On The Market

A new Fed Chair has been nominated—and he could do what no Fed has done before.

Kevin Warsh, the youngest Fed governor appointed, serving during the Great Financial Crisis, is Trump’s new pick, and his decisions could have major impacts on the housing market. But the mainstream media is missing a few key variables, falsely assuming that Warsh will kick off a series of rate cuts that end in lower interest rates.

But, in reality, something completely different could happen—something that the Fed has never tried before.

Warsh has strong opinions on quantitative easing (money printing) and wants to, in essence, delete some of the money the Fed has created over years of buying bonds and mortgage-backed securities. At the same time, Warsh will most likely push for rate cuts—a challenge given the Fed’s divided members.

So, what does this mean for mortgage rates? Could we see rates actually rise due to Warsh’s plans, or could ending quantitative easing boost market confidence and lower long-term mortgage rates? We’re getting into it all, plus what investors should do now regardless of what the Fed’s next moves are.

In This Episode We Cover

Trump’s new Federal Reserve Chair pick and why Trump is so keen to kick Powell out

Higher mortgage rates incoming? What everyone is getting wrong about the Warsh pick

The end of money printing: Why the new Fed Chair pick wants to delete dollars off the balance sheet

Something the Fed has never done before: Can you lower rates while keeping inflation in check?

The one type of real estate that could greatly benefit from the moves Warsh will make

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

Join BiggerPockets for FREE 

Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter

Find Investor-Friendly Lenders

A New Fed Chairman is Coming Soon—Here’s What Their Potential Low-Rate Policy Will Mean For Investors

Dave's BiggerPockets Profile

Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers"

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This type of rental property is seeing “explosive” demand. But, they’re cheaper than many regular rental properties, get 30% more rent, and take less work than vacation rentals. More and more Americans are using them, and where they’re needed most, there’s not much supply.

You might have thought it wouldn’t last, but medium-term rentals are becoming the rental property investor’s cash cow—and we have new data to prove it. Jeff Hurst, CEO of Furnished Finder, teamed up with the short-term rental data experts at AirDNA to release a new report on monthly rentals. 

This could change everything you’ve thought about the space. Investors are making more money with smaller properties, and demand is growing—fast. Tenants are extending their stays, while paying a 30%-50% premium over traditional rentals, but the cost to furnish is a fraction of what it would be for a short-term rental.

But Jeff says there’s a “sweet spot” medium-term rental—and it’s one of the least expensive properties you can buy. Even better, your long-term rental could be the perfect pick. 

It might be time to look at medium-term rentals again. 

In This Episode We Cover

The new report from Furnished Finder and AirDNA showing the massive demand for medium-term rentals

How to make 30%-50% more revenue by turning your long-term rental into a monthly stay

Is the medium-term rental market oversupplied, like the short-term rental market? The data might surprise you

How to immediately test whether your long-term rental would work with this strategy

The “sweet spot” medium-term rental that costs less and has strong demand from monthly renters

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

Join BiggerPockets for FREE

Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter

Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area

On the Market 261 - This Could Be Like Getting into Airbnb in 2012 w/Jeff Hurst

Read the New Furnished Finder + AirDNA Report

Furnished Finder Market Insights

Dave's BiggerPockets Profile 

Grab the BiggerPockets Book on Medium-Term Rentals, "30-Day Stay"

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The 18-year real estate cycle calls for a crash in 2026. It correctly predicted the 2008 crash, it was right for decades in a row in the 1800s, and many say it’s the one true oracle for home prices.

Funnily enough, it’s been 18 years since 2008, and home prices are starting to peak.

But is there enough data to trust in this housing market cycle? Should you be selling your properties just shy of every 18 years to load up on low prices during the next predicted housing crash? Or, is this just a conveniently (somewhat) accurate theory that crash bros use to get maximum clicks?

Today, Dave is reviewing the evidence and sharing the cases from economists on whether the 18-year cycle exists. The theory calls for a crash worse than 2008 this year, but is there any evidence to support this claim? You might be surprised, but Dave does agree with parts of this theory. 

In This Episode We Cover

2026 housing crash? Why the 18-year real estate cycle says we’re at the end of an era

The “phases” of the real estate cycle explained (from bust to boom)

Did the cycle end? Why home prices may have already peaked years ago

2008 vs. 2026: What could cause a housing crash to happen this year

The (surprisingly) accurate 18-year predictions for decades in a row

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

Join BiggerPockets for FREE

Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter

Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area

The Four Stages Of The Real Estate Cycle

Dave's BiggerPockets Profile

Grab the Book, "Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing"

Grab the Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers"

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This could open up homebuying for millions of Americans. The question is: Is it worth it?

A new housing proposal from the Trump administration adds yet another lever that first-time buyers can pull to pay for their first house. But it’s got financial advisors sweating. 

We’re back with another headline episode, talking about recent moves shaking up the housing market. First, some good news from Redfin that shows the housing market is actually getting more… affordable? That’s right. A substantial decline in housing costs may be just the start as homebuyer purchasing power grows year over year. We’re on the right track…but will it continue?

Next, why mortgage rates went back up after Trump’s proposed $200B bond-buying exercise—when many expected rates to keep falling. Using a 401(k) to buy a home? One new proposal could make it penalty-free, opening up access to hundreds of thousands of dollars for average Americans. Finally, the big investor ban begins, but here’s what the actual executive order says.

In This Episode We Cover

Penalty-free 401(k) down payments? The On the Market panel is sharply divided

Affordability sees a massive win, but will it keep improving?

Why mortgage rates didn’t keep declining after Trump’s $200B bond purchase proposal

President Trump signs the long-awaited big investor ban—but will it actually change anything for homebuyers?

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

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Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

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On the Market 392 - Trump's Housing Proposals Could Work, There's Just One Problem

Redfin: Monthly Housing Costs Start the Year Down 5%, the Biggest Decline in Over a Year

Reuters: Trump's mortgage-backed bond purchases not moving needle on housing costs

HousingWire: Tapping a 401(k) for homeownership is risky business, experts say

TIME: Trump Is Moving to Bar Wall Street Firms From Buying Single-Family Homes.

Dave's BiggerPockets Profile

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Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers"

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We’re always talking about residential real estate. But what about that “other” market, the one worth $24 trillion? It’s no secret that commercial real estate has had one of its toughest stretches in many years, with many calling it an outright “crash.” If we’ve already reached the bottom, could large multifamily and other assets be poised for a huge turnaround in 2026?

 

Over the last couple of years, we’ve seen multifamily, office, retail, and even self storage prices tumble due to several factors: rising mortgage rates, rate adjustments on commercial debt, higher cap rates, tighter lending criteria, and more supply coming online. This “perfect storm” has put significant downward pressure on commercial property values, causing forced selling and scaring many investors away.

 

But these same challenges could create opportunity, especially if prices stabilize over the next 12 months. We break down the variables at play, the most compelling bull and bear cases for these assets, and how investors can protect themselves with “scared” real estate analysis.

Dave is ready to take advantage, but which asset is he betting on?

In This Episode We Cover

Dave’s 2026 predictions for the commercial real estate market

Whether large multifamily values could bounce back in 2026

The “perfect storm” that caused the steep decline in large multifamily prices

The bull and bear cases for a commercial real estate turnaround

The asset class that is least likely to recover from the commercial “crash”

Four tips for investors looking to buy multifamily properties in the next 12 months

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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BiggerPockets Real Estate 1073 - The Opportunity is Coming in Commercial Real Estate (How to Take Advantage)

Dave's BiggerPockets Profile

Yardi

CoStar

FRED

Buy the Book, "The Multifamily Millionaire, Vol. I"

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