PodcastsBusinessRun the Numbers

Run the Numbers

CJ Gustafson
Run the Numbers
Latest episode

294 episodes

  • Run the Numbers

    AI Pricing and the Hidden Growth Lever Most CFOs Ignore

    26/03/2026 | 55 mins.
    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Kunal Agarwal, CFO of Gorgias, to unpack how AI is reshaping pricing and operations. They discuss outcome-based pricing, how to forecast LLM-driven costs, and why order-to-cash isn’t just back-office plumbing—it can be a true growth lever when designed correctly.

    SPONSORS:
    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    Guest: https://www.linkedin.com/in/agarwalk/
    Company: https://www.gorgias.com/
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    0:00 Preview and Intro
    2:14 PE to venture incubator
    4:39 Operational empathy from zero-to-one
    4:45 First paying user feeling
    5:40 Jet ski customer support story
    8:49 Hanging with IC sales reps
    12:24 Sponsors — Tabs | Abacum | Brex
    15:44 Finance as the decision engine
    17:36 Gorgias overview
    20:20 Pricing structure and iteration
    22:11 Outcome based / resolution pricing
    24:48 AI success rate as key metric
    25:33 Sponsors — Metronome | RightRev | Rillet
    28:57 Pricing value split — $1 per resolution
    31:17 Vertical specificity as AI moat
    33:27 Managing LLM costs
    35:41 Falling token costs and model mix
    39:28 Order to cash as growth engine
    43:31 Auditing order to cash at 25M ARR
    44:09 Manual choke points
    46:32 Learning density over titles
    48:30 SurveyMonkey as the most formative period
    50:07 Lightning round
    50:17 Listening to respond vs. listening to learn
    51:04 Advice to younger self
    52:02 Finance software stack
    52:45 Cortex — internal AI decision tool
    54:21 Craziest expense story
    54:52 Credits
  • Run the Numbers

    What It Takes to Go Public Today | Inside the IPO Process with RBC’s Federico Acabbi

    23/03/2026 | 56 mins.
    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Federico Acabbi, investment banker at RBC, to break down what’s happening across cybersecurity, infrastructure, and the broader software market. They cover why horizontal software is under pressure while security spend holds up, what it really takes to go public today, and how the IPO process actually works behind the scenes—from diligence to pricing.

    SPONSORS:
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com

    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    Federico: https://www.linkedin.com/in/federicoacabbi/
    rbccm.com
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    0:00 Preview and intro
    2:36 Software investability right now
    6:46 Cyber — CFO's #2 investment priority
    8:17 AI turbocharging attacks
    9:08 DevOps disruption
    10:30 Sponsors — Rillet | Tabs | Abacum
    13:55 IPO landscape overview
    14:33 Revenue and market cap benchmarks
    19:24 Founder share sales at IPO
    22:28 Secondary market vs. IPO market
    23:14 How many IPOs can the market digest?
    24:20 Investor mix for larger vs. smaller IPOs
    25:04 Sponsors — Brex | Metronome | RightRev
    28:23 Role of mutual funds in IPOs
    30:00 What banks actually do on an IPO
    31:49 Book building and allocation
    32:43 Research coverage
    35:52 NDRs and testing the waters
    38:59 Roadshow format — then vs. now
    40:41 Direct listings explained
    43:57 How banks make money on IPOs
    44:56 Fee splits between banks
    47:36 IPO vs. M&A — which is more attractive?
    51:02 Junior banking story — Nokia and the Vespa
    54:31 Craziest expense story
    56:08 Credits
  • Run the Numbers

    The Anatomy of Financial Bubbles | Lessons From 200 Years of Market Panic

    19/03/2026 | 55 mins.
    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with financial historian and PayPal Mafia member Aman Varejee to explore the recurring patterns behind economic bubbles. Drawing on research from his upcoming book “A Brief History of Financial Bubbles”, Aman explains what defines a bubble, the psychology that fuels speculative manias, and why major technological shifts—from railways to the internet to AI—often coincide with periods of extreme market speculation.

