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Betfair Trading Community Podcast

Betfair Trading Community
Betfair Trading Community Podcast
Latest episode

649 episodes

  • Betfair Trading Community Podcast

    Profitable Under 1.5 Goals Betfair Trading Strategy: Full Deep Dive

    04/09/2026 | 18 mins.
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    Can an Under 1.5 Goals strategy really be profitable on Betfair?
    In this podcast, I go deep into one profitable Under 1.5 Goals strategy and break down exactly what makes it work.
    This is not just a quick look at the headline profit.
    We dig into:
     The exact strategy rules 
     The strike rate 
     Average odds 
     Overall profit and ROI 
     Winning and losing runs 
     Which leagues performed best 
     Which filters made the biggest difference 
     How consistent the results were 
     Whether I would actually forward test it 
    Under 1.5 Goals can be a difficult market.
    You only get one goal of breathing room, so getting the match selection and price right matters massively.
    That is why backtesting is so important.
    Instead of guessing which matches “look low scoring”, you can test the rules across years of football data and see whether there is actually an edge.
    If you want to test your own football trading strategies before risking real money, check out the Betfair Trading Community football backtesting software.
    https://checkout.lightspeedstats.com/lightspeed-stats-football-stats/
    Support the show
    Sign up here: https://checkout.lightspeedstats.com/lightspeed-stats-football-stats/
    Twitter: @BetfairTC
    Website: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/
    Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/betfairtradingcommunity
  • Betfair Trading Community Podcast

    I Backed Over 4.5 Goals on EVERY Match for 2 Years… Here Are the Results

    01/09/2026 | 15 mins.
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    What happens if you back Over 4.5 Goals on every single football match?
    No filters.
    No picking the right leagues.
    No looking for obviously high-scoring teams.
    Just back Over 4.5 Goals every time and see what happens.
    In this podcast, I test exactly that across two full years of football data.
    We look at:
     The overall profit and loss 
     The strike rate 
     The average odds 
     The longest winning and losing runs 
     Which leagues performed best 
     Which leagues were absolute disasters 
     Whether a few simple filters could improve the results 
    Over 4.5 Goals is an interesting market because the strike rate is much lower...
    But the odds are much bigger.
    So does that actually create an edge?
    Or is blindly backing five or more goals just a very fast way to destroy your bank?
    That is what the data tells us.
    If you want to test your own football trading ideas before risking real money, check out the Betfair Trading Community football backtesting software.
    Support the show
    Sign up here: https://checkout.lightspeedstats.com/lightspeed-stats-football-stats/
    Twitter: @BetfairTC
    Website: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/
    Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/betfairtradingcommunity
  • Betfair Trading Community Podcast

    Home Wins - Randomly Generated Profitable Betfair Strategy!

    28/08/2026 | 16 mins.
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    Can something as simple as backing the home team actually be profitable?
    That is what we are testing in this episode.
    The strategy was randomly generated...
    Back the Home Win.
    No complicated trading rules.
    No fancy entry points.
    Just take the market, put it through the football backtesting software, and see whether we can turn a ridiculously simple idea into something worth forward testing.
    In this podcast, I look at:
     The starting Home Win results 
     Overall profit and ROI 
     Strike rate and average odds 
     Winning and losing runs 
     Which leagues performed best 
     The filters that improved the strategy 
     Whether I think there is actually an edge here 
    This is exactly why I love backtesting.
    You can start with almost any idea, test thousands of historical matches, then use the data to work out what deserves more attention.
    Want to test your own football trading strategies before risking real money?
    Check out the Betfair Trading Community football backtesting software.
    Support the show
    Sign up here: https://checkout.lightspeedstats.com/lightspeed-stats-football-stats/
    Twitter: @BetfairTC
    Website: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/
    Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/betfairtradingcommunity
  • Betfair Trading Community Podcast

    Lay The Draw (LTD) Betfair Trading Strategy: Is It Still Worth Trading in 2026?

    25/08/2026 | 23 mins.
    Send us Fan Mail
    Lay The Draw is one of the most famous Betfair football trading strategies ever.
    But is LTD still worth trading in 2026?
    In this podcast, I break down how the strategy works, where traders usually go wrong, and what the data says when you actually test it properly.
    We cover:
     How Lay The Draw works 
     The type of matches that suit LTD 
     Entry and exit points 
     What happens if the game stays 0-0 
     The risks of late goals and stop losses 
     How to backtest LTD properly 
     Whether the strategy still has an edge in 2026 
    The big mistake with LTD is thinking you can just find a short-priced favourite, lay the draw and hope for a goal.
    That is not enough.
    The edge comes from finding the right matches, understanding the risk and knowing exactly when you are getting out.
    If you want to test your own Lay The Draw strategy before risking real money, you can use the Betfair Trading Community football backtesting software.
    Support the show
    Sign up here: https://checkout.lightspeedstats.com/lightspeed-stats-football-stats/
    Twitter: @BetfairTC
    Website: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/
    Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/betfairtradingcommunity
  • Betfair Trading Community Podcast

    Profitable Back The Draw Betfair Trading Strategy... Does It Actually Work?

    20/08/2026 | 16 mins.
    Send us Fan Mail
    Can Back The Draw still be a profitable Betfair trading strategy?
    It is one of the simplest football trading ideas out there.
    Find the right match.
    Back the draw.
    Then manage the trade depending on how the game plays out.
    But simple does not mean easy... and it definitely does not mean profitable.
    In this podcast, we backtest a Back The Draw strategy across years of football data to see whether the numbers actually stack up.
    We look at:
    • The overall profit and loss
    • The strike rate
    • The average odds
    • The longest winning and losing runs
    • Which leagues performed best
    • Which filters made the biggest difference
    • Whether the strategy is worth forward testing
    The whole point is to remove the guesswork.
    Instead of saying “this looks like a good draw game”, we can test the idea properly and see whether there is a real edge behind it.
    If you want to test your own football trading strategies before risking money, you can use the Betfair Trading Community football backtesting software.
    Support the show
    Sign up here: https://checkout.lightspeedstats.com/lightspeed-stats-football-stats/
    Twitter: @BetfairTC
    Website: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/
    Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/betfairtradingcommunity
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About Betfair Trading Community Podcast
We teach you how to trade on Betfair and make money from the betting markets. By investing wisely and taking on our sound advice you can be sure you will improve as a Betfair Trader and start to make a profit!
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