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Doug Casey's Take

Matthew Smith
Doug Casey's Take
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435 episodes

  • Doug Casey's Take

    Are We Living in 1984?

    21/08/2026 | 45 mins.
    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com
    Doug and Matt answer viewer questions on which dystopian story best fits the West today, focusing on expanding surveillance tech and a drift toward "1984," plus a nod to a second dystopia involving "Soma." They discuss the U.S. pressuring the Netherlands via the MATCH Act to curb ASML chip-tool sales to China, arguing there's no legitimate state role and warning it could damage ASML and supply chains. On reserve currency, Doug says paper currency is a government substitute for money and predicts a return to gold. They debate China's "communist" label, claiming the party intervenes less than often assumed and noting high Chinese savings versus low U.S. savings. They cover the Japanese carry trade, U.S. debt, depression risk, preparation advice for a 31-year-old leaving the military and a 44-year-old permaculture worker, draft speculation, Cyprus investing timing, AI/AGI risks, retirement income strategies, and priorities for small monthly investing, ending with an Einstein interest-rate joke and a teaser for an upcoming Bill Buppert interview.
    00:00 Viewer Questions Return
    01:11 Surveillance State Fears
    03:58 Chip War and ASML
    06:53 Reserve Currency and Gold
    09:08 Is China Really Communist
    11:50 Japan Carry Trade Risks
    14:17 Starting Prep at 31
    17:14 Generalist or Specialist
    19:02 Draft Anxiety and Independence
    22:29 Cyprus Investing Outlook
    24:15 AI Agents Gone Rogue
    25:21 Is AI Becoming Life
    27:14 Investing Around AI Risk
    28:39 Boats Planes And Expat Taxes
    30:29 Critical Metals Watchlist
    31:56 Retirement Income Portfolio
    33:35 Small Budget Priorities
    35:54 Robot Liability Questions
    38:32 Antifragile Society Debate
    42:06 Wrap Up And Interest Rates Joke
    44:14 Next Guest Announcement
  • Doug Casey's Take

    Doug Casey's $10,000 Bet: Trump Won't Finish His Term

    14/08/2026 | 37 mins.
    War Expands, Trump's Security Fears, and the Case for Commodities as AI Accelerates
    The speakers discuss the ongoing war and recent reports of Trump appearing fearful, citing images of him golfing behind concertina wire with air-defense systems and an earlier escape in a catering vehicle, alongside a $10,000 bet that he will not finish his term. They warn of potential Iranian retaliation and domestic blowback, arguing MANPADS and simple, hobby-like drones could be used against U.S. targets, and note a pattern of attacks on energy infrastructure, including Libyan oil facilities. They advocate owning gold and commodity/resource stocks, promoting a "Crisis Investing" portfolio and criticizing AI/chip stocks as a bubble. The conversation also covers alleged U.S. attacks on boats at sea, rumors of low morale and cover-ups on U.S. carriers, reflections on My Lai and Seymour Hersh, objections to Trump naming the Kennedy Center after himself, and optimism about SpaceX, AI, robots, and a coming productivity surge despite looming financial risks.
    00:00 Trump on the Run
    01:10 The $10K Trump Bet
    02:42 Golfing Behind Wire
    04:03 Iran Blowback Fears
    05:32 Homemade Drones Threat
    07:57 War Hits Energy Markets
    08:59 Crisis Investing Picks
    10:55 Drug Boats and Rogue Ops
    12:47 Drug War Counterargument
    14:27 Carrier Suicides and Mutiny
    16:19 Navy Logistics Breakdown
    19:05 Society Jobs and Colleges
    20:57 My Lai and Military Rot
    23:43 Kennedy Center Naming Row
    27:05 Elon SpaceX and AI Future
    31:45 Singularity vs Collapse
    34:48 Be a Creator Not Consumer
    35:47 Lifeboat Education and Assets
    37:01 Closing Thoughts
  • Doug Casey's Take

