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Talking Billions with Bogumil Baranowski

Bogumil Baranowski
Talking Billions with Bogumil Baranowski
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295 episodes

  • Talking Billions with Bogumil Baranowski

    100 Year Thinkers, Ep. 7: The Last Moat | Chris Mayer and Ian Cassel on the Stock Picking Edge AI Can’t Replicate

    08/05/2026 | 1h 16 mins.
    This episode of 100 Year Thinkers brings together Chris Mayer and Ian Cassel for a deep discussion on long-term stock picking, microcap investing, business quality, AI disruption, management teams, and the behavioral skills that separate great investors from great analysts. They explore why the edge in investing may increasingly come from judgment, presence, relationships, patience, and the ability to hold the right businesses through uncertainty.
    Matt Zeigler and I had the privilege of hosting Ian Cassel and Chris Mayer for a special 100-Year Thinkers Edition of the Excess Returns Podcast.
    Available now on Excess Returns Podcast and Talking Billions. 🎧
    I’m excited to share this episode with you—it’s reposted here with permission and blessing from the Excess Returns team. Don’t miss it! And follow their work, links below.
    Resources Discussed
    The Last Moat
    https://microcapclub.com/the-last-moat/
    Stock Picker by Ian Cassel
    https://microcapclub.com/stock-picker/
    The Investor’s Odyssey by Chris Mayer
    https://www.amazon.com/Investors-Odys...
    Follow Chris Mayer on Twitter
    https://x.com/chriswmayer
    Follow Ian Cassel on Twitter
    https://x.com/iancassel
    Topics Covered
    Why being present with management teams may still be an investor edge in the age of AI

    How microcap investing differs from small-cap, mid-cap and large-cap investing

    Why talking to management can build conviction but also create bias

    How Chris Mayer thinks about vertical market software, mission-critical systems and AI disruption

    Why AI may become table stakes rather than a durable competitive advantage

    How small companies can use AI to improve workflows, sales, inventory and productivity

    Why many microcaps have short shelf lives and rarely become true long-term compounders

    The role of intelligent fanatics, owner-operators and repeat winners in great investments

    Why management transitions can create powerful microcap opportunities

    The difference between being a great analyst and being a great investor

    Why execution, position sizing, selling losers and holding winners matter more than hit rate

    How Matt and Bogumil apply the lessons to AI, business quality and the limits of small business scalability

    Podcast Program – Disclosure Statement
    Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC is a registered investment adviser and the opinions expressed by the Firm’s employees and podcast guests on this show are their own and do not reflect the opinions of Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC. All statements and opinions expressed are based upon information considered reliable although it should not be relied upon as such. Any statements or opinions are subject to change without notice.
    Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed.
    Information expressed does not take into account your specific situation or objectives, and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for any individual. Listeners are encouraged to seek advice from a qualified tax, legal, or investment adviser to determine whether any information presented may be suitable for their specific situation. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.
  • Talking Billions with Bogumil Baranowski

    Playing the Long Game with Bogumil Baranowski: Morgan on Purpose Podcast

    07/05/2026 | 30 mins.
    I was honored to join Morgan Ranstrom on his wonderful podcast, Morgan on Purpose. You can find the episode here or on your favorite podcast platform under either Morgan on Purpose or Talking Billions. I highly recommend exploring Morgan’s show—it’s thoughtful, insightful, and well worth a listen.
    Spotify , Apple , Buzzsprout , YouTube
    What does it mean to truly play the long game with your money—and your life?
    In this episode, Morgan sits down with investor, author, and “Talking Billions” host Bogumil Baranowski for a \conversation on investing, identity, and the deeper purpose behind wealth.
    They explore the idea of an “infinite time horizon” and why the best investors—and families—think far beyond their own lifetimes. From lessons learned during the pandemic while writing Crisis Investing to the role advisors play in moments of uncertainty, Bogumil shares how to stay grounded when the world feels anything but.
    Along the way, they unpack the mental models that shape how we think about money—like why building wealth might be less like climbing a mountain and more like rolling a snowball.
    If you’re thinking about your financial future, your family, or how to take a more intentional, long-term approach to wealth, this episode is for you.
    Thank you for listening!
    Find all about Morgan Ranstrom here:
    https://morganranstrom.com/

