On The Market

The peace deal between the U.S. and Iran has been agreed to (at least for now). The Strait of Hormuz, the chokehold on 20% of the world’s oil, is starting to open back up, and trade can, at least temporarily, continue. The question is, will inflation begin to fall if oil flows (more) freely through the Middle East? And if inflation falls, could mortgage rates be right behind them?

Today, we’re talking about what could actually happen from here on out. We’ve seen a lot of opinions recently saying this deal could boost the economy and the housing market, or bring mortgage rates back down to earth. The question is, will any of that actually happen? As real estate investors, knowing what’s coming down the pipeline can give you a huge advantage, but believing the wrong narrative can cost you.

So today, I’m giving you my honest, data-backed take on what happens next. Will inflation and mortgage rates retreat? When could we begin to see the effects of the open Strait? Will the housing market bounce back as the supply chain heals? And what should a real estate investor be on the lookout for before the changes hit our economy?

In This Episode We Cover

What really happens to mortgage rates when oil begins to flow and inflationary pressures ease?

Why economists are saying we could be “warm for a while” in this economy

Does Dave think rates will fall below 6% any time in 2026 (and if not, where will they be)?

The two things that could lead us to lower mortgage rates (one is good, one is…not)

The real effects the housing market will feel once the Strait is fully opened again

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

Join BiggerPockets for FREE

Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter

Find Investor-Friendly Lenders

On The Market 432 - J Scott: We Have 1-2 Months Before the Economy Begins to Break

Dave's BiggerPockets Profile

Oxford Economics: US PCE Nowcast – Headline inflation will creep above 4%

CNBC: Bank of America expects three Fed hikes this year, says inflation is getting ‘unambiguously worse’

NAR Housing Affordability Index

Grab the Book on Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing

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The new Federal Reserve Chair is already making news, signaling a major change to rates—and not in the way Americans were hoping for. With inflation up, the Fed has eyed raising, not cutting, the Federal Funds rate, all while changing key language on price stability at its most recent meeting. The question is, will they do it, or is this simply a bluff to stop the market from getting out of control?

We’re back to break down this week’s top housing market headlines, from the Fed’s recent meeting to a surprising comeback in a few markets most believed were dead, and the massive HELOC pull that is taking billions more out of the housing market and into owners' hands.

First, we’re touching on the Fed. Will they really raise rates by this fall, defying the exact hopes of President Trump, or is this just a bluff to cool an already hot economy? Why is office, of all things, seeing a major comeback, and why are America’s most divisive housing markets leading the charge? Finally, homeowners pull out a massive $47B (with a b) in home equity. Is this a cry for help from struggling homeowners? We’re getting into it all! 

In This Episode We Cover

The Fed’s latest announcement on inflation, rate movements, and their next moves

What investors are doing now before rate hikes make their way back

One commercial real estate asset class seeing a surprising comeback

Is America’s boom-then-bust market (Austin, Texas) finally seeing its turnaround?

$47B in equity pulled: Are homeowners in trouble, and using equity to save themselves?

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

Join BiggerPockets for FREE

Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter

Find Investor-Friendly Lenders

Kevin Warsh is the Next Fed Chair—Here’s What Investors Should Expect From Him

Dave's BiggerPockets Profile

James' BiggerPockets Profile

Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile

Reuters: Traders now see Fed raising rates by September

WSJ: The AI Office Boom Feels Like 2000 All Over Again

HousingWire: ICE Mortgage Monitor: Lock-in effect drives surge in home equity lending

Grab Dave’s Book, Real Estate by the Numbers

Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-436.

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Wall Street is quietly monopolizing the housing market—and we’re not talking about them buying homes. It’s something more far-reaching, something that will affect every investor in every market on every single deal. 

Your local HVAC, pest control, drywall, and plumbing companies are seemingly raising prices in tandem, and each year it gets more expensive. Your material costs are jumping, sometimes 100% higher than they were just a few years ago, and every single brand seems to be owned by the same parent company. Now, your real estate agent is telling you that you’re unable to view listings from another brokerage.

Slowly, piece by piece, you’re being locked or priced out of the housing market, or you’re paying exorbitant amounts of money just to stay in the game. Why? Two words—corporate consolidation—the final play from Wall Street to make as much money as possible on every single thing you do for your home and real estate portfolio. 

