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Chip Stock Investor Podcast

Nicholas Rossolillo; Kasey Rossolillo
Chip Stock Investor Podcast
Latest episode

473 episodes

  • Chip Stock Investor Podcast

    Palantir Q2 2026: What's Really Driving 149% Growth

    09/08/2026 | 7 mins.
    Palantir just reported Q2 2026 earnings, and the headline number, revenue nearly doubling year over year, only tells part of the story. We go beyond the standard quarterly earnings review to unpack what's actually driving Palantir's acceleration: AIP, its AI platform built to help enterprises deploy AI without handing proprietary data to the large AI labs.

    We look at the data behind the deployment phase of the AI cycle, why US commercial customer revenue jumped 149 percent even as customer count grew far more slowly, and what nearly 220 million dollar-plus deals signal about enterprise demand.

    We also run a reverse discounted cash flow on Palantir's current valuation, walk through management's own eighteen month growth targets, and revisit the ethical and government contract concerns we flagged when we first covered this stock two years ago.

    This is a research-backed look at whether Palantir's AIP business justifies its valuation, and whether it belongs in a long-term semiconductor and AI-adjacent portfolio.

    Semi Insider members get access to Chip Stock Investor's research platform and tools plus deeper research as it happens. Join at chipstockinvestor.com.
    Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted, and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal. Chip Stock Investor does not own shares of Palantir.
  • Chip Stock Investor Podcast

    Rocket Lab's 8 Billion Dollar Bid for Iridium

    07/08/2026 | 21 mins.
    Rocket Lab has proposed acquiring Iridium Communications in an eight billion dollar deal combining new stock issuance and cash. We break down why this move pushes Rocket Lab toward becoming a fully vertically integrated space economy company, spanning satellite components, spacecraft manufacturing, launch services through Electron and the upcoming Neutron rocket, and now satellite-based communications through Iridium's L-band constellation. We walk through our updated investment thesis checklist, Q1 2026 earnings showing revenue up 63 percent year over year, and the combined pro forma financials: roughly one point six billion dollars in trailing twelve month revenue, a swing from negative to near breakeven EBITDA, and Iridium's 288 million dollars in free cash flow offsetting Rocket Lab's cash burn. We also cover the balance sheet impact of Rocket Lab moving from net cash to net debt, and run a reverse discounted cash flow to solve for the growth rate the market is currently pricing in at roughly a 50 billion dollar enterprise value. Is Rocket Lab stock a buy after the sell-off, or still priced for perfection? We share where we stand.

    Semi Insider members get access to Chip Stock Investor's research platform and tools plus deeper research as it happens. Join at chipstockinvestor.com.
    Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted, and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal. Chip Stock Investor does not own shares of Rocket Lab.
  • Chip Stock Investor Podcast

    Alphabet Earnings: The Conglomerate Discount Explained

    06/08/2026 | 13 mins.
    Alphabet Q2 2026 earnings show a company with two different stories depending on where you look, and we break down the conglomerate discount hiding in the balance sheet.

    Google Cloud revenue jumped to over 24 billion dollars for the quarter, up 80 percent year over year, with operating income approaching nine billion dollars, now over 20 percent of Alphabet's total operating income. Trailing twelve month GAAP operating profit has grown faster than revenue, driven by Search and Cloud strength.

    But capital expenditures are changing the picture fast. Alphabet's 2026 capex guidance now sits near 200 billion dollars as part of the broader hyperscaler AI infrastructure buildout, pushing quarterly free cash flow negative for the first time in this cycle.

    We go beyond the headline numbers to explain why data transparency issues around Alphabet's variable interest entities, equity derivatives, and credit derivatives make the balance sheet harder to analyze than it looks. We also cover Alphabet's forward valuation and the semiconductor read through from continued AI infrastructure spending.

    Semi Insider members get access to Chip Stock Investor's research platform and tools plus deeper research as it happens. Join at chipstockinvestor.com.

    Chip Stock Investor and/or its hosts currently hold a position in Alphabet stock. Nothing in this content is financial advice; do your own research before making investment decisions.
  • Chip Stock Investor Podcast

    $900B in AI CapEx, $1.5T Coming in 2027 — Is the Semiconductor Cycle Still Intact?

    03/08/2026 | 15 mins.
    Nearly $580 billion in trailing twelve-month capital expenditure across Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Meta, Oracle, Tesla, and SpaceX. Full year 2026 approaching $900 billion. CSI's 2027 estimate: $1.5 trillion. CSI breaks down the Q2 hyperscaler CapEx numbers and makes the case for why the semiconductor bull market remains intact despite a volatile few weeks for chip stocks.AWS, Azure, Google Cloud, and Oracle are all reporting multi-year backlogs. Amazon just raised its 2026 CapEx guide to $220 billion, partly driven by rising memory prices — sending more capital directly to the semiconductor supply chain. Gartner revised data center spending up to $820 billion for 2026, a sixty-three percent year-over-year increase. The recent pullback looks like a leverage unwind, not a fundamental shift.For in-depth research and the Semiconductor Insider membership, visit chipstockinvestor.com. Use fiscal.ai/csi for 15% off any paid plan.Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.CSI owns shares of Meta, Alphabet, Oracle, and Amazon.
  • Chip Stock Investor Podcast

    Seagate (STX): HDDs Roar Back on AI Storage Demand

    02/08/2026 | 11 mins.
    Seagate's latest results show hard disk drives making a real comeback as NAND and SSD prices rise and hyperscalers turn to HDDs for flexible, massive AI storage capacity. CSI breaks down a quarter where exabyte shipments grew 34% year over year, with 90% going to data centers, data center revenue up 57% to $2.9 billion, and total revenue up 48%.
    The conversation covers Seagate's broad shipments of Mozaic 3, the ramp of 40TB-plus Mozaic 4 with the two largest global cloud service providers, and plans for Mozaic 5 qualification shipments in late 2027. We also dig into how Seagate plans to grow without expanding manufacturing capacity, using vertically integrated HAMR technology to increase terabytes per drive, and how that strategy is driving profitability, debt reduction, buybacks, and dividend support.
    Finally, we look at guidance for Q1 FY2027, which implies revenue of roughly $4.1 billion, about 36% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, and what that means for the broader memory cycle story heading into 2027.
    Semi Insider members get access to CSI's research platform and tools, plus deeper research as it happens. Join at chipstockinvestor.com.
    Get 15% off your fiscal.ai membership with our link: fiscal.ai/csi
    This content is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts may not develop as predicted, and there is no guarantee any strategy discussed will be successful. All investing involves risk, including loss of principal. CSI owns shares of Seagate.
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About Chip Stock Investor Podcast
Semiconductors are the heart of the modern economy. These small devices that manipulate the flow of electricity run everything from our PCs and smartphones to our cars to manufacturing. The semiconductor industry is at an inflection point of renewed growth, powering new movements like generative AI and electric vehicles. The Chip Stock Investor Podcast explores how semiconductors work, and especially the business of chips. Follow Nicholas and Kasey to learn how chip technology has become the engine of the world, and how to invest in its growth.
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