Reuters Morning Bid

U.S. 30-year Treasury yields reach levels last seen before the 2008 financial crisis, rattling bond markets across the globe. Oil above $110 and sticky inflation add to the pressure as G7 finance chiefs meet in Paris, and markets await Nvidia earnings for the latest read on the AI spending surge.

Today’s recommended read: Opaque oil deals around Hormuz test the petrodollar, Ron Bousso

Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest

Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski

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Nvidia's earnings this week are expected to confirm the AI boom's momentum, but questions linger over whether hyperscalers can sustain their massive capital spending. Meanwhile, U.S. mortgage rates near 6.5% and 30-year Treasury yields topping 5% for the first time since 2007 are raising alarms that the rates market is flashing warnings that stock markets appear to be ignoring.
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U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping met in Beijing, but markets had little to take away, with no breakthrough on the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, U.S. inflation hit its highest levels since 2022 and 2023, complicating the path for incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, and UK gilts came under pressure as a leadership challenge to Prime Minister Keir Starmer rattled sterling.

Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest.

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Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer

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U.S. President Donald Trump flies home from Beijing after a two-day summit that delivered scant details on trade and no breakthrough on the Strait of Hormuz. Fed chair Jerome Powell's eight-year tenure ends today as Kevin Warsh inherits a divided committee. And UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer faces a mounting leadership challenge as Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham moves closer to a leadership run.
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Day one of U.S. President Donald Trump's Beijing summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping produced more than two hours of talks and a roster of top CEOs, but no concrete trade or policy announcements. Meanwhile, U.S. producer prices post their steepest monthly rise in four years, 30-year Treasury yields topped 5% for the first time since 2007. And, Kevin Warsh was confirmed as Fed chair just as markets began pricing in rate hikes.

Today’s recommended read: Fed may have to hike to defend its credibility, Mike Dolan

Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest.

Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi

Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer

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