There are only a few ways to escape it. Today, I’m explaining how. 

In This Episode We Cover

The “corporate consolidation” machine gobbling up small businesses and raising prices on everything

Why your material costs are rising so much more than the inflation rate

The brokerage that’s trying to lock you out of the market unless you work with them

How the American housing market became a corporate profit playground

Three things you can do today to keep your costs down and stay in the loop on real estate deals

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter

Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area

How To Estimate Rehab Costs In Real Estate

Dave's BiggerPockets Profile

Sign Up for BiggerPockets Pro to Unlock Exclusive Pro Perks!

Build Your Network on the BiggerPockets Forums

Grab The Book on Estimating Rehab Costs

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This is exactly what we’re buying, selling, and trading in Summer 2026. It’s a strange time for real estate—multifamily prices are crashing hard, single-family is staying stable, rents aren’t moving much, mortgage rates are back up—what do you do? Today, we’re sharing exactly what we’re doing with our real estate portfolios to make the most of a market many are too scared to buy (or sell) in.

The not-so-obvious news—a couple of us are actively selling rentals. Why? Because deals are getting almost irresistible in one sector of the market. Prices are crashing hard, sellers have almost no negotiating power, and you can pick up profitable, cash-flowing properties for a fraction of what they were worth just a couple of years ago. The best part? Most investors are completely skipping over these deals.

For those looking to make money a little quicker, Henry and James are sharing the flip criteria that’s helping them make even more cash with less effort and way less risk in 2026. Want proof? Henry is making $70,000 on a deal he barely had to even sweep out to get ready to sell. If you’re looking for lower-risk, lower-expense returns, this may be exactly what to do this season. 

In This Episode We Cover

How to take advantage of the multifamily crash without buying 100+ unit properties

We’re selling our rentals! Here’s what we’re doing with the money

The quick house flip that is making Henry a killer return with a tiny renovation budget

How Kathy picked up a massively discounted deal on a medium-sized multifamily

Why buying “portfolios” of properties could be the cheat code for scaling at a much better per-unit price

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

Join BiggerPockets for FREE

Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter

Find Investor-Friendly Lenders

On the Market 393 - Why I’m Buying Large Multifamily in 2026 (Commercial Real Estate Outlook)

Dave's BiggerPockets Profile

Henry's BiggerPockets Profile

 James' BiggerPockets Profile

 Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile

Grab the Book, The Hands-Off Investor

Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-434.

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Did home prices just hit their floor? New demand data is showing something no one expected—buyers coming back. If the supply-demand balance hits equilibrium, we could see the national housing market begin to settle at prices like these. One thing that could change all that? Mortgage rates—and with a potential peace deal on the table between the U.S. and Iran, we could finally get some relief.

A lot of housing market news hit over the past week, and we’re getting into all of it. If you’ve been waiting for the market to thaw, this could be a sign it’s starting. Demand for home purchases is rising, even though news outlets are telling you otherwise. What does that mean for buyers? We could be at the bottom for home prices—and we have proof.

Will a peace deal in the Middle East bring mortgages back down to the 6% (or sub-6%) range? It’s looking possible. We’ll get into exactly what could happen if a peace deal is struck soon or if the war drags on longer. The consequences could be massive for the housing market, inflation, and the economy. But one thing you can be sure of? A certain type of real estate is seeing massive pressure to sell at a discount—every investor should be looking at these properties.

In This Episode We Cover

What happens to mortgage rates if a peace deal with Iran is finally struck?

The one type of residential rental property seeing unparalleled discounts (and incentives)

Signs that we have hit the floor for national home prices (crash chances are dwindling)

A very positive sign for the real estate industry as buyers come back to the market

The one thing that could cause rate hikes and spiking interest rates in the near future

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

Join BiggerPockets for FREE

Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter

Find Investor-Friendly Lenders

On the Market 432 -  J Scott: We Have 1-2 Months Before the Economy

On the Market 429 - The Ultimate "Stress Test" for the Housing Market

Begins to Break

Dave's BiggerPockets Profile

Grab Dave’s Book, Real Estate by the Numbers

Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-433.

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