Investing Unscripted

In this holiday special, Jason and Jeff wrap up 2025 by reviewing the year's biggest stories—from the AI boom to inflation and trade wars. They discuss whether the AI narrative is showing any cracks and debate which sectors might dominate in 2026, with Jason making a case for homebuilders and Jeff eyeing the energy sector. The hosts also reveal the simplified rules for the 2026 Investing Unscripted Portfolio Contest, inviting listeners to submit their "buy and hold" picks for charity. Finally, they share their "YOLO" picks and confess what they got wrong in 2025.01:25 Upcoming Contest Announcement02:00 2025 Year in Review05:47 AI Dominance and Market Trends13:08 Stock Picks for 202618:19 Sector Predictions for 202623:25 AI and Renewable Energy: The China Factor24:53 Reflecting on 2025: Biggest Misjudgments27:39 Lemonade's Unexpected Success30:48 Top Performing Stocks of 2025: Predictions for 202634:47 Robinhood's Race Against Time37:30 2026 Stock Contest: Rules and Guidelines44:29 Wrapping Up: Final Thoughts and Holiday WishesCompanies mentioned: GOOGL, ENPH, LMND, MU, NEM, NVDA, PLTR, HOOD, STX, SNPS, WBD, WDC*****************************************Join our PatreonSubscribe to our portfolio on Savvy Trader *****************************************Email: [email protected]: @InvestingPodCheck out our YouTube channel for more content: ******************************************To get 15% off any paid plan at fiscal.ai, visit https://fiscal.ai/unscripted******************************************Listen to the Chit Chat Stocks Podcast for discussions on stocks, financial markets, super investors, and more. Follow the show on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or YouTube******************************************The Smattering Six2025 Portfolio Contest2024 Portfolio Contest2023 Portfolio Contest

Bill Brewster, host of The Business Brew, joins us for a candid conversation about the mental toll of stock picking and his evolution from "cigar butt" value investing to quality compounders. We dive deep into his sharp criticism of Disney CEO Bob Iger, debate whether Berkshire Hathaway is facing a "conglomerate discount" after its recent management shakeup, and discuss why sometimes the best investing strategy is simply admitting you might be the "dumbest person in the room."00:24 Introducing the Guest: Bill Brewster00:50 Bill's Investment Philosophy04:05 Frameworks vs. Rules in Investing06:59 Evolving as an Investor11:01 David Gardner's Influence18:18 Goals vs. Incentives in Investing24:03 Building a Robust Investing Framework24:27 Traits of Quality Enterprises26:18 Economic Moats and Management Insights27:45 Disney's Leadership and Strategic Shifts32:58 Berkshire Hathaway's Future LeadershipCompanies mentioned: BN, BRK.B, CLPT, COST, DIS, FAST, GIS, JPM, MCD, MELI, NFLX, OLN, OXY, PM, SHOP, WBD, WMT*****************************************Check out The Business Brew: https://www.thebusinessbrew.com/*****************************************Join our PatreonSubscribe to our portfolio on Savvy Trader *****************************************Email: [email protected]: @InvestingPodCheck out our YouTube channel for more content: ******************************************To get 15% off any paid plan at fiscal.ai, visit https://fiscal.ai/unscripted******************************************Listen to the Chit Chat Stocks Podcast for discussions on stocks, financial markets, super investors, and more. Follow the show on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or YouTube******************************************The Smattering Six2025 Portfolio Contest2024 Portfolio Contest2023 Portfolio Contest

It's time to grade our 2025 predictions (spoiler: we were mostly wrong) and make some reckless new calls for 2026. We debate whether Oracle or Alphabet will be the next mega-cap winner, if Tesla's full self-driving ambitions will crash the stock, and why Strategy might be the single most dangerous stock to own next year. Plus, we ask the big question: Will the market finally crash in 2026, or is the AI bubble just getting started?00:16 Reckless Predictions and Accountability00:34 Catching Up After the Holidays01:42 Reviewing Last Year's Predictions06:03 Stock Picks for 202511:10 Stocks to Avoid in 202520:46 Reflecting on Housing Market Predictions24:30 S&P 500 Prediction Review25:16 New Predictions for 202626:35 Oracle's Market Potential27:29 Alphabet's AI Advantage28:43 ASML and GE Aerospace Predictions31:55 Kinsale Capital and Stock Picks34:29 Stocks to Avoid in 202640:31 Reckless Predictions for 2026Companies mentioned: AAPL, ASML, BRK.B, DFH, ENPH, GE, GOOGL, GRBK, INTC, KNSL, LLY, LEN, MELI, META, MSFT, MSTR, MTH, NVDA, ORCL, PHM, PLTR, TREX, TSLA, WMT*****************************************Join our PatreonSubscribe to our portfolio on Savvy Trader *****************************************Email: [email protected]: @InvestingPodCheck out our YouTube channel for more content: ******************************************To get 15% off any paid plan at fiscal.ai, visit https://fiscal.ai/unscripted******************************************Listen to the Chit Chat Stocks Podcast for discussions on stocks, financial markets, super investors, and more. Follow the show on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or YouTube******************************************The Smattering Six2025 Portfolio Contest2024 Portfolio Contest2023 Portfolio Contest

Jason and Jeff discuss why the best time to analyze a company might be weeks after they report, and share their personal strategies for this quieter period. 03:00 Why You Should Wait a Month Before Analyzing Earnings 06:00 Early Investing Mistakes 12:00 Panic-Buying and the CrowdStrike Example 15:00 How Incentives (and "Being First") Skew Financial Media 20:00 Annual Reports & The Rexford Industrial Deep Dive 24:00 The Value of Community: Canadian Solar 26:00 Spreadsheets and "Quiet Time" Research 29:00 Timing Buys Around Earnings Dates35:00 Improvements: Investing Journal? (Airbnb)Companies mentioned: ABNB, CRWD, CSIQ, REXR, TTD*****************************************Join our PatreonSubscribe to our portfolio on Savvy Trader *****************************************Email: [email protected]: @InvestingPodCheck out our YouTube channel for more content: ******************************************To get 15% off any paid plan at fiscal.ai, visit https://fiscal.ai/unscripted******************************************Listen to the Chit Chat Stocks Podcast for discussions on stocks, financial markets, super investors, and more. Follow the show on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or YouTube******************************************The Smattering Six2025 Portfolio Contest2024 Portfolio Contest2023 Portfolio Contest

In this month’s mailbag, Jason and Jeff tackle the "Book Value" bear thesis for Lemonade and discuss when the company might finally reach profitability. They also address a listener's dilemma about what to do with a losing position in PayPal, debating the sunk cost fallacy and the company’s turnaround prospects. Finally, the hosts weigh in on whether Cava or Chipotle is the better buy right now and explain how to choose between Brookfield Corporation and Brookfield Renewable.01:13 Mailbag: Answering Your Questions03:01 First Question: Lemonade's Book Value Bear Thesis16:25 Second Question: Adding to a Losing Position23:40 Pandemic Impact on Digital Growth23:48 PayPal's Strategic Shift24:22 Dividend Announcement and Future Outlook25:15 Investment Decisions and Opportunity Cost25:59 PayPal's IPO Journey and Current Challenges26:46 Investor Caution and Decision-Making28:23 Market Confusion and Analytical Challenges31:58 Chipotle vs. Kava: Investment Insights32:13 Fast Casual Dining Industry Analysis41:16 Brookfield Renewable vs. Brookfield CorporationCompanies mentioned: BAM, BEP, BN, CAVA, CMG, DRI, ETSY, LMND, PINS, PYPL, SBUX, SOFI*****************************************Join our PatreonSubscribe to our portfolio on Savvy Trader *****************************************Email: [email protected]: @InvestingPodCheck out our YouTube channel for more content: ******************************************To get 15% off any paid plan at fiscal.ai, visit https://fiscal.ai/unscripted******************************************Listen to the Chit Chat Stocks Podcast for discussions on stocks, financial markets, super investors, and more. Follow the show on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or YouTube******************************************The Smattering Six2025 Portfolio Contest2024 Portfolio Contest2023 Portfolio Contest