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Ecommerce Playbook: Numbers, Struggles & Growth

Common Thread Collective
Ecommerce Playbook: Numbers, Struggles & Growth
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  • Why Your 2026 Financial Plan Needs 3 Scenarios (Not 1)
    Most brands are building their 2026 plan all wrong.In this episode, Taylor breaks down why you can’t walk into the new year with one financial forecast — and why the smartest brands plan three: Board, Budget, and Bonus.You’ll learn how to:Build scenario plans that align finance and marketingForecast existing and new customer revenue with confidenceConnect your marketing calendar directly to your financial goalsPresent a plan your board, your bank, and your team will actually believe inWhether you’re a CMO, CEO, or founder planning for growth in 2026, this is your playbook for making smarter decisions before the year even starts.Get your 2026 forecast built with CTC’s Prophit System: https://commonthreadco.com/pages/prophit-systemBonus Offer (through Nov 11): Sign up now and get our Black Friday Cyber Monday Hourly Tracking Report — free.Show Notes:This episode is brought to you by Tie: meettