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Run the Numbers

CJ Gustafson
Run the Numbers
Latest episode

334 episodes

  • Run the Numbers

    40 Years of IPOs with Jay Ritter: What the Data Actually Says

    27/08/2026 | 54 mins.
    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Jay Ritter. They break down what Apple, Nvidia, the dot-com boom, and today’s AI giants can teach us about IPOs, why companies leave money on the table on day one, why firms stay private longer, and what the data actually says about long-term IPO performance.

    SPONSORS:
    Pulley is an equity management platform that lets you issue options, model dilution, and complete 409As without your cap table turning into a spreadsheet disaster. Founders raising, hiring, and scaling use Pulley to keep equity clean and stay focused on building. Learn more or request a demo at https://pulley.com/mostlymetrics
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to replace NetSuite and close faster. With revenue recognition, close management, multi-entity support, and native Stripe and Salesforce integrations, Rillet helps scaling companies run their finance stack in one place. Hundreds of teams, including Windsurf and Mercor, use Rillet to make the zero-day close real. Book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Maximor is an autonomous finance platform that runs order-to-cash, procure-to-pay, the close, cash management, and reporting on self-learning agents instead of a dozen disconnected tools. One PE-backed customer posts 98% of transactions directly to its ERP, with the remaining 2% routed to a human for review. You pay for outcomes, not seats. See it at https://www.maximor.ai/
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform with AI-powered workflows that enforce expense policies at the point of sale, match receipts automatically, and reduce month-end close from weeks to hours. Thousands of companies, including Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash, already run on Brex. Stop asking A-level finance talent to do B-level admin work. Learn more at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Anrok is the sales tax platform that watches your exposure everywhere, automates compliance, and flags risk before it turns into a surprise back-tax letter from a state you've never set foot in. Companies like Anthropic, Notion, and Vanta already trust Anrok to stay ahead of rules that move faster than any spreadsheet can. Talk to a sales tax expert for a personalized exposure estimate at https://www.anrok.com/rtn
    RightRev is a revenue recognition platform built for the AI economy, helping finance support usage-based pricing, credits, hybrid contracts, seats plus consumption, and whatever commercial model comes next. It gives product teams the freedom to keep innovating without outdated revenue systems slowing them down. Learn how RightRev can help at https://rightrev.com/cj
    EY has been part of Silicon Valley since it was just a valley, helping the most successful names in tech go from startup to exit to megacap. With teams across strategy, tax, audit, and transactions, EY helps you get your financials right early, long before your investors start asking for it. You build the next big thing, and EY will help you build it right. Learn more at https://www.ey.com/techstartups

    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    Guest: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jay-ritter-1323861/
    Company: https://www.ufl.edu/
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    0:00 Preview and Intro
    3:10 Meet Jay Ritter, Mr. IPO
    4:02 The Original 1983 Question
    5:08 PCs, Internet, and AI Compared
    9:36 Network Effects
    14:46 Sitzfleisch: Outlasting the Field
    16:10 Where Have All the IPOs Gone
    23:29 IPOs as Relationship-Building
    26:31 Why Investors Tolerate Founder Control
    29:16 Dual-Class Stock's Origins
    30:21 How Jay's Thinking Evolved
    31:36 Why Boards Don't Get Angry
    34:39 Banks' Real Client: Institutions
    37:08 Book Building
    38:56 Why Direct Listings Haven't Taken Over
    39:57 What Goldman Is Really Selling
    41:57 Sentiment vs. Long-Term Performance
    43:13 Does Staying Private Help Society
    49:35 Asking Better Questions with EY
    52:12 Are Markets Efficient
  • Run the Numbers

    How AI Is Rewriting Product-Market Fit, Pricing, and Go-to-Market

    24/08/2026 | 45 mins.
    CJ sits down with Rebecca Schwartz of Tabs, Fred Havemeyer of Fleet AI, and Rahul Rekhi of Rogo for a live conversation about what it actually takes to build an AI-native company.

    SPONSORS:
    RightRev is a revenue recognition platform built for the AI economy, helping finance support usage-based pricing, credits, hybrid contracts, seats plus consumption, and whatever commercial model comes next. It gives product teams the freedom to keep innovating without outdated revenue systems slowing them down. Learn how RightRev can help at https://rightrev.com/cj
    Pulley is an equity management platform that lets you issue options, model dilution, and complete 409As without your cap table turning into a spreadsheet disaster. Founders raising, hiring, and scaling use Pulley to keep equity clean and stay focused on building. Learn more or request a demo at https://pulley.com/mostlymetrics
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to replace NetSuite and close faster. With revenue recognition, close management, multi-entity support, and native Stripe and Salesforce integrations, Rillet helps scaling companies run their finance stack in one place. Hundreds of teams, including Windsurf and Mercor, use Rillet to make the zero-day close real. Book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Maximor is an autonomous finance platform that runs order-to-cash, procure-to-pay, the close, cash management, and reporting on self-learning agents instead of a dozen disconnected tools. One PE-backed customer posts 98% of transactions directly to its ERP, with the remaining 2% routed to a human for review. You pay for outcomes, not seats. See it at https://www.maximor.ai/
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform with AI-powered workflows that enforce expense policies at the point of sale, match receipts automatically, and reduce month-end close from weeks to hours. Thousands of companies, including Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash, already run on Brex. Stop asking A-level finance talent to do B-level admin work. Learn more at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Anrok is the sales tax platform that watches your exposure everywhere, automates compliance, and flags risk before it turns into a surprise back-tax letter from a state you've never set foot in. Companies like Anthropic, Notion, and Vanta already trust Anrok to stay ahead of rules that move faster than any spreadsheet can. Talk to a sales tax expert for a personalized exposure estimate at https://www.anrok.com/rtn
    EY has been part of Silicon Valley since it was just a valley, helping the most successful names in tech go from startup to exit to megacap. With teams across strategy, tax, audit, and transactions, EY helps you get your financials right early, long before your investors start asking for it. You build the next big thing, and EY will help you build it right. Learn more at https://www.ey.com/techstartups

    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    https://www.tabs.com/
    https://fleetai.com/
    https://www.rogo.com/
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    0:00 Preview and Intro
    1:16 Welcome to Run the Numbers
    3:17 Meet the Panel: Rebecca, Fred, Rahul
    9:52 How Rogo Found PMF
    13:47 How Tabs Found PMF
    14:51 Growth Rates: Headcount and Revenue
    16:23 The Real Hiring Constraint
    17:21 What "Forward Deployed" Actually Means
    18:53 What's Blocking AI Adoption Now
    20:19 How Sales Hiring Has Changed
    24:34 How Go-to-Market Has Changed
    25:28 Pricing Models: Then vs. Now
    28:18 Tabs' Pricing Evolution
    29:20 What the Finance Team Looks Like
    31:00 How Far You Can Push Outsourced Accounting
    32:43 Managing AI Gross Margins
    35:07 The North Star Metric for AI Companies
    37:02 Token Spend vs. Per-Seat Pricing
    39:34 Asking Better Questions: What Counts as ARR
    41:38 Biggest Bug in Cash to Collections
    43:05 Closing Advice for Founders
  • Run the Numbers

    The Stripe Guide to Pricing, Billing, and Quote-to-Cash with Wisam Hirzalla

    20/08/2026 | 54 mins.
    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Wisam Hirzalla, Head of Product at Stripe Billing, to trace the full journey of a dollar—from product packaging and pricing through quoting, contracts, billing, tax, collections, and revenue recognition.

    SPONSORS:
    Anrok is the sales tax platform that watches your exposure everywhere, automates compliance, and flags risk before it turns into a surprise back-tax letter from a state you've never set foot in. Companies like Anthropic, Notion, and Vanta already trust Anrok to stay ahead of rules that move faster than any spreadsheet can. Talk to a sales tax expert for a personalized exposure estimate at https://www.anrok.com/rtn
    RightRev is a revenue recognition platform built for the AI economy, helping finance support usage-based pricing, credits, hybrid contracts, seats plus consumption, and whatever commercial model comes next. It gives product teams the freedom to keep innovating without outdated revenue systems slowing them down. Learn how RightRev can help at https://rightrev.com/cj
    Pulley is an equity management platform that lets you issue options, model dilution, and complete 409As without your cap table turning into a spreadsheet disaster. Founders raising, hiring, and scaling use Pulley to keep equity clean and stay focused on building. Learn more or request a demo at https://pulley.com/mostlymetrics
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to replace NetSuite and close faster. With revenue recognition, close management, multi-entity support, and native Stripe and Salesforce integrations, Rillet helps scaling companies run their finance stack in one place. Hundreds of teams, including Windsurf and Mercor, use Rillet to make the zero-day close real. Book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Maximor is an autonomous finance platform that runs order-to-cash, procure-to-pay, the close, cash management, and reporting on self-learning agents instead of a dozen disconnected tools. One PE-backed customer posts 98% of transactions directly to its ERP, with the remaining 2% routed to a human for review. You pay for outcomes, not seats. See it at https://www.maximor.ai/
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform with AI-powered workflows that enforce expense policies at the point of sale, match receipts automatically, and reduce month-end close from weeks to hours. Thousands of companies, including Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash, already run on Brex. Stop asking A-level finance talent to do B-level admin work. Learn more at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    EY has been part of Silicon Valley since it was just a valley, helping the most successful names in tech go from startup to exit to megacap. With teams across strategy, tax, audit, and transactions, EY helps you get your financials right early, long before your investors start asking for it. You build the next big thing, and EY will help you build it right. Learn more at https://www.ey.com/techstartups

