On The Market

We’ve got new data on the Spring housing market, and it’s…well, complicated.

 

The monthly data shows more of the same: a sluggish housing market with negative home price growth.

 

But zoom in, and the weekly data tells a different story. Pending sales and mortgage applications are ticking higher, and we’ve just crossed into what could be the strongest buyer’s market we’ve seen in years, with sellers outnumbering buyers in 38 of the 49 largest major metro areas. This can only mean two things: deals are getting better, and investors have more negotiating power than they’ve had in a while.

 

As for whether a Spring homebuying season is taking shape, it depends on who you ask. Tensions in the Middle East, surging inflation, and housing affordability challenges are keeping many would-be homebuyers in limbo.

 

But investors who have the means to buy, are actively looking in strong buyer’s markets, and are analyzing deals conservatively are seeing a new window of opportunity.

 

The question is, how long will that window stay open?

In This Episode We Cover

Why real estate deals are getting better, despite a sluggish housing market

What “positive” weekly data means for the potential of a Spring homebuying season

How tensions in the Middle East and rising inflation numbers could affect housing

How investors can take advantage as the U.S. flips to a strong buyer’s market

What happens to mortgage rates once new Fed chair Kevin Warsh is confirmed

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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On The Market 419 – The Fed’s High-Stakes Power Struggle Affects Much More Than Mortgage Rates

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Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing

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Buyers are waiting out the market, mortgage rates are rising again, and the economy seems as unstable as ever. So why are house flippers feeling bullish about investing in 2026? A new report has surfaced showing an overwhelmingly optimistic view of flipping houses, with active flippers registering stronger bullish signals than in previous months. 

The question is: what are house flippers seeing in the market that we aren’t?

To answer, our resident house flipping expert, James Dainard, is on to share what he’s seeing in his market, the actual profits he’s making on flips in 2026, how he’s saved bad deals and turned them into 90% profit margins (yep), and the things that will kill your returns when flipping a house in 2026. James is still making solid margins on his house flips, and he has strong opinions about why these flippers are feeling so optimistic. 

Plus, if you’re thinking of flipping your first house in 2026 or getting back into the game, James shares some critical advice to help you keep your costs low and make a profit even if your flip turns into a flop.

In This Episode We Cover

Actual profit margins that house flippers are making in 2026

How James turned a deal gone bad into a 90% return, even in a tough market

A new survey showing very surprising sentiment among U.S. house flippers

What James is doing right now to make higher margins with fewer flipping deals

The things that will kill your house flipping profit margins

New house flipper? Heed James’ advice before you start

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

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Flipping Houses: How to Get Started and Everything You Should Know

ResiClub: What to expect from the home flipping market in 2026 and beyond

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Something is brewing at the Federal Reserve, and it’s starting to get ugly.

 

For many months, President Trump has been pressuring the Fed to lower the federal funds rate and has since named a new Fed chair nominee to take the reins after Jerome Powell's term ends. But what seemed like a straightforward transition has quickly evolved into a nasty political showdown—a “standoff” between the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Senate Banking Committee.

 

The drama could drag out for months, with Powell’s investigation being prolonged and nominee Kevin Warsh’s confirmation being delayed.

 

But behind all of it, there’s a much more serious issue being threatened:

 

Fed independence.

 

The Federal Reserve’s ability to act independently of political influences is crucial for creating monetary policy in the best long-term interest of the country, and it’s being jeopardized.

 

For investors, this isn’t just political theater—it’s a signal. If markets lose faith in the Fed’s independence, the ripple effect could reshape not just interest rates, mortgage rates, and the housing market, but the entire U.S. economy. And it’s unfolding right now.

In This Episode We Cover

What happens when the Federal Reserve loses its “independence”

Why the current Fed power struggle affects much more than mortgage rates

The “battle” that is holding up new Fed chairman Kevin Warsh’s nomination

Why the Federal Reserve’s hands are tied when it comes to cutting interest rates

Behind the “drama” unfolding between the Senate Banking Committee and the DOJ

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

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Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

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Dave's BiggerPockets Profile

BiggerPockets Real Estate 1266 – The War Has Changed the Housing Market | April 2026 Update

Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing

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For years, we’ve been promised that a “tsunami” of homes would hit the market as Baby Boomers age, move into senior housing, and pass away. We’ve been waiting…and waiting, but we’re still millions of housing units short. Yet, even without a “silver tsunami,” another trend could push us toward a housing supply glut in the future—new builds.

Builder sentiment has dropped to a seven-month low. Homes are sitting empty, huge concessions are being offered, but the buyers are few and far between. Longer absorption periods mean higher holding costs for builders, prompting larger incentives to sell these homes. But, with mortgage rates bouncing back up to the mid-six percent range, who wants to buy? Very few Americans, and that’s the problem.

Between Baby Boomers slowly trickling inventory into the housing market and builders creating more supply than (financeable) demand, is this the tipping point where we go from an undersupplied to an oversupplied housing market? In this headline episode, we’re getting into it, plus a “ban” on one of America’s hottest real estate assets. 

In This Episode We Cover

Is the silver tsunami ever going to hit? Why Baby Boomer homes aren’t reaching the market

Where home prices have the highest chance of falling if the Baby Boomer supply hits the market

The major opportunity for real estate investors to pick up seriously discounted new-build homes

A new real estate asset “ban” that’s affecting over 15 states in the country

Will we flip from a housing deficit to oversupply?

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

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Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

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On the Market 403 - You Have Until 2031: What Happens When Population Starts to Decline?

Calculated Risk

Reuters: US home builder sentiment drops to seven-month low in April, NAHB survey says

WSJ: America’s Self-Storage Craze Has Reached a Tipping Point

Associated Press: The US is short 10 million houses. A new White House report lays out a blueprint to fix that

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Grab The Book on Negotiating Real Estate

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This could have profound effects on the housing market, and if you work or invest in real estate, you need to know what's coming next.

Energy shocks, high inflation, new job numbers, the worst consumer sentiment in 70 years…it’s all hitting us in a single week, and the housing market is already reacting. After months of affordability gains, mortgage rates jumped back to 6.4% in response to the oil price spike and, by proxy, high inflation readings. The Fed has already made the bulk of its rate cuts, so is there any room left for interest rates to go down?

Home sales are already slowing, and consumers are feeling the worst about the economy in 70 years. This will impact the housing market, and it’s not good news for agents, brokers, lenders, or anyone involved in transactions. But for investors, we’re being given yet another opportunity to buy deals…and the discounts could be getting deeper. 

The window to act is widening even more. Here's how to position yourself before it closes.

In This Episode We Cover

New inflation rate readings and why the CPI rose close to 1% in just a month

Mortgage rates are stuck: why they can’t fall much more, even with a new Fed chair

Latest home sales data that shows how the housing market is already reacting

Why more and more investors are getting pessimistic about the housing market

Will home prices crash? Here’s what’s holding them stable right now

What investors need to do to prepare themselves right now to get better deals

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

Join BiggerPockets for FREE

Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets

Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter

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On the Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought

Dave's BiggerPockets Profile

Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing

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