    Special Guest: Colonel Douglas Macgregor

    12/08/2026 | 1h 25 mins.
    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com
     Find Col. Douglas MacGregor at www.macgregorwarrior.substack.com
    https://www.youtube.com/@macgregorwarriordiplomacy
     and https://nationalconversation.org/
    No Existential Threat from China/Russia—America's Real Crisis Is Internal
    In a wide-ranging discussion, Col. Douglas MacGregor argues there are no existential military threats to the United States from China or Russia, contending the most serious dangers come from instability and organized crime in Mexico and the Caribbean Basin, weakened social cohesion, mass migration, and loss of American identity. He criticizes U.S. and NATO leadership over Ukraine, predicts Russia will ultimately defeat Ukraine, and calls Ukraine a "zombie state," while disputing portrayals of Putin as Hitler. MacGregor says defending U.S. borders and reducing overseas "forward presence" are essential in an age of precision missiles, and warns financial manipulation is postponing an inevitable economic reckoning driven by massive public and private debt. He claims the U.S. government is acting against Americans' interests, describes "Israel first" influence in Washington, and expects renewed action against Iran that could exhaust remaining U.S. capacity, while forecasting major geopolitical realignments in the Middle East.
    00:00 Biggest Threats Today
    01:40 No Military Existential Threat
    04:17 Ukraine War Reality Check
    05:34 Putin Hitler Narrative
    06:14 Son Visits Russia
    08:22 Why Russia Moves Slowly
    11:30 Ukraine as Zombie State
    12:49 Border Security Focus
    15:15 End Expeditionary Warfare
    17:33 Demographics and Migration
    18:19 Army on the Border
    20:30 American Identity Erosion
    23:08 Immigration and Prosperity
    24:46 Europe Identity Rebound
    30:35 Assimilation or Collapse
    31:55 Scarcity and Education
    40:29 Government Not Ours
    41:12 Israel First Policies
    45:19 Rural Urban Civil Strife
    48:20 Hybrid American Identity
    49:20 Executive Power Creep
    50:01 Historic Strongmen Examples
    52:48 Trump and Donor Control
    55:04 Corruption and Cromwell Fix
    56:12 Midterms and ICE Backlash
    58:10 Scarcity and Revolution Risks
    01:00:52 Institutional Decay and Youth
    01:05:31 Debt Reckoning and Vacuum
    01:10:40 Iran War Paths and Alliances
    01:17:02 Gaza as Regional Catalyst
    01:18:02 Where to Follow MacGregor
    01:19:08 Military Reform and Four Stars
    01:24:57 National Conversation Closing
  • Doug Casey's Take

    The Camp of the Saints

    31/07/2026 | 37 mins.
    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com
    Ceuta Migrant Surge, Fauci Senate Testimony, DEI in Nolan's The Odyssey, and Escalation Toward World War III Matt and Doug discuss a sudden influx of about 49,000 Moroccans into Spain's small enclave of Ceuta, questioning how the territory can house and feed them, whether NGOs and Moroccan authorities facilitated the crossing, and how Spain or the EU could respond given asylum rules and limited enforcement. They compare the event to past mass-migration episodes in Europe and the U.S. The conversation shifts to Anthony Fauci's Senate testimony, Rand Paul's questioning, Biden's blanket pardon, and allegations of profiteering and lack of accountability. They then review controversy around Nolan's film The Odyssey, arguing DEI casting choices may have been used subversively while still praising parts of the movie. They also cover U.S. border-device searches and debate whether expanding conflicts around Iran, attacks on energy infrastructure, and U.S. involvement indicate a slide toward World War III, including nuclear or cyber escalation.
    00:00 Ceuta Migrant Surge 02:24 Can Spain Stop It
    04:40 History and Parallels 09:06 Was It Organized
    12:36 Spillover to US Politics 14:10 Fauci Senate Showdown
    18:38 Nolan Odyssey DEI Debate
    27:03 TSA Phone Wipe Case
    28:40 Iran Conflict World War Risk
    36:15 Wrap Up and Listener Questions
  • Doug Casey's Take

    The Camp of the Saints

    31/07/2026 | 37 mins.
    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com
    Ceuta Migrant Surge, Fauci Senate Testimony, DEI in Nolan's The Odyssey, and Escalation Toward World War III Matt and Doug discuss a sudden influx of about 49,000 Moroccans into Spain's small enclave of Ceuta, questioning how the territory can house and feed them, whether NGOs and Moroccan authorities facilitated the crossing, and how Spain or the EU could respond given asylum rules and limited enforcement. They compare the event to past mass-migration episodes in Europe and the U.S. The conversation shifts to Anthony Fauci's Senate testimony, Rand Paul's questioning, Biden's blanket pardon, and allegations of profiteering and lack of accountability. They then review controversy around Nolan's film The Odyssey, arguing DEI casting choices may have been used subversively while still praising parts of the movie. They also cover U.S. border-device searches and debate whether expanding conflicts around Iran, attacks on energy infrastructure, and U.S. involvement indicate a slide toward World War III, including nuclear or cyber escalation.
    00:00 Ceuta Migrant Surge 02:24 Can Spain Stop It
    04:40 History and Parallels 09:06 Was It Organized
    12:36 Spillover to US Politics 14:10 Fauci Senate Showdown
    18:38 Nolan Odyssey DEI Debate
    27:03 TSA Phone Wipe Case
    28:40 Iran Conflict World War Risk
    36:15 Wrap Up and Listener Questions
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About Doug Casey's Take
Best-selling author, world-renowned speculator, and libertarian philosopher Doug Casey has garnered a well-earned reputation for his controversial insights into politics, economics, and investment markets. Doug literally wrote the book on profiting from periods of economic turmoil. *Crisis Investing* spent weeks as #1 on the New York Times bestseller list and became the best-selling financial book of 1980. He has been a featured guest on hundreds of radio and TV shows, including David Letterman, Merv Griffin, Charlie Rose, Phil Donahue, Regis Philbin, Maury Povich, NBC News, and CNN; has been the topic of numerous features in periodicals such as Time, Forbes, People, and the Washington Post; and is a regular keynote speaker.
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