On The Market

• Zillow: Price Cuts Hit Record as Inventory Floods Back (May 2025)

  Price cuts surge across the housing market as inventory bounces back in a big way. The “healthier” housing market is starting to show, and the “gap” between buyers and sellers is shrinking. Zillow’s Orphe Divounguy is back to give a sneak peek at their latest housing market data, which shows encouraging signs for buyers, agents, lenders, and anyone who wants the housing market to get back in action! After Zillow recently forecasted a home price decline in 2025, many saw this as a bearish signal for housing. But Orphe, Senior Economist at Zillow, says that this is instead a good sign for the market. With inventory rising, sellers are getting more realistic, meaning lower prices and more choice for buyers. But what about mortgage rates—could they also drop and fuel even greater affordability? Orphe is sharing his mortgage rate prediction as well. How will trade wars and tariffs affect the housing market with so many Americans on the financial edge? Could higher inflation and a potential recession breed big trouble for the housing market? We’re getting Orphe’s refreshingly data-backed (and surprisingly optimistic) take on what’s to come in the rest of 2025. In This Episode We Cover Zillow’s latest May 2025 housing market update (and GOOD news for buyers) Record price cuts: why sellers are starting to get realistic Housing markets seeing the most pain, and which to think twice about before investing How trade wars and tariffs could hit housing, and Orphe’s take on inflation Is a recession really coming? Why Orphe isn’t so sure that the writing is on the wall And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1101 - Housing Market Shift: Inventory Catapults Back, Buying Opportunities Grow Economic Policy Uncertainty Index Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-320 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠[email protected]⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  33:55
• Why We’re Buying Real Estate Before Serious Economic Risks Kick In

  Economic risk is growing, and protecting/building your wealth could get more challenging. Stocks are overvalued, mortgage rates are high, and many Americans feel stuck without a good option. What’s BiggerPockets CEO Scott Trench doing with his money to protect his wealth from inflation, recessions, and easy-money policies? Today, Scott shares his exact plan (and new investments!). Scott went on record a few months ago to talk about his big move—cashing out of much of his index fund portfolio. What, in hindsight, looked like perfect market timing was instead a defensive move to protect himself from growing irrational exuberance. Where did he put the cash he got from the sale? Right into real estate, and so far, it’s working out quite well. Today, Scott talks about the exact property types he’s buying, the best investing move for a beginner to make given today’s challenging economic landscape, and the significant economic risks that could be coming in 2025 and 2026. Scott’s putting his money where his mouth is, and, so far, he’s been spot on. Would you take the same approach to protect your wealth? In This Episode We Cover What BiggerPockets CEO Scott Trench is investing in while stocks remain overvalued and economic risk grows The best real estate investments for someone starting in today’s economic environment Growing economic risks from tariffs, a new Fed chair, and what’s sparking new inflation fears Want lower interest rates? Here’s why betting against the labor market isn’t the best move Is real estate as overvalued as stocks right now? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1118 - Data Says It’s a Buyer’s Market: Here’s Where the Most Opportunity Is w/Scott Trench and Michael Zuber Scott's BiggerPockets Profile Invest in Any Market Cycle with “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-319 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠[email protected]⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  46:37
• US Economy Shrinks: Why Mortgage Rates Aren’t Dropping (Yet)

  The US economy is shrinking, with GDP declining this quarter. We’re getting closer to recession territory, so why aren’t mortgage rates dropping? We’ll explain how one crucial part of the economy is staying strong—keeping the Fed from cutting and delaying the typical rate-drop that comes with a recession. What’s stopping us from going back to sub-6% mortgage rates? We’ll break it down in this episode. The economy is changing—fast. The US saw its GDP turn negative last quarter as many Americans braced for the impact of tariffs. But even with the overall economy lagging, labor data remains strong. Jobs are still being created, unemployment is relatively low, and Americans are going to work. This may be the single factor keeping the Fed in limbo, unable to cut rates any further. So, what happens if the labor market breaks? Home builders were already anxious over the past year, and now they’re getting even more hesitant to build. With tariffs pushing up prices for materials, building (and buying) a house could get much more expensive. And with builders already dropping prices, could this lead to a broader decline in home prices across the nation? In This Episode We Cover A worrying sign for the US economy and whether it could trigger lower mortgage rates The one thing standing in the way of the Fed finally cutting rates again Tariff effects on GDP and the first signs of what they could do to our economy New labor market numbers and why jobs are being added as the economy shrinks Are we in a recession? And does it even matter if we are? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1116 - The Mortgage Rate “Range” to Expect for the Rest of 2025 Invest in Any Market Cycle with “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠ and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-318 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠[email protected]⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  31:25
• New Lawsuit Could Trigger “Domino Effect” to End the MLS

  Another MLS lawsuit is making waves—this time aiming to remove unfair listing rules and help both buyers and agents. Experts say we’re in a “healthy” housing market, but does it feel that way? A high-demand, often-overlooked “cash cow” rental strategy is exploding in 2025, and we talk about everyone’s favorite state to hate: California. Is investing in Los Angeles actually worth it? All that, and more, in today’s show! Experts from HousingWire are calling today’s housing market “healthier” as buyers gain leverage, inventory rises, and pending sales increase. If you’re a hesitant investor, it may be time to get in the game, but flippers and sellers must be careful. James and Henry share how they’re still (profitably) selling deals in today’s market. Want to make WAY more cash flow? This rental strategy’s demand is surging, and there’s not enough supply! We’ll describe the strategy and why it’s become a “cash cow” with even better future potential. Is the appreciation worth investing in America’s hardest housing market—California? Finally, a new MLS lawsuit makes waves as a key brokerage challenges strict selling standards that could be hurting buyers, sellers, and agents. What happens if they win? In This Episode We Cover The new MLS lawsuit that may trigger a “domino” effect leading to the end of the MLS A cash-flowing rental strategy with growing demand in 2025 and where it works Why experts say the housing market is “healthy” again—but why it still feels off Does it ever make sense to invest in California? Why the wealthy still park money there And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Los Angeles Real Estate: Why Do People Continue to Invest Here? Why the housing market is actually much healthier in 2025 Compass files an antitrust suit against NWMLS over its CCP Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, “Start with Strategy” Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠ and  https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-317 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠[email protected]⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  43:55
• “Technical” Recession is Imminent: Is the Housing Market Safe? w/J Scott

  What the heck is happening with the US economy? Stocks are down, now they’re up, mortgage rates are dropping—wait, scratch that—they’re back up again, the Fed could have a new chair, and if they cut rates, interest rates could…rise? A “technical” recession is on the way, but will it have the same effects as the last one? We need some backup to explain the state of the US economy, and J Scott is here to do just that. J wrote the book on Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing and is known as one of the most economically aware real estate investors. Today, we’re diving into it all: mortgage rates, recession chances, inflation rates, tariffs, trade wars, future home price predictions, and what J plans to do with his money. Home prices are already unstable, but could a recession, combined with high inventory and low demand, push us over the edge? This may not be another 2008, for many reasons, but the psychological effect of a recession can be severe—especially on homebuyers and sellers. We’re giving you J’s complete overview of the economy today. In This Episode We Cover Whether or not home prices are at risk as we enter a “technical” recession J’s investment plan for 2025 and the assets he’s most bullish on The massive undersupply problem that’s propping up the housing market Inflation forecasts and the unexpected tariff side effects that could cost Americans Why “just buy American” won’t stop you from feeling inflation How the Fed cutting rates could…raise rates? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 315 - Stagflation Risk Rising Fast as US Economy Falls Out of Balance J's BiggerPockets Profile Grab J’s Book, “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Jump to topic: (0:00) Intro(2:04) Home Prices (Probably) Won’t Crash(8:24) Still SO Undersupplied(9:56) The “Technical” Recession Coming(14:45) GDP Will Drop(18:26) Inflation Forecast(22:58) Just Buy American Goods?(28:15) New Fed Chair?(34:23) J’s Investment Plan Check out more resources from this show on ⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠ and  ⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-316 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠[email protected]⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  47:17

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