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Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Jack Farley
Monetary Matters with Jack Farley
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  • Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

    Things Are Going to Get Even Crazier: The Macro Regime Shift | Andreas Steno Larsen

    25/05/2026 | 1h 8 mins.
    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm

    Andreas Steno Larsen, macro researcher from Real Vision, joins Max Wiethe on Other People’s Money to discuss the shifting macro regime where inflation has returned and is pushing US Treasury yields over 5%. They discuss the market’s expectation for interest rate hikes and how the new Fed chair Kevin Warsh will react to this environment. They also discuss the other dominant force in markets right now, the AI buildout. Steno Larsen argues that things are going to get crazier before the cycle turns later this year, but in the meantime the shortages in the AI supply chain are creating unappreciated winners in the technology sector.

    Follow Andreas Steno Larsen on X: https://x.com/AndreasSteno

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    Follow Other People’s Money on:



    Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M

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    Timestamps:

    00:00 Intro

    00:50 Inflation and the Big Macro Shift

    01:43 Transitory Inflation Debate

    04:19 Bond Trade Timing

    06:13 Steep Curve Playbook

    09:41 Why Steepening Helps

    12:24 Strong Dollar EM Risk

    14:35 HFGM Unlimited Funds

    16:51 India Data Versus Rupee

    18:24 Energy Supply Countdown

    21:23 LatAm Underperformance

    23:27 AI Inflation Link

    26:52 Korea Semis Surge

    28:26 Momentum with Earnings

    30:39 Quantum Hype Warning

    32:24 Semis Cycle Peak Question

    34:47 Late Cycle Winners Flip

    39:01 IPO Supply and Rotation

    43:35 Valuation Metrics Reframed

    46:11 Hidden Scarcity Trade

    49:21 Goods Inflation Returns

    51:15 AI Jobs and Robotics

    54:07 White Collar Disruption Map

    59:53 LLMs and Bad Facts

    01:04:47 Momentum vs. Value Edge

    01:06:15 Rapid Fire Outlook and Wrap
  • Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

    What Doomer Narratives Miss About Private Credit | John Cocke of Corbin Capital

    24/05/2026 | 1h 12 mins.
    John Cocke, Deputy Chief Investment Officer at Corbin Capital, joins Jack to discuss the world of private credit. With so much discussion over the asset class, John provides some much-needed context. While there are some areas of concern, John rejects the doomer narratives commonly seen on social media and sees opportunity on the horizon. Jack and John also discuss data center financing and the important, yet often missed, details of the private credit space. Recorded on May 15th, 2026.

     

    Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96

    Follow John Cocke on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/john-cocke-8319295/

     

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    Check Out Jack & Max on the MTS Livestream: https://x.com/MTSlive
  • Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

    A Basel III Deep Dive | What to Know About How It Will Transform Banking Globally

    17/05/2026 | 1h 16 mins.
    Chen Xu, counsel at Debevoise & Plimpton, joins Jack to discuss the Basel III framework and endgame. The Basel III framework is extremely important to the future of banking and credit. Few people are as qualified to explain this complex agreement more than Chen Xu. Chen explains what Basel III is and how it will affect many different areas of the financial world. Recorded on May 1st, 2026.

     

    Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96

    Follow Chen
    Xu on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/chen-xu-a483b75/

    Read Chen’s
    Publications https://www.debevoise.com/chenxu/?tab=insightsandpublications

     

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    Check Out Jack
    & Max on the MTS Livestream: https://x.com/MTSlive
  • Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

    Why Andy Constan Says The AI Bubble is in Earnings, Not Price

    16/05/2026 | 33 mins.
    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm

    Monetary Matters is now streaming daily as part of Monitoring the Situation. Join us live on X and YouTube from 4 to 5 PM ET Monday through Friday @mtsituation for live interviews and analysis breaking down the market’s most important situations. This is recording of a recent live interview from MTS.

    Veteran macro trader Andy Constan joins Monetary Matters live on Monitoring the Situation to discuss why he has 100% confidence that AI stocks are in a bubble. The nuance though is that unlike most bubbles, where the bubble is in unsustainable prices with no earnings, this is a bubble in unsustainable earnings that will eventually fall and make the current somewhat reasonable prices look lofty in hindsight. Constan highlights metrics like the $400 billion in S&P 500 earnings expectations and the over 60% of that is supposed to accrue to AI winners, and argues that based on projected GDP growth that their simply “isn’t enough pie for all of the S&P 500 to eat” without it coming other very important areas of the economy.

