Will A Market Correction Trigger A Recession? | Cameron Dawson
When today's guest was last on this program back in October, she advised investors to prepare for a more volatile year ahead in 2025 - a year in which she predicted 'the game would start to get harder"So far, with the major indices stuck bouncing up & down in a trading range, her prediction is looking prescient.Now that we're two months into the year, and we have more clarity around the new Trump administration and its policies, what does she see ahead for the markets?To find out, we're fortunate to welcome Cameron Dawson, Chief Investment Officer at NewEdge Wealth, back to the program today.BUY YOUR TICKET AT THE EARLY BIRD PRICE FOR OUR MARCH 15 CONFERENCE at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference
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1:12:30
Jim Grant: A Multi-Decade Bond Bear Market Lies Ahead
When today's guest was last on this program back in June, he predicted that interest rates would remain "higher for longer".And the ensuing seven months proved him correct.With inflation remaining stubbornly sticky, new tariffs and other disruptive policies announced by Trump administration, $trillions in US Treasury debt to mature this year, and the return of the bond vigilantes....where are interest rates most likely headed from here?To find out, we have the great fortune of speaking today with perhaps the world's foremost living expert on interest rates, James Grant, founder and editor of the highly-respected market journal Grant's Interest Rate Observer.GET JIM'S FREE ARTICLE ON TIPS at https://thoughtfulmoney.substack.com/
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1:27:07
Overly Bullish Investors Risk Losses Of Up To 50% This Year | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart
Are investors TOO bullish now?Portfolio manager Lance Roberts is concerned they are. Wall Street is flush with money and throwing it at just about every asset right now.Lance sees a lot of similarities to late 2021/early 2022, right before the over-valued markets corrected by 20%...but many retail investors lost 40-50% of their portfolio wealth because they were exposed to too much leverage.Will that happen this year?We'll find out. But Lance is confident this year will be a lot more volatile than today's complacent investors have become used to.We discuss all this and more, including the recent inflation data, DOGE, tariffs, the latest market technicals, and Lance's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Market Recap.BUY YOUR TICKET AT THE EARLY BIRD PRICE FOR OUR MARCH 15 CONFERENCE at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference
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1:44:38
Nouriel Roubini: 8% Interest Rates By 2030 & 80% Unemployment by 2045??
If you have questions about inflation, interest rates, bond yields, Tech stocks, AI, recession risk and jobs, then this video is a must-watch. Today's guest earned well-deserved fame by successfully predicting the 2008 financial crisis.I'm very pleased and honored to welcome to the program economist and educator Dr Nouriel Roubini, the co-founder and chairman of Roubini Global Economics.As he makes his first-ever appearance on this channel -- hopefully the first of many -- let's ask him his macro outlook for 2025.BUY YOUR TICKET AT THE EARLY BIRD PRICE FOR OUR MARCH 15 CONFERENCE at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference
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1:05:38
Despite Economic Green Shoots, Stocks Remain Vulnerable | Michael Kantrowitz
Today's guest is best known for his HOPE framework, a highly effective way to measure the health of the economy, and tell whether it's getting stronger or weaker.As we begin a new year -- with record housing unaffordability, trade wars and a cooling jobs market -- what does his framework tell us 2025 has in store?To find out, we have the good fortune to speak today with Michael Kantrowitz, chief investment strategist & managing director at Piper Sandler. BUY YOUR TICKET AT THE EARLY BIRD PRICE FOR OUR MARCH 15 CONFERENCE at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference