The Paul Morris Podcast

The Federal Reserve didn't blink; should you? In this episode, Paul Mark Morris dives deep into the latest Fed meeting and what it means for you as an investor. With mortgage rates hitting a one-year high of 6.66% and the Fed holding rates steady, uncertainty looms large. But don't worry! Paul is here to help you navigate these turbulent waters. He’ll share the three critical numbers you need to know, his insights on where to find certainty amidst the Fed's indecision, and three key decisions you should make in the next 90 days. Remember, it’s not just about the price; it’s about the deal you can negotiate. Tune in to gain the knowledge you need to make informed decisions and secure your financial future.

Connect with Paul

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/paulmarkmorris/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@itspaulmarkmorris

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@paulmorrispodcast

Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/paulmarkmorris

Timestamps

00:00:00 - Introduction: The Fed Didn't Blink

00:01:10 - Segment 1: Three Numbers You Can't Afford to Miss

00:02:52 - What the Fed Said and the Dates That Matter

00:04:33 - Segment 2: War, Oil Prices, and Mortgage Rates

00:05:46 - Segment 3: Creating Certainty Through Better Deals

00:07:33 - Segment 4: Reality-Checking Predictions of a Crash

00:10:00 - Segment 5: Your Next 90 Days: 3 Decisions to Examine

00:14:01 - Disclaimer and Closing
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Paul Mark Morris is here with the numbers you can't afford to miss. In this episode, he explains why the market is frozen and what it will take to get it moving in your direction. Looking ahead, he unpacks the potential impacts of the upcoming Fed meeting and shares his mindset on making new deals in an uncertain interest rate environment. While he's got the top-level real estate news, only you can learn your local market and Paul will teach you what questions to ask and where to get the information you need to make informed decisions no matter where you live.

Connect with Paul

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/paulmarkmorris/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@itspaulmarkmorris

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@paulmorrispodcast

Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/paulmarkmorris

Timestamps

00:02:20 The Numbers You Can't Afford to Miss

00:04:14 Record Prices and Buyers Are Walking

00:09:35 War, Oil, and Your Mortgage Rate

00:17:24 Real Estate Is Local

00:21:01 Paul's Strategy for Learning Your Market

00:26:06 Guru Watch
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Paul Morris and Josh Spitzen interview real estate entrepreneur Daryl Owen, who describes being inspired at 14 to buy investment property, then purchasing his first rental at 19 while working at Papa John’s, struggling to rent it, and selling it two years later for a modest gain that pushed him into getting his real estate license. He shares lessons from buying an expensive personal home before 2008, losing money, and rebuilding by living below his means, then getting hooked on flipping after a first profitable deal and doing hundreds more. Daryl discusses mistakes (including permit issues), choosing between selling “home runs” and holding, using strategies like 1031 exchanges and cost segregation, and his current portfolio (~$10M holdings, ~$4.2K/month net cash flow). He emphasizes sourcing off-market deals via high-volume outreach, deciding quickly, and advising investors to stop waiting for perfection, buy decent deals, and hold long term, with future focus on multifamily value-add and ADUs.

*Daryl Owen*
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/darylrowen/
Website: https://www.zillow.com/profile/Daryl%20Owen

*Josh Spitzen*
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/spitzenjosh/
Website: https://forwardone.com/agents/josh-spitzen/

*Connect with Paul*
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/paulmarkmorris/
TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@itspaulmarkmorris
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@paulmorrispodcast
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/paulmarkmorris

*Presented by Entrepreneur Media & Money News Network*
Entrepreneur Media: https://www.entrepreneur.com/podcasts
Money News Network: https://www.moneynewsnetwork.com

