, and also researches long COVID.
To explore a different perspective on these issues, we have an excellent episode with Suzanne O'Sullivan, "What is psychosomatic illness?"
Links:
Resources on ME/CFS and Long COVID
Guidelines for Long COVID Patients (Ger)
Staff
Spencer Greenberg — Host + Director
Ryan Kessler — Producer + Technical Lead
WeAmplify — Transcriptionists
Igor Scaldini — Marketing Consultant
Music
Broke for Free
Josh Woodward
Lee Rosevere
Quiet Music for Tiny Robots
wowamusic
zapsplat.com
Affiliates
Clearer Thinking
GuidedTrack
Mind Ease
Positly
UpLift

[Read more]