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Sound Investing

Paul Merriman
Sound Investing
Latest episode

554 episodes

  • Sound Investing

    Back from the Baltic and 12 of your questions

    08/07/2026 | 55 mins.
    Paul returns from a two-week Baltic cruise refreshed and ready to dig into the numbers. He opens with a 12-month performance review of the recommended portfolios at Avantis, DFA and Vanguard — Avantis averaged 31.1% across the 10 equity asset classes in the Ultimate Buy and Hold, versus 27.7% at DFA and 26% at Vanguard — and explains why the non-traditional index funds keep outperforming traditional cap-weighted indexes.
    Paul also revisits Ben Carlson’s look at the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), which grew to $30 billion under management before falling 65% while the S&P 500 gained more than 60% — a costly lesson in performance chasing, with an estimated $7.5 billion in shareholder losses.
    Then Paul answers 12 listener questions, with a special deep dive into table G1B — 56 years of S&P 500 vs. small cap value returns, one year at a time, plus every combination in 10% increments.
    QUESTIONS COVERED
    1. Funds that match the international and U.S. small cap value asset classes 17:18
    2. Keep investments at Fidelity or move to Vanguard? 18:51
    3. Is the Vanguard money market fund a good long-term emergency fund? 20:19
    4. Pairing the S&P 500 with small cap value — the G1B fine-tuning table 21:46
    5. Why the Four Fund worldwide portfolio uses U.S. small cap value only 31:17
    6. Should geopolitical tension make you cash out? 33:57
    7. Why has small cap value historically produced higher returns? 36:47
    8. Can you get rich from investing? The Rule of 72 and $100 a month 41:51
    9. Is the all-value worldwide portfolio better than the other strategies? (Table H2) 44:03
    10. Where to find the 10 Fund portfolio allocations 48:39
    11. Paul’s take on DFA’s micro cap fund (DFMC) 49:16
    12. Lump sum or dollar cost average when switching funds in a Roth? 51:57

    LINKS
    • Table H2 — Sound Investing Portfolios Comparison (Worldwide All Value)
    • Table H1a — Sound Investing Portfolios Asset Allocations
    • Fine-Tuning Table G1B — S&P 500 vs. Small Cap Value
    • Fine-Tuning Table G1C — S&P 500 vs. SCV, 2025 Returns
    • Best-in-Class ETF Recommendations
  • Sound Investing

    They're Back... Talking Real Money - Investing Talk

    01/07/2026 | 26 mins.
    I joined my longtime friend Tom Cock for a special edition of Talking Real Money — a wide-ranging conversation about the evolution of indexing, the proposed changes to the S&P 500, and why investors should understand both the strengths and limitations of traditional index funds. I explain why firms like Dimensional Fund Advisors and Avantis Investors use a more flexible, evidence-based approach than traditional indexing, and how academic research has reshaped portfolio construction over the past several decades.
    We also explore lessons from market history, including the importance of understanding major bear markets, determining appropriate risk levels, and building portfolios that align with your personal goals rather than chasing maximum returns. I share insights from the latest Dimensional Matrix Book and explain why I believe studying 100 years of market data helps investors stay disciplined during inevitable downturns.
    Finally, I introduce a simple but powerful strategy for helping newborns and young children build substantial retirement wealth through small annual investments that can compound over many decades.
    CHAPTERS
    0:11 Special guest Paul Merriman joins Talking Real Money
    0:55 Long friendship and investing partnership between Tom and Paul
    1:20 S&P 500 rule changes and earlier inclusion of major IPOs like SpaceX
    2:07 Historical examples of S&P 500 additions and omissions
    2:35 Microsoft’s delayed entry into the S&P 500
    2:56 NVIDIA replacing Enron in 2001
    3:29 How index rule changes can affect future returns and volatility
    4:08 Why indexing remains the preferred strategy for most investors
    5:16 Traditional versus non-traditional index funds
    6:37 How Avantis and Dimensional incorporate factors beyond company size
    8:05 Why factor-based investing differs from traditional indexing
    9:02 Problems with rigid index reconstitution schedules
    10:16 Momentum, flexibility, and portfolio management advantages
    11:22 Introduction to Dimensional’s annual Matrix Book
    11:53 Using market history rather than forecasts to guide investing decisions
    13:09 Lessons from past bubbles, crashes, and lost decades
    14:20 Why Paul trusts academic research more than Wall Street forecasts
    15:14 The case for small-cap value investing
    15:49 Clarifying Paul’s allocation to small companies
    16:53 Investing for heirs, charities, and future generations
    18:10 Remembering investor panic during the 2008 financial crisis
    19:18 Determining an appropriate risk level for retirement portfolios
    20:43 Different investor goals: beating the market, maximizing returns, or minimizing risk
    21:28 Peace of mind versus maximum growth
    21:55 Helping young people build retirement wealth early
    22:54 The $365-per-year retirement funding concept
    24:09 Final thoughts and appreciation between Tom and Paul
    Questions? Comments? Click!
  • Sound Investing