    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    Guest: https://www.linkedin.com/in/wisam-hirzalla-9b20a91/
    Company: https://stripe.com/
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    0:00 What Drives Billing Downstream
    1:41 Welcome to Run the Numbers
    2:37 Wisam's Path to "Queen of Billing"
    4:55 What Head of Billing at Stripe Entails
    5:45 Defining Quote-to-Cash
    7:50 Layer 1: Pricing and Packaging Mistakes
    14:46 Pricing Models Rising Because of AI
    18:11 Layer 2: Inside a Quote
    19:27 Why Enterprise Deals Get So Messy
    24:38 Layer 3: Contracting
    27:21 Layer 4: Billing
    30:15 Why Usage-Based Billing Is So Complex
    34:51 Tokens as a Pricing Unit
    36:57 Billing's Move Out of the ERP
    39:53 Layer 5: Provisioning and Entitlements
    43:36 Layer 6: Tax
    44:27 Layer 7: Getting Paid
    48:18 Layer 8: RevRec
    50:52 When Billing Stopped Being Back Office
    51:47 Asking Better Questions Segment
    52:28 Will AI Replace Finance Jobs
  • Run the Numbers

    The CFO-COO Is Coming: Meredith Finn of Front on the Future of Finance

    17/08/2026 | 54 mins.
    Front CFO & COO Meredith Finn joins CJ to explain why finance leaders are taking on more of the operator’s job. They break down the CFO-COO dual mandate, how Front funds new bets inside a mature SaaS business, why AI requires more coordination than simply handing everyone new tools, and how finance teams should think about the growing cost of AI.

    SPONSORS:
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform with AI-powered workflows that enforce expense policies at the point of sale, match receipts automatically, and reduce month-end close from weeks to hours. Thousands of companies, including Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash, already run on Brex. Stop asking A-level finance talent to do B-level admin work. Learn more at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Anrok is the sales tax platform that watches your exposure everywhere, automates compliance, and flags risk before it turns into a surprise back-tax letter from a state you've never set foot in. Companies like Anthropic, Notion, and Vanta already trust Anrok to stay ahead of rules that move faster than any spreadsheet can. Talk to a sales tax expert for a personalized exposure estimate at https://www.anrok.com/rtn
    RightRev is a revenue recognition platform built for the AI economy, helping finance support usage-based pricing, credits, hybrid contracts, seats plus consumption, and whatever commercial model comes next. It gives product teams the freedom to keep innovating without outdated revenue systems slowing them down. Learn how RightRev can help at https://rightrev.com/cj
    Pulley is an equity management platform that lets you issue options, model dilution, and complete 409As without your cap table turning into a spreadsheet disaster. Founders raising, hiring, and scaling use Pulley to keep equity clean and stay focused on building. Learn more or request a demo at https://pulley.com/mostlymetrics
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to replace NetSuite and close faster. With revenue recognition, close management, multi-entity support, and native Stripe and Salesforce integrations, Rillet helps scaling companies run their finance stack in one place. Hundreds of teams, including Windsurf and Mercor, use Rillet to make the zero-day close real. Book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Maximor is an autonomous finance platform that runs order-to-cash, procure-to-pay, the close, cash management, and reporting on self-learning agents instead of a dozen disconnected tools. One PE-backed customer posts 98% of transactions directly to its ERP, with the remaining 2% routed to a human for review. You pay for outcomes, not seats. See it at https://www.maximor.ai/

    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    Guest: https://www.linkedin.com/in/meredithfinn1/
    Company: https://front.com/
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    RELATED EPISODES:
    Adam Swiecicki - CFO of Rippling
    https://youtu.be/JyGJVpmZNac
    Aurélien Nolf - CFO of Navan
    https://youtu.be/siwzJSRXAvY