    Follow Andy Constan on X: https://x.com/dampedspring

    Follow Jack Farley on X: https://x.com/JackFarley96

    Follow Max Wiethe on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe

    Follow Monetary Matters on:

    Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh

    Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5

    YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    Timestamps:

    00:00 Earnings Bubble Thesis

    01:22 Defining a Bubble Regime

    04:02 Past Bubbles and Patterns

    07:57 Why PE Looks Normal

    08:57 GDP Pie Math Reality

    13:06 Unlimited ETFs HFGM

    15:23 AI ROI and Inflation Risks

    18:34 Three Cohorts Funding Compute

    23:36 What a Real Pop Looks Like

    28:22 Timing and Investor Discipline

    30:27 Trading It Collars Not Shorts

    33:13 Closing and Sign Off
  • Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

    “You Don’t Sell Blow-offs” | Andrew Perry on Bullish Technicals of U.S. Stock Market, “Dangerous” Period for Global Equities, and Bull Case for Agricultural Commodities

    15/05/2026 | 59 mins.
    Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN):

    https://teucrium.com/corn

    In this episode of Monetary Matters, host Jack sits down with veteran macro investor Andrew Perry of Macro Pillars. Perry provides a bullish technical outlook for US stocks, offering specific targets for the S&P 500 while warning against shorting the current momentum on a nominal basis. The discussion explores strategic pair trades, specifically being long US equities while shorting energy-dependent nations like Australia and Germany. Perry also explains the macro drivers behind his long positions in agricultural commodities—including corn, wheat, and soybeans—driven by fertilizer stress and geopolitical risks in the Strait of Hormuz. Listeners will gain deep insights into why the MOVE index and US Treasury Quarterly Refunding Announcements (QRA) are more critical indicators of market liquidity than the traditional VIX. Finally, Perry details the specific yield curve shifts, moving from bear to bull steepeners, that will signal the next major recessionary trade. Recorded May 11, 2026.

    This episode is sponsored by the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN). Download our free eBook, "Why Investors Are  Increasingly Turning to Commodity ETFs," to explore the macro forces shaping commodity markets today. 

    Download the eBook: insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs 

    CORN Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/corn 

    This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. The prospectus is available at  https://teucrium.com/corn.

    Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodities and futures generally are volatile, and  instruments whose underlying investments include commodities and futures are not suitable for all investors. Past  performance does not guarantee future results. 

    For further discussion of these and additional risks associated with an investment in the Funds please read the  respective Fund Prospectus before investing. 

    CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT are commodity pools regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading  Commission (CFTC). The Funds do not track the spot price of corn, sugar, soybeans or wheat. These Funds,  which are ETPs, are not a mutual fund or any other type of Investment Company within the meaning of the  Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, and are not subject to regulation thereunder. Teucrium Trading,  LLC is the Sponsor for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT. 

    PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT and is not affiliated with  Teucrium Investment Advisors, LLC and Teucrium Trading, LLC. 

    Sources 

    • Fertilizer trade through Strait of Hormuz: International Fertilizer Association (IFA), Global Fertilizer Trade Data; USDA  ERS, Fertilizer Use and Price reports. 

    • Corn as heaviest nitrogen user: USDA Economic Research Service, Fertilizer Use and Price (most recent edition). • Input cost / margin impact and acreage-switching scenarios: Framing is conditional and analytical; not presented as  projections. Consistent with FINRA 2210(d)(1) standards for educational market commentary. 

    • Fund structure: Teucrium Corn Fund Prospectus (most recent effective date). 

    Marketing Agent: PINE Distributors LLC. 

    5324752 

    Sourcing Index 

    • Fertilizer trade through Strait of Hormuz: International Fertilizer Association (IFA), Global Fertilizer Trade Data; USDA  ERS, Fertilizer Use and Price reports. 

    • Corn as heaviest nitrogen user: USDA Economic Research Service, Fertilizer Use and Price (most recent edition). • Input cost / margin impact and acreage-switching scenarios: Framing is conditional and analytical; not presented as  projections. Consistent with FINRA 2210(d)(1) standards for educational market commentary. 

    • Fund structure: Teucrium Corn Fund Prospectus (most recent effective date).
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About Monetary Matters with Jack Farley
Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

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