    Ben Carlson and Paul Merriman on Full Disclosure

    24/06/2026 | 1h
    Paul Merriman joins host Roben Farzad on Full Disclosure for a rare conversation alongside Ben Carlson, director of institutional asset management at Ritholtz Wealth and author of the new book Risk and Reward: How to Handle Market Volatility and Build Long-Term Wealth. Roben called it a “truth teller tandem” — the first time these two have sat down together — and the result is an hour of warm, candid, data-grounded talk about how individual investors can actually succeed.
    The conversation opens with a great question: does a century of S&P 500 history mean anything when index funds didn’t even exist for most of it? Paul explains why those long-run numbers still matter — not as a promise of the next ten years, but as a guide to the full range of what markets can do. From there, Paul and Ben trace just how far investing has come since Paul entered the business in 1966: the death of the 8.5% sales load, the arrival of IRAs and 401(k)s, fractional shares, and commission-free trading. As Ben puts it, the barriers to entry have been bulldozed, and today’s investor has a better shot at strong net returns than ever before.
    But more choices bring more temptation. Paul and Ben dig into diversification as a risk-management tool — why a tilt toward small-cap value and a meaningful allocation to international stocks can pay off over a lifetime, even when the S&P 500 is dominating the headlines. They revisit the lost decade of 2000–2009, the lessons of Japan’s 1989 peak, and the hard discipline of rebalancing into the pain when an asset class is out of favor.
    They also get practical about the things keeping investors up at night: inflation as one of the biggest risks most people underestimate, the real trade-offs in today’s bond market and long-duration Treasuries, and an honest look at the FIRE movement — including why meaning, longevity, and a 30- or 40-year retirement complicate the dream of retiring early. Throughout, Paul shares his own story, including why, at 82 and with more than he needs, he still holds half his portfolio in equities because of a caution he’s carried since his twenties.
    Ben closes with the thought that may stay with you longest: the most important thing an investor can understand is not the market — it’s themselves. Knowing which mistake you’d regret more, and what you can truly live with, is the foundation everything else is built on.

    Watch video here.
  • Sound Investing

    Evidence-Based Investing, Index Funds & Staying the Course

    17/06/2026 | 1h 7 mins.
    I recently sat down with Steve Chen on his Boldin Your Money podcast for a wide-ranging conversation about evidence-based investing — and why it matters more than ever in a world of speculation, hype, and constant financial noise. We covered my early days as a stockbroker in the 1960s, the psychology that trips investors up in downturns, how low-cost index funds transformed personal finance, factor investing and small-cap value, and why younger investors are being pulled toward gambling-like behavior through apps, crypto, and prediction markets. Whether you're just starting out or planning for retirement, I think you'll find it time well spent.
    KEY TOPICS DISCUSSED
    • The difference between investing and speculation
    • Why staying the course is emotionally difficult
    • Wall Street incentives and investor behavior
    • The origins of index fund investing
    • Factor investing and small-cap value explained
    • Why diversification matters long term
    • Rebalancing strategies and portfolio management
    • Financial literacy and generational investing habits
    • Why gambling behavior is becoming normalized
    • How AI tools like ChatGPT and Claude are changing education
    • The psychology behind successful long-term investors
    TIMESTAMPS
    00:00 Introduction
    02:55 Paul Merriman's start in investing
    05:20 Wall Street incentives and conflicts of interest
    08:35 Why investing is harder than it looks
    12:25 Investing vs speculation
    15:40 Why people panic during market crashes
    17:30 The psychology of staying the course
    19:10 Generational wealth and financial literacy
    23:40 The case for index funds
    28:45 Factor investing explained
    32:30 The four-fund portfolio strategy
    36:00 Rebalancing and long-term returns
    38:00 ChatGPT, Claude, and financial education
    42:15 Market valuations and investor behavior
    45:30 Building wealth intentionally
    49:00 Gambling culture and modern investing
    51:45 Teaching financial literacy to younger generations
    54:00 Final thoughts on long-term investing
    RESOURCES MENTIONED
    Paul Merriman Foundation: https://www.paulmerriman.com/
    Try the Boldin Planner for free: https://go.boldin.com/podcasttep110

    Watch Video here- https://youtu.be/y_i5wrr_tfM
  • Sound Investing

    Paul & Chris Tackle 10 of your Investing Questions

    10/06/2026 | 57 mins.
    Paul and Chris answer 10 listener questions in one hour — covering asset allocation, investor behavior, funds, indexes, and fund management. They also dig into Daryl Bahls' hot-off-the-press alternative portfolio analysis.
    CHAPTERS
    00:00 — Intro
    01:11 — Funds vs. their indexes
    06:04 — Which asset can I drop?
    10:50 — Buy and hold for a lifetime?
    16:04 — Tracking errors
    20:24 — How many years to trust a strategy?
    27:05 — The impact of 10% cash
    28:18 — What's a "good enough" return?
    31:57 — The new worldwide 4-fund portfolio
    42:29 — Too old for small-cap value?
    44:56 — Avantis and DFA
    48:27 — AVES for emerging markets value
    54:04 — Outro
    LINKS & FILES
    Sound Investing Quilt Charts
    Callan Periodic Table of Investment Returns
    Two Funds for Life Calculator
    Lifetime Investment Calculator
    Daryl's 4-Fund Portfolio Analysis (WW 4-Fund)
    Other Fine Tuning Tables (50/50)
    2FFL Fine Tuning Table — Allocations

    Watch Video Here
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About Sound Investing
Weekly podcasts with Paul Merriman. Strategic planning for investing at every stage of life.
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