    TIMESTAMPS:
    0:00 The CFO/COO Dual Mandate
    1:45 Welcome to Run the Numbers
    2:52 Front's In-House Podcast Studio
    3:41 Meredith's Investment Thesis on Front
    7:21 The "Portfolio Career" Analogy
    8:35 What She Had to Unlearn as an Operator
    13:13 Books on Strategy vs. Execution
    16:17 When a CFO Should Also Be COO
    18:27 What the COO Hat Actually Covers
    20:20 Where the Two Roles Conflict
    25:42 Budgeting for AI Token Costs
    29:16 Using Internal Usage as a Benchmark
    35:40 Funding a Series A Bet Inside a Series D Company
    38:04 Sizing Bets: Core, Adjacent, Moonshot
    40:04 The Secret to Re-Accelerating Growth
    41:46 Going Deeper, Not Wider
    43:18 What the Pricing Overhaul Taught Her
    47:30 Why Customer P&L Matters
    50:11 Lightning Round Begins
    51:32 Advice to Her Younger Self
    52:33 Front's Finance Tool Stack
    53:21 Craziest Expense Ever
    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #CFOLife #FinanceLeadership #AIinFinance #SaaSGrowth
  • Run the Numbers

    Xero’s CFO: Why Finance Is Taking On More of the Business

    13/08/2026 | 49 mins.
    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ Gustafson sits down with Xero CFO Claire Bramley to discuss how the CFO role is expanding beyond finance into strategy, operations, transformation, and technology. Claire also shares how she builds teams around her weaknesses, what small businesses actually want from AI, and why she views diversity as a business performance decision.

    SPONSORS:
    Maximor is an autonomous finance platform that runs order-to-cash, procure-to-pay, the close, cash management, and reporting on self-learning agents instead of a dozen disconnected tools. One PE-backed customer posts 98% of transactions directly to its ERP, with the remaining 2% routed to a human for review. You pay for outcomes, not seats. See it at https://www.maximor.ai/
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform with AI-powered workflows that enforce expense policies at the point of sale, match receipts automatically, and reduce month-end close from weeks to hours. Thousands of companies, including Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash, already run on Brex. Stop asking A-level finance talent to do B-level admin work. Learn more at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Anrok is the sales tax platform that watches your exposure everywhere, automates compliance, and flags risk before it turns into a surprise back-tax letter from a state you've never set foot in. Companies like Anthropic, Notion, and Vanta already trust Anrok to stay ahead of rules that move faster than any spreadsheet can. Talk to a sales tax expert for a personalized exposure estimate at https://www.anrok.com/rtn
    RightRev is a revenue recognition platform built for the AI economy, helping finance support usage-based pricing, credits, hybrid contracts, seats plus consumption, and whatever commercial model comes next. It gives product teams the freedom to keep innovating without outdated revenue systems slowing them down. Learn how RightRev can help at https://rightrev.com/cj
    Pulley is an equity management platform that lets you issue options, model dilution, and complete 409As without your cap table turning into a spreadsheet disaster. Founders raising, hiring, and scaling use Pulley to keep equity clean and stay focused on building. Learn more or request a demo at https://pulley.com/mostlymetrics
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to replace NetSuite and close faster. With revenue recognition, close management, multi-entity support, and native Stripe and Salesforce integrations, Rillet helps scaling companies run their finance stack in one place. Hundreds of teams, including Windsurf and Mercor, use Rillet to make the zero-day close real. Book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    Guest: https://www.linkedin.com/in/claire-bramley-133b7174/
    Company: https://www.xero.com/
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    0:00 Preview and Intro
    3:00 Xero and CJ's History With It
    4:12 Xero's Size and Scale Today
    5:10 The Expanding CFO Role
    7:06 Hiring Experts You're Not
    8:47 Imposter Syndrome
    11:00 Getting Better at Asking Questions
    15:04 Asking the "Stupid Question"
    16:21 Finance as the Corporate Junk Drawer
    17:48 The Trial Period Idea
    18:24 Tripwires: Leading Indicators for CFOs
    25:35 AI Hype vs. Main Street Reality
    26:44 What Small Business Owners Actually Want
    28:45 What Big Corps Underestimate
    31:10 Trust as a Competitive Moat
    33:45 Why the Line Is Thinner for Small Biz
    35:12 AI Inside Claire's Finance Team
    37:23 AI for Investor Relations
    39:28 Diversity as Capital Allocation
    42:07 A Decision Diversity Changed
    44:45 Lightning Round Begins
    46:06 Advice to Her Younger Self
    48:49 Craziest Expense Ever
    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #CFOLife #FinanceLeadership #AIinFinance #WomenInFinance
More Business podcasts
About Run the Numbers
Run the Numbers is a business podcast about financial metrics and business models for CFOs, aspiring CFOs, finance leaders, and ambitious people operating tech startups. Hosted by CJ Gustafson, CFO and writer of Mostly Metrics, the show shares lessons, frameworks, and operator insights from the trenches as a tech exec. Think of it as a playbook for the things CJ wishes he knew earlier in his career, covering SaaS metrics, annual budgeting, forecasting, headcount, equity, dilution, fundraising, and the decisions that drive performance and growth.
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