Chip Stock Investor Podcast

As we gear up for Nvidia earnings, the conversation in the AI data center era has shifted toward one critical ingredient: Memory. In this video we are discussing the "memory trade" and why High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) is causing such a shift in the market.

In this video, we break down Micron’s (MU) aggressive production ramp and debunk the rumors surrounding their place in Nvidia’s supply chain.

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Chapters:00:00 – The Memory Trade & Nvidia Anticipation 00:45 – HBM: The Essential AI Ingredient 01:45 – Addressing the Nvidia Supply Chain Rumors 02:30 – Is Memory a Commodity? The Cyclical Risk 03:15 – Calculating Free Cash Flow (FCF) 04:00 – Demand vs. Supply: Why Prices are Rising 05:00 – The Global Fab Expansion: Idaho, NY, & Beyond 06:15 – The $150 Billion CapEx Assumption 07:20 – Micron Valuation: 2026 & 2027 Forecasts 08:00 – Final Thoughts: Still Going Strong?

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Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!
Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.
#Micron #MU #AIInvesting #Semiconductors #HBM #ChipStockInvestor #StockValuation #TechStocks #Nvidia #MemoryTrade
Nick and Kasey own shares of Micron

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) is facing a volatile market, leading many to ask: is the "SaaS Apocalypse" finally hitting cybersecurity? We break down why the market is hammering the stock despite a clear secular growth trend in the industry.<br>Since Nikesh Aurora took over in 2018, Palo Alto has spent $31 billion on multiple acquisitions to pivot from a simple firewall provider to a cloud and AI security powerhouse. We analyze the recent CyberArk deal, the shift in free cash flow margins, and why the company’s platformization strategy is creating a longer payoff cycle for investors.<br>If you are a PANW shareholder or looking for a value entry in cybersecurity, this video covers the essential valuation metrics.<br>Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br>#PaloAltoNetworks #PANW #Cybersecurity #Investing #StockMarket #TechStocks #AI #SaaS #CloudSecurity<br>Nick and Kasey own shares of PANW

The CapEx holiday of the 2010s is officially over. After a decade of stagnant infrastructure investment, we’ve hit an inflection point with US manufacturing finally pulling out of a three-year slump. In January 2026, the PMI moved above 50%, signaling that customer orders are finally outpacing production—a leading indicator that the broader economy is heating up.<br>In this video, we move past the headlines to see which companies are actually bucking the trend of normal seasonality. From diversified IDMs like Microchip and TI seeing sequential increases to fabless leaders like Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) taking market share, the recovery is broadening out. Whether it's grid infrastructure through specialists like Littelfuse or the high-voltage data center architecture of the future, the auto and industrial end markets are finally signaling a return to growth.<br>Join us on with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>🎧: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/chipstockinvestor<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br>#ChipStocks #Investing #Manufacturing #IndustrialAI #Semiconductors #MonolithicPower #StockMarket2026 #mpwrpeople <br>Nick and Kasey own shares of MPWR, MCHP, ADI, ON, QCOM, LSCC, AMD, ALGM

The software apocalypse continues to rattle the market, but AppLovin (APP) is currently operating like a financial "cheat code." Despite the recent stock dip, the core digital ad business is showing explosive growth, with Q1 2026 guidance projecting a 52% jump in revenue. Between the insane 84% adjusted EBITDA margins and the expansion of their Axon 2.0 AI algorithms, this business is converting cash to the bottom line at an incredible rate.<br>We’re breaking down the reverse DCF to see if the current price is a steal or a trap. With free cash flow nearly doubling to $4 billion and a balance sheet that is back to parity, the black box of AI-driven advertising is proving its value. If you’re looking for a long-term compounding machine that thrives as AI makes content creation easier, watch until the end to see why we might nibble if the stock hits the low $400s.<br>Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>Chapters:00:00 The Software Apocalypse Continues 02:15 Q1 2026 Guidance: 52% Revenue Growth 03:30 EBITDA Margins 04:45 CEO Adam Feroughi on the AI Advantage 05:50 The Axon 2.0 Black Box 07:00 Free Cash Flow Doubled08:30 Share Repurchases & Balance Sheet Health 09:45 Reverse DCF: Finding the Fair Value 11:00 Our Strategy: Buying the Dip?If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>*********************************************************
<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br>#AppLovin #APP #StockMarket #AI #Investing #GrowthStocks #DigitalAds #FiscalAI<br>Nick and Kasey own shares of AppLovin

Astera Labs (ALAB) recently crushed earnings estimates and provided strong guidance for Q1 2026, yet the stock remains down. Why is the market hesitating?<br>In this video, we break down the Q4 financials for Astera Labs and preview what to expect from Credo Technology (CRDO). We discuss the competitive landscape regarding re-timers and AECs, but more importantly, we expose a significant red flag regarding customer concentration, the Amazon warrant deal.www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Is Astera Labs buying revenue at the expense of shareholders? We also run a Reverse DCF valuation to see what growth is priced in at $144/share. <br>https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form
<br>www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>Chapters:00:00 - Astera Labs: Great Earnings, Bad Stock Action 01:10 - Credo & Astera: The High Growth Dilemma 01:58 - Retimers & Competition (Broadcom, Marvell) 03:00 - M&A Strategy: Consolidating the Market 03:52 - Astera Labs Q4 Financial Review05:14 - Credo Technology Preview: Niche Focus vs. Breadth 06:33 - The Major Risk: Customer Concentration (Hyperscalers) 07:29 - Explained: The Amazon Warrant Deal (Buying Revenue?) 10:18 - Astera Labs Valuation: Reverse DCF at $144 11:27 - Conclusion: Why These Are "Babysitter" Stocks<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br>#AsteraLabs #ALAB #Credo #CRDO #Semiconductors #StockMarket #Investing #ChipStockInvestor #AIfinance<br>Nick and Kasey own shares of Credo