While the software sell-off was the story of the markets in January, the war between the US and Iran has dominated headlines since the end of February.
Back in September, 9fin highlighted a closure of the Strait of Hormuz as a black swan event that would shock the oil markets. When that scenario moved from a remote possibility to an impending risk, the team revisited the situation and outlined the first and second-order impacts of a potential strike — and then the war began.
In this episode, 9fin’s global head of distressed and LevFin Max Frumes is joined by senior credit analyst Alec Keblish to score the call: what they got right, what this tells us about prevailing market sentiment, and which sectors and individual issuers still contain pockets of volatility or opportunity even if the war were to conclude today.
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