    SPONSORS:
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    Aman: https://www.linkedin.com/in/aman-verjee/
    https://practicalvc.com/
    Aman’s book: https://bigbubbletrouble.com/
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    0:00 Preview and intro
    1:38 Welcome and guest intro
    3:48 Defining a bubble
    6:03 Cognitive biases behind bubbles
    10:27 Sponsors — RightRev | Rillet | Tabs
    13:56 Do bubbles produce breakthroughs?
    14:35 Dot-com bubble — winners and losers
    16:00 UK railway bubble
    21:24 Bubble warning signs
    25:30 Sponsors — Abacum | Brex | Metronome
    28:47 Do bubbles attract grifters?
    31:11 Role of government in bubbles
    35:59 Bubble duration vs. severity
    37:32 2008 — roots go back to 1992
    40:27 Are bubbles connected through time?
    43:38 Are we in an AI bubble?
    45:06 Nvidia vs. Cisco valuation comparison
    46:52 Circular finance in AI
    49:16 FP&A at PayPal under Thiel and Musk
    52:02 PayPal's referral campaign and LTV/CAC
    54:40 Book plug
    55:09 Credits
    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #Fintech #EconomicBubbles #FinanceHistory #CFO
  • Run the Numbers

    Marketplace Economics | Faire CFO Jason Lee

    16/03/2026 | 1h 3 mins.
    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Jason Lee, CFO of Faire, to unpack the economics of wholesale marketplaces. They break down how Faire connects independent brands with local retailers, the key metrics that matter in marketplace businesses, and ROI as a decision-making framework. Jason also shares lessons from scaling Square through its IPO and how finance leaders navigate valuation resets in private markets.

    SPONSORS:
    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics

    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    Jason: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jason-lee-11787020/
    Faire: https://www.faire.com/
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    0:00 Preview and intro
    3:01 How Faire serves retailers
    5:49 Revenue model and retention metrics
    8:21 Recurring vs. reoccurring revenue
    11:54 Sponsors — Metronome | RightRev | Rillet
    15:17 Input vs. output metrics
    17:13 The business equation
    19:08 Metric ownership
    22:07 Killing metrics: signal to noise
    23:21 800 metrics at Faire
    24:51 Customer count as a misleading metric
    26:04 Sponsors — Tabs | Abacum | Brex
    29:25 Planning cadences at Faire
    32:41 When to reallocate resources
    36:40 ROI as a framework
    40:25 Portfolio view of investments
    43:53 Discipline is knowing where to say yes
    47:11 Faire's valuation reset
    50:49 Tender offer mechanics
    55:33 Screwing up IR at Square IPO
    56:52 Advice to younger self
    58:44 AI at Faire
    59:32 Claude connected to data warehouse
    1:00:16 Tariff analysis with AI
    1:02:38 Credits
    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #Marketplace #CFO #SaaS #FinanceLeadership
  • Run the Numbers

    Blockchain.com CFO on How Crypto Exchanges Actually Make Money

    12/03/2026 | 44 mins.
    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Mike Wilcox, CFO of Blockchain.com, to unpack the economics of crypto exchanges. They discuss how platforms serve both retail traders and institutional clients, the different ways exchanges generate revenue, and the tension between blockchain’s radical transparency and the valuable first-party data exchanges control.

    SPONSORS:
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    Mike: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mike-wilcox-65078a12/
    https://www.blockchain.com/
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    Here's the trimmed version:
    0:00 Preview and intro2:12 Tradfi to crypto transition3:49 Blockchain.com origin5:45 CFO as business partner6:01 Finance team backgrounds7:02 Banking relationships8:51 On ramps and off ramps8:51 Retail vs. institutional10:53 Sponsors — Brex | Metronome | RightRev14:09 B2C to B2B motion16:04 Shared infrastructure18:31 Go-to-market differences19:00 Brand equity and low CAC20:06 Education as top-of-funnel21:13 Institutional vs. retail volatility22:37 Exchange vs. brokerage model23:56 How brokerages make money24:06 Sponsors — Rillet | Tabs | Abacum27:31 Setting take rates29:13 Distribution flywheel30:13 Data as a moat31:13 Nigeria market playbook31:44 Crypto balance sheet33:25 Duration matching34:37 Transaction-level risk36:12 Latency arms race37:28 Stablecoins and CFOs38:13 Risk vectors40:01 Annual planning41:51 Lightning round43:00 Finance software stack43:31 Advice to younger self44:09 Credits

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About Run the Numbers

Run the Numbers is a twice-weekly podcast about financial metrics and business models, designed for ambitious people operating tech startups. It's a collection of things host CJ Gustafson (CFO at Partstech and writer of Mostly Metrics) has learned and thought about in the trenches as a tech CFO. This show is meant to serve as a playbook of sorts for the stuff CJ wishes he knew earlier in his career, both from experience and from copying people smarter than himself. Topics frequently touch upon Startup SaaS Metrics, Annual Budgeting, Financial Forecasting, Headcount, Equity, Dilution, and Fundraising – and how all of these drive business performance and growth.
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