Timestamps
00:00:00 Podcast Welcome
00:00:39 Real Estate Spark
00:01:58 First Rental Lessons
00:04:17 Get In The Game
00:05:28 Ego And Lifestyle Trap
00:06:18 Rebuilding After 2008
00:08:02 First Flip Breakthrough
00:09:48 Scaling Holds And Mistakes
00:11:31 Big Exits And Regrets
00:15:08 Deal Sourcing Playbook
00:17:43 Buy Now Hold Forever
00:19:14 Fourplex Deal Regrets
00:20:31 Renovation And Big Offer
00:22:01 Healthy Profit And 1031
00:23:16 Value Add Cap Rate Math
00:25:15 Rebuilding After Divorce
00:26:35 Multifamily And ADU Strategy
00:29:51 Income To Assets Mindset
00:31:35 Entry Level Rental Moat
00:36:20 Buy Buckets And Flips
00:37:38 Deal Sourcing With Team
00:38:53 Get In The Game Advice
00:39:25 Top Of The List Rules
00:40:57 Long Beach 24 Unit Close
00:41:42 Final Thanks And Wrap
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Paul Mark Morris argues the housing market is not heading for a 2026 crash, pointing to existing home sales rising 3.2% in May to a 4.17M annual pace (highest since December), with gains across most regions and first-time buyers at 35%, while prices keep climbing due to tight supply (about 4.5 months) and improved affordability (index 105.6). He explains mortgage rates remain stable around 6.5% despite expectations the Fed won’t cut in July, and highlights a surprising divergence: despite US-Iran strikes near the Strait of Hormuz, oil and gas prices are falling, easing inflation pressure. He also breaks down the proposed 21st Century Road to Housing Act, which would cap large institutional investors (350+ homes) from buying more single-family homes, potentially reducing competition for small investors, and outlines regional shifts with Sun Belt cooling and Midwest/Northeast strengthening.

*Connect with Paul*
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/paulmarkmorris/
TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@itspaulmarkmorris
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@paulmorrispodcast
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/paulmarkmorris

*Presented by Entrepreneur Media & Money News Network*
Entrepreneur Media: https://www.entrepreneur.com/podcasts
Money News Network: https://www.moneynewsnetwork.com

Timestamps
00:00:00 War Headlines Divergence
00:00:48 Show Intro Disclaimers
00:01:42 No 2026 Housing Crash
00:02:20 Sales Demand Rebound
00:04:49 Prices Supply Affordability
00:10:30 Mortgage Rates Reality
00:12:43 Fed Cuts And Mortgages
00:14:43 War Oil Gas Twist
00:18:38 Investor Cap Housing Bill
00:23:54 Hottest Coldest Markets
00:29:03 Luxury Market Signal
00:32:01 Three Moves Next 90
00:35:06 Wrap Up/Disclaimer
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Welcome back to The Paul Morris Podcast, brought to you by Entrepreneur Media.

In this State of the Market episode, I break down why the housing crash so many people are waiting for still is not showing up in the data. Existing home sales just hit a five-month high, prices are still rising year over year, inventory remains far from crash territory, and first-time buyers are back in the market.

I also walk through the bigger forces shaping real estate right now: mortgage rates, inflation, gas prices, the Fed, the war’s impact on oil, and why global headlines can quietly affect your monthly payment. But the biggest lesson is that national data only gets you so far. Your real edge as a buyer or investor comes from knowing your local market, your submarket, and even your street better than anyone else.

I talk about why waiting for the perfect moment can cost you, why you should underwrite deals at today’s rates instead of betting on a refinance, and how buyers may still have a window to negotiate before the crowd comes back in. If you want to understand what is actually happening in the market without the hype, this episode is for you.

*Connect with Paul*Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/paulmarkmorris/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@itspaulmarkmorrisYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@paulmorrispodcastFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/paulmarkmorris 

*Presented by Entrepreneur Media & Money News Network*Entrepreneur Media: https://www.entrepreneur.com/podcastsMoney News Network: https://www.moneynewsnetwork.com

Timestamps

00:00:00 State of the Market Intro

00:00:47 Crash in 2026 No

00:00:58 Sales Surge Despite Chaos

00:01:53 Inventory and Supply Explained

00:02:56 First Time Buyers Return

00:04:28 Forecasts and Local Reality

00:05:52 Hot and Cold Metro Swings

00:08:19 Micro Markets Matter Most

00:10:35 Is Now a Good Time

00:11:12 Buyer Leverage and Waiting Cost

00:13:10 Local Edge and ADUs

00:15:19 Mortgage Rates in 2026

00:16:12 Oil to Rates Chain

00:18:39 Fed Shift and Warsh

00:21:34 War Peace Gas and Action Plan
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