    Podcast Program – Disclosure Statement
    Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC is a registered investment adviser and the opinions expressed by the Firm’s employees and podcast guests on this show are their own and do not reflect the opinions of Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC. All statements and opinions expressed are based upon information considered reliable although it should not be relied upon as such. Any statements or opinions are subject to change without notice.
    Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed.
  • Talking Billions with Bogumil Baranowski

    Joseph S. Moore: What 300 Years of Money Advice Taught One Historian About Getting Rich: Capitalism is not a Scam, the American Dream is Alive, Marriage is a Superpower, Hope is an Asset

    04/05/2026 | 1h 21 mins.
    Joseph S. Moore is a historian, author, and investor who spent a decade reading nearly every piece of financial advice published in America over the past 300 years, testing those lessons himself, and distilling them into his HarperCollins book How to Get Rich in American History, selected by Malcolm Gladwell and Adam Grant for their Next Big Idea Club.
    Episode Sponsor: Fiscal AI is a modern data terminal that gives investors instant access to twenty years of financials, earnings transcripts, and extensive segment and KPI data—use my link for a two-week free trial plus 15% off: https://fiscal.ai/talkingbillions/
    3:00 — Joseph's working-class South Carolina roots: mother born into a home with no flush toilet, father's family led the famous Gastonia mill strike in the 1920s, grew up in a household that voted communist.
    5:00 — Bogumil shares his parallel experience growing up in communist Poland and watching the country transform after embracing free markets.
    8:00 — The church basement class that saved Joseph from the 2008 crisis: bought a house as a grad student, a Dave Ramsey budgeting class revealed the danger, sold the house one week before the market froze.
    11:00 — The American Dream: people have declared it dead since the 1670s. Joseph introduces "Big Woe" — the despair industrial complex of journalists, politicians, and academics incentivized to sell doom.
    17:00 — Upward mobility data: in the 1800s, 20-30% moved from bottom to middle class; today, 60% escape the bottom, 10% go all the way to the top. "We have more economic mobility than we've ever had."
    23:00 — Dismantling financial shibboleths: compound interest only recently became powerful (people didn't live long enough), stocks didn't reliably beat bonds until after WWII, real estate stayed flat for a century in most cities.
    31:00 — Old ideas in new packaging: latte factor advice dates to the 1800s, crypto mirrors 10,000 self-issued currencies before the Civil War ("all self-issued currencies eventually go to zero"), Airbnb reimagines the oldest mortgage payoff strategy.
    37:00 — Fast time vs. slow time: most of life is lived in slow time — the daily decisions about career, marriage, savings that determine whether you can seize opportunities when fast time arrives. Story of Norman McGee buying foreclosed homes during the Depression.
    42:00 — Women as unsung financial heroes throughout American history. Agnes Taylor, a beat cop's wife, paid off a New York brownstone by renting rooms. "Capitalism is a team sport. Marriage is a superpower."
    51:00 — Hope as a financial asset: CFPB studies found a positive attitude plus saving habit outpredicted income and inheritance for financial wellness.
    56:00 — FIRE movement as the "crossfit of personal finance" — financially independent people throughout history only thrived when they found meaningful work to do.
    1:04:00 — Generational wealth doesn't last: 90% of top 1%'s grandchildren are not wealthy. "Tutors outperform trust funds." Human capital is 30x the value of the stock market.
    1:09:00 — Joseph's definition of success: a great marriage, raising good kids, getting good enough at something that people trust you. "The money could go away and I'd have all those other things."
    Podcast Program – Disclosure Statement
    Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC is a registered investment adviser and the opinions expressed by the Firm’s employees and podcast guests on this show are their own and do not reflect the opinions of Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC. All statements and opinions expressed are based upon information considered reliable although it should not be relied upon as such. Any statements or opinions are subject to change without notice.
    Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed.
  • Talking Billions with Bogumil Baranowski

    Unfiltered Coffee Q&A, April 2026: Finding Compounders, Building Conviction, and Navigating AI, Careers, and Wealth Across Generations

    30/04/2026 | 1h 7 mins.
    I share a wide-ranging monthly Q&A on long-term investing and the human side of money, from finding compounding opportunities and building conviction in uncertain markets to portfolio construction and idea generation. Tune in, enjoy listen here or on your favorite platform.
    I explain my approach: treat stocks as ownership of businesses, focus on value versus price, use structured checklists alongside experience-based intuition, keep a living wishlist, and use market turmoil to buy good businesses at better prices. I discuss position sizing and timing (often gradual, sometimes fast in panics), what I do when a stock falls, why holding great businesses long enough matters, and why I use valuation ranges rather than precise targets.
    I also cover how AI helps with information processing while judgment and conviction remain human, reflect on career decisions and non-traditional paths into investing, offer views on private equity and the role of a CEO, and discuss wealth across generations, family dynamics, housing, succession, and balancing ambition with fulfillment.

