This Is the First Time in 50 YEARS We’ve Seen This Happen…
November now makes three of the last four months and four of the last six with negative private payrolls. According to ADP, the US private economy shed 32k jobs last month, the most yet in the cycle. And it turns the 6m average negative for the first time, so serious problems in labor – which are creating bigger ones in the housing market. According to the latest official numbers from the government, home prices fell for the fourth time in the last five months and that brought the annual rate of change down to the lowest since February 2012. Yes, February 2012, the bottom of the housing bust. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Federal Reserve Beige Book November 2025https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/BeigeBook_20251126.pdfBloomberg A Historic Housing Disconnect Is Forcing Prices Downhttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-12-01/a-housing-disconnect-points-to-lower-priceshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
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18:49
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18:49
The Company With Better Data Than the Government Just Sent a Dire Warning
Consumer products giant Proctor & Gamble just came out with an unusual warning about its core business, consumer products meaning consumers. The maker of Tide detergent, Mr. Clean, Pampers, Gilette and whole bunch of other brands you use every single day just said that sales were down “significantly” in October and that it likely continued right on through November. This tracks with where Christmas holiday shopping has been so far with Black Friday and Cyber Monday.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg P&G Warns US Sales Down ‘Significantly’ Entering Current Quarterhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-02/p-g-warns-us-sales-down-significantly-entering-current-quarterBloomberg Cyber Monday Spending Pace Lags Black Friday for Second Yearhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-02/cyber-monday-online-spending-in-us-increases-7-1CNN You’re paying more for less this shopping season. Now there’s proofhttps://www.cnn.com/2025/12/01/business/black-friday-shoppers-holiday-seasonhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
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20:50
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20:50
Holy Sh*t… Did You See What Just Happened in The Markets?!
December begins with a decided risk-off mood in financial markets, led by more painful liquidations in crypto. Bitcoin starts off the month with a nearly 7% drop to what would be a new recent low. Why? Economic woes continue to dominate concerns. Starting with Chicago, ISM’s regional business barometer put up its largest single month decline in new orders in more than two years. Backlogs crashed by nearly 22 points to the lowest since March 2009. Its employment index fell to the worst since May 2009, with not a single respondent saying it had increased employment last month. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's AFTER BLACK FRIDAY SALEGet our DDA+ subscription including the DDA, a membership, and the Daily Briefing for one ultra-low price. Not only that, we'll also include the Substack One Big Weekly Theme subscription to. Huge value and huge savings. https://https://www.eurodollar.university/black-friday-2025---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ISM Chicago Business Barometer November 2025https://drive.google.com/file/d/1N7xXT_P4Z_g7u0dJYI_kOYkSk1fcvLcQ/viewISM Manufacturing November 2025https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-pmi-reports/pmi/november/S&P Global Press Releaseshttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/public/release/pressreleasesBloomberg Small Businesses Turn to Lending Startups as Tariff Costs Mounthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-15/tariffs-drive-small-importers-to-costly-loans-as-lending-startups-surgeBloomberg First Brands’ Blowup Puts Trade Finance in Spotlighthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-10-19/first-brands-blowup-puts-trade-finance-in-spotlight-jnj-jpm-ubs-jefhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
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21:25
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21:25
The REAL Crisis Just Started (And the Fed Is Hiding It)
HP becomes the latest big name to announce major layoffs, said to be around 6000 more white collar jobs. It’s getting to the point where despite all the mainstream and social media attention, call it fixation, on the tariff inflation faction at the Fed, the latest economic update from the central bank has almost nothing in it about that. Instead, it’s cover-to-cover with worries about HP, Amazon, and all the smaller businesses we never hear about who nonetheless are finding themselves on the same part of the flat Beveridge curve. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's EARLY BLACK FRIDAY SALEGet our DDA+ subscription including the DDA, a membership, and the Daily Briefing for one ultra-low price. Not only that, we'll also include the Substack One Big Weekly Theme subscription to. Huge value and huge savings. https://https://www.eurodollar.university/black-friday-2025---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
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17:26
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17:26
WTF! You Won’t Believe What China Just Did to the Dollar
China sold a record amount of Treasuries last quarter, which is actually more confirmation of the monetary tightening story over the summer which is now spilling out into the mainstream in the form of elevated repo rates, SOFR, and repo borrowing from the Fed. At the same time and for very much related reasons, private foreign counterparties were buying huge amounts of, yes, US Treasuries. There was no rejection at all, quite the contrary all of it pointing to growing expectations for the fallout from flat Beveridge. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's EARLY BLACK FRIDAY SALEGet our DDA+ subscription including the DDA, a membership, and the Daily Briefing for one ultra-low price. Not only that, we'll also include the Substack One Big Weekly Theme subscription to. Huge value and huge savings. https://https://www.eurodollar.university/black-friday-2025---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.
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