PodcastsBusinessRun the Numbers

Run the Numbers

CJ Gustafson
Run the Numbers
Latest episode

286 episodes

  • Run the Numbers

    The $150B Secondary Market and the Future of Venture Liquidity | Mike Jung

    26/02/2026 | 57 mins.
    CJ sits down with Mike Jung, Co-Founder and Managing Partner of Founders Circle Capital. They unpack the rise of structured liquidity, how secondaries went mainstream, and what CFOs should know before running a tender. Mike shares lessons from the dot-com era, AI’s “super cycle,” and what separates durable growth companies from hype.

    SPONSORS:
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    Mike: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mikjung
    https://www.founderscircle.com/
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    1:08 Founder Circle origin
    3:15 The founder liquidity insight
    5:16 Staying private longer problem
    6:04 Secondary market control vs chaos
    8:44 Secondaries over IPOs
    10:12 Liquidity keeps VC alive
    11:27 Ask Jeeves dot-com lesson
    12:26 $190 to $1 + AMT reality
    13:10 Sponsors — RightRev | Rillet | Tabs
    16:39 Private share opacity risk
    20:25 Founder + employee liquidity playbooks
    21:55 Early investors need liquidity too
    22:31 Cap table math actually matters
    24:17 SPV fee stacking insanity
    25:37 Sponsors — Abacum | Brex | Metronome
    28:54 Tender offer guardrails
    30:09 Minimum vs maximum liquidity balance
    33:01 Growth stage sweet spot + IPO bar rising
    34:17 AI Cambrian explosion
    34:58 Buying fear vs buying hype
    36:29 AI growth sustainability
    37:19 Founder-led advantage + product velocity
    38:47 TAM is created, not measured
    41:06 Anti-portfolio lessons
    43:01 What is a supercycle
    44:34 Do supercycles end in crashes?
    46:16 AI’s unprecedented adoption curve
    48:31 Community as a moat
    52:50 Earning the right to be on the cap table
  • Run the Numbers

    Minted’s CFO: Half the Year Happens in One Month

    23/02/2026 | 1h 1 mins.
    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Mateo Bryant, CFO of Minted. They break down Minted’s life-event flywheel and decades-long LTV, managing extreme seasonality when half the year happens in one month, and balancing long-term CAC with short-term monetization. Mateo also shares lessons from scaling Uber and Amazon globally, localization missteps, and making marketplaces work in emerging markets.

    SPONSORS:
    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    Mateo: https://www.linkedin.com/in/bryantmatt/
    Minted: https://www.minted.com/
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    RELATED EPISODES:
    Peter Oey, CFO of Grab:
    https://youtu.be/tdq0AZO0dLU

    TIMESTAMPS:
    00:00 Intro
    03:16 Fixer to CFO
    05:32 Mexico City Startups
    09:00 Minted Flywheel
    10:24 LTV Expansion
    11:04 Entry Points
    12:18 CAC and Cohorts
    13:42 Sponsors: Metronome | RightRev | Rillet
    17:06 Wedding Lifecycle
    19:49 Holiday Forecasting
    22:23 Retail Calendar
    24:03 Cash Flow Swings
    25:05 Marketing Over Sales
    26:06 Email Limits
    27:41 Sponsors: Tabs | Abacum | Brex
    31:02 Retail Strategy
    35:08 Global Experience
    40:47 Uber Cash Economics
    46:04 Cost of Not Localizing
    50:19 Importer of Record
    53:17 No Google Lesson
    55:34 QBR Mistake
    56:48 High Leverage Hours
    59:03 Finance Stack
    59:50 Seven Day Cruise Expense
    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #MarketplaceStrategy #EcommerceFinance #GigEconomy #CFOInsights
  • Run the Numbers

    How a CFO Budgets for Forward Deployed Engineers

    19/02/2026 | 53 mins.
    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Varsha Udayabhanu of Invisible to unpack what enterprise AI adoption actually looks like beyond the hype. They cover forward deployed engineers, eight-week solution sprints, value-based pricing when outcomes are hard to meter, ARR vs. services revenue, and why “momentum” beats traditional SaaS metrics. A tactical look at trust, expansion, and building durable AI revenue.

    SPONSORS:
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    LINKS: 
    Varsha: https://www.linkedin.com/in/varshaudayabhanu/
    Company: https://invisibletech.ai/
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    RELATED EPISODES:
    Marketing as a Form of Capital Allocation With Carta's Head of Growth Angela Winegar
    https://youtu.be/rG09ehsrWv8

    TIMESTAMPS:
    00:00 Intro
    03:21 What Invisible Technologies Does
    05:34 Enterprise AI Adoption Gap
    07:38 Forward Deployed Engineers
    09:44 Evolving GTM in AI Services
    10:36 Solution Sprints
    12:37 Sponsor — Brex | Metronome | RightRev
    15:56 Upfront Investment vs. Upside
    18:38 Bespoke Deals
    20:37 Value-Based Pricing in Enterprise AI
    22:12 Value Sold vs. Value Delivered
    23:31 Enterprise Revenue as a Portfolio of Bets
    24:53 Time-Bound Solution Sprints
    27:06 Sponsor — Rillet | Tabs | Abacum
    30:32 Humans in the Loop & Expert Incentives
    33:38 Niche Human Expertise
    34:10 Rethinking KPIs Beyond ARR
    35:44 Momentum Metrics
    39:00 Evaluating GenAI Financial Profiles
    40:47 Expansion as the Atomic Unit
    42:19 AdTech Lessons on Distribution & Brand
    43:23 Why Brand Matters for Enterprise
    47:10 Commoditization Risk
    48:31 Long-Ass Lightning Round
    53:20 Credits
  • Run the Numbers

    What Investors Want to Hear in Board Meetings

    16/02/2026 | 53 mins.
    In this episode, CJ talks with Paul Stansik of ParkerGale Capital about what separates Simplifiers from Complicators. They unpack why most board meetings miss the point, how to answer the actual question, and why naming the real problem builds trust.

    SPONSORS:
    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    LINKS: 
    Paul on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paulstansik/
    ParkerGale Capital: https://www.parkergale.com/
    https://hellooperator.substack.com/
    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    0:00 Fixing Broken Windows in Investing
    3:08 What an Operating Partner Actually Does
    5:35 Managing Nine Portfolio Companies
    6:07 Where PE Investors Spend Their Time
    9:02 Do Investors Think About You All Day?
    10:16 The Operator “Bermuda Triangle”
    12:35 Sponsors — Abacum | Brex | Metronome
    15:52 The CFO “Triangle of Doom”
    17:47 How to Become an Investor Favorite
    18:42 Templates Build Trust in Board Communication
    20:54 Using Trusted Data
    22:10 The Board Payback Record Scratch
    23:18 Building Your “Data Diet” With the Board
    25:19 Sponsors — RightRev | Rillet | Tabs
    28:47 Signs a Team Isn’t in Command
    31:30 Board Meetings Aren’t a Performance
    34:16 “20 Board Meetings—Don’t Waste Them”
    35:15 Ask Permission to Reallocate the Agenda
    37:54 When to Send Board Materials
    40:28 Simplifiers vs. Complicators
    41:58 The Simplifier Finds the One Question That Matters
    42:16 Three Traits of a Simplifier: Answer, Find, Do
    43:15 Why Complicated Operators Take You on a Ride
    44:26 Selling vs. Substance
    46:23 “Get There, Bob”
    47:25 Why We Hedge
    49:36 You Can’t Fix a Secret
    52:50 Credits
  • Run the Numbers

    Rivian’s CFO on Raising $14B and EV Economics

    12/02/2026 | 49 mins.
    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ Gustafson talks with Rivian CFO Claire McDonough about financing one of the most capital-intensive businesses in the world. They cover long-term investment decisions, capacity planning, cash management as production scales, lessons from Rivian’s nearly $14B IPO, the risks of over- and under-building, and why federal EV tax credits matter more than most people think.

    SPONSORS:
    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    LINKS: 
    Claire on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/claire-rauh-mcdonough-5291b946/
    Rivian: https://rivian.com/
    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    RELATED EPISODES:
    Why Revenue Recognition Is the Next AI Battleground | Dan Miller of RightRev
    https://youtu.be/TxhTtwmOass

    TIMESTAMPS:
    00:00:00 Craziest Expense Story at Rivian
    00:01:22 Intro to Claire McDonough
    00:03:09 Capital Intensity and Vertical Integration at Rivian
    00:06:44 Raising $14B: How Rivian Planned Its IPO Capital
    00:10:22 Capacity Planning and Scaling R2 Production
    00:12:13 Sponsors — Tabs, Abacum, Brex
    00:15:34 Sweating Existing Capacity vs Overbuilding
    00:18:22 Winning EV Adoption from ICE Buyers
    00:22:27 How Federal EV Tax Credits Shape EV Pricing
    00:26:03 Sponsors — Metronome, RightRev, Rillet
    00:29:27 R2 as a Driver of Long-Term Profitability
    00:33:14 Supply Chain as the Critical Path to Launch
    00:36:53 Product Roadmap as the Anchor for Capital and Headcount
    00:39:40 Peloton and Flipkart Lessons from Banking
    00:43:42 Biggest Career Mistake
    00:44:50 Advice to Younger Self
    00:47:19 Rivian’s Finance Software Stack

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About Run the Numbers

Run the Numbers is a twice-weekly podcast about financial metrics and business models, designed for ambitious people operating tech startups. It's a collection of things host CJ Gustafson (CFO at Partstech and writer of Mostly Metrics) has learned and thought about in the trenches as a tech CFO. This show is meant to serve as a playbook of sorts for the stuff CJ wishes he knew earlier in his career, both from experience and from copying people smarter than himself. Topics frequently touch upon Startup SaaS Metrics, Annual Budgeting, Financial Forecasting, Headcount, Equity, Dilution, and Fundraising – and how all of these drive business performance and growth.
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