    Podcast Program – Disclosure Statement
    Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC is a registered investment adviser and the opinions expressed by the Firm’s employees and podcast guests on this show are their own and do not reflect the opinions of Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC. All statements and opinions expressed are based upon information considered reliable although it should not be relied upon as such. Any statements or opinions are subject to change without notice.
    Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed.
  • Talking Billions with Bogumil Baranowski

    Adam Mead: 850 Pages Of Berkshire: What The Numbers Don't Tell You | Why Trust, Conviction, And Liability Management Matter More Than Spreadsheets

    27/04/2026 | 1h 6 mins.
    Adam Mead is a professional investor, CEO of Mead Capital Management, and author of the 850-page second edition of The Complete Financial History of Berkshire Hathaway — one of the most exhaustive chronicles of Warren Buffett’s conglomerate ever written.
    Episode Sponsor: Fiscal AI is a modern data terminal that gives investors instant access to twenty years of financials, earnings transcripts, and extensive segment and KPI data—use my link for a two-week free trial plus 15% off: https://fiscal.ai/talkingbillions/
    3:00 – Adam explains why a second edition was necessary: the pandemic, Apple’s rise to 50% of the portfolio, Allegheny and Pilot acquisitions, Japanese trading houses, losing Charlie Munger, and Buffett’s retirement
    5:58 – Berkshire’s underlying philosophy hasn’t changed — it’s the world that changed; living through history feels more intense than researching it on the page
    8:25 – Why Buffett sold the airlines: as largest shareholder, Berkshire could have blocked bailout funds, putting the airlines’ survival at risk
    11:28 – New investment cases rhyme with the past; patient capital allocation works; $72B in share repurchases between 2020–2024 was the real “elephant”
    15:22 – Japanese trading houses financed with 1% yen-denominated debt — currency-insulated and opening future partnership opportunities
    17:56 – The new chapters are Buffett’s final years; succession to Greg Abel was methodical, not sudden; Greg made material improvements visible in the financials
    22:01 – Global expansion under Greg Abel could be Berkshire’s next chapter, following Fairfax’s playbook
    23:50 – Sum of the parts walkthrough: $373B cash (~$320B deployable), $234B equities (after Apple adjustment and deferred taxes), BNSF $80-90B, BHE ~$70B, MSR businesses ~$205B, insurance underwriting ~$42.5B, minus $22.5B holding company debt = just over $1 trillion intrinsic value
    44:41 – S&P underperformance is more about the index going “nuts” than Berkshire missing something
    48:47 – Cash buildup is confluence, not structural: Apple gains, expensive market, Berkshire shares at/above intrinsic value — like a water balloon filling up
    56:41 – Berkshire’s edge: de-emphasize information, emphasize continual learning, patience, and underappreciated liability management
    1:00:54 – AI won’t replace conviction; if it could be done by clicking a button, the advantage negates itself
    1:10:15 – Conviction requires deep work; shallow roots won’t hold through volatility
    Podcast Program – Disclosure Statement
    Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC is a registered investment adviser and the opinions expressed by the Firm’s employees and podcast guests on this show are their own and do not reflect the opinions of Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC. All statements and opinions expressed are based upon information considered reliable although it should not be relied upon as such. Any statements or opinions are subject to change without notice.
    Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed.

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About Talking Billions with Bogumil Baranowski

EVERY MONDAY A NEW EPISODE. I READ ALL MY EMAILS - contact form on my website - www.bogumilbaranowski.com. TELL ME YOUR STORY. I’m Bogumil Baranowski, an author, a TEDx speaker, an investor, and an investment advisor to families and individuals. Intimate conversations about money, wealth, and living a rich and fulfilling life. We talk about big ideas, big inspirations, big topics. We take on the hardest subject of all – money: how to make it, save it, keep it, but our conversations lead us to an even bigger question — what it means to live a rich life beyond money. NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
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