Episode 038: A Contrarian’s Guide to Venture Capital with Josh Wolfe
How do you spot opportunities hidden in plain sight? In this episode, our host, Annie Duke, sits down with Lux Capital co-founder Josh Wolfe to explore his unconventional approach to venture investing and decision-making under uncertainty. From his early days in Coney Island to building a multibillion-dollar fund, Josh shares how he spots hidden opportunities by asking a simple but powerful question: “What sucks?” He explains how this mindset drives Lux’s strategy of investing where others aren’t looking, taking bold bets on frontier technologies, and uncovering breakthroughs before they hit the mainstream. Together, Annie and Josh unpack the psychology behind big bets—balancing optimism with skepticism, managing uncertainty, avoiding biases, and learning when to trust your gut versus the data.Key takeaways include how to distinguish between “nice-to-have” vs. “must-solve” problems, how to leverage inside vs. outside views for better decision-making, and why understanding human nature is as critical as understanding technology when investing in the future.
--------
1:00:44
--------
1:00:44
Episode 037: Choosing With Intent with Dr. Sunita Sah
What does it really mean to choose with intent—and why do we often go with the default option? Our host, Annie Duke, is joined by award-winning Cornell University professor and expert in organizational psychology Dr. Sunita Sah to explore the hidden forces behind compliance, consent, and ethical decision-making. Drawing on her multidisciplinary background in medicine, psychology, and consulting, Sunita unpacks why we say “yes” when we really want to say “no,” and how seemingly simple disclosures can backfire in high-stakes situations. Whether it’s navigating career pivots or teaching kids to stand their ground, Sunita makes a compelling case for redefining defiance not as disobedience, but as integrity in action.Key takeaways include the difference between compliance and true consent, how to recognize and overcome “insinuation anxiety,” and how to use tools like the Defiance Compass to act in line with your values—especially when it’s uncomfortable.—--------------------------------------------------------This is The Decision Education Podcast, where we explore the science of decision-making with a diverse range of experts and offer practical strategies to transform our understanding of the role decisions play in our lives.
--------
1:00:43
--------
1:00:43
Episode 036: The Science of Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg
What if knowing about cognitive biases isn’t enough to overcome them? Spencer Greenberg—entrepreneur, mathematician, and host of the Clearer Thinking podcast—joins our host, Annie Duke, to explore how we can move from simply recognizing decision-making errors to applying evidence-based tools that actually improve our thinking.Spencer discusses his path from a Ph.D. in applied math to creating interactive tools that help people make better decisions. He and Annie explore why awareness of biases isn’t enough to overcome them and how AI can both amplify and challenge our blind spots.Key takeaways from this episode include the power of “precommitments” in shaping future choices, how Bayesian thinking can help us update our beliefs, and why—in a world increasingly influenced by AI—balancing intuition and analysis leads to the best decisions.—--------------------------------------------------------This is The Decision Education Podcast, where we explore the science of decision-making with a diverse range of experts and offer practical strategies to transform our understanding of the role decisions play in our lives.
--------
51:56
--------
51:56
Season 6 Trailer
Season 6 of The Decision Education Podcast unveils decision-making tips from experts in AI, investing, entrepreneurship, and sports. Host, Annie Duke, engages our guests in interesting discussions, in which they unpack their decision toolkits and share how the world might look different if we practiced decision-making skills from a younger age.
--------
1:20
--------
1:20
Episode 035: Your Future Self Will Thank You with Bina Venkataraman
How do we bridge the gap between the present and the future? In this episode, our host, Annie Duke, speaks with Bina Venkataraman, journalist, author, and science and technology policy expert, about the psychological, social, and institutional barriers to making long-term decisions. Drawing from Bina’s experiences in science communication, climate policy, and journalism, they discuss the difficulty of imagining the future and yourself within it, and how creative tools such as virtual reality and role-playing games can help us master the tug-of-war between now and later.
Key takeaways include innovative ways to promote future savings, the challenges of communicating complex science in uncertain times, and how culture, social norms, and scarcity affect people's ability to delay gratification and plan for the future.
------------------------------------------------------------
This is The Decision Education Podcast, where we explore the science of decision-making with a diverse range of experts and offer practical strategies to transform our understanding of the role decisions play in our lives.
Thanks to First Round Capital for supporting The Decision Education Podcast—empowering leaders to make choices that shape our future.
The decisions we make have a tremendous impact on our lives and the lives of those around us. But what goes into making better decisions? Hear from experts from diverse backgrounds as they share insights on how asking the right questions, improving predictions, managing cognitive biases, and other strategies can make us better decision makers. Through real-life stories and cutting-edge research, gain practical strategies and transform your understanding of the role decisions play in our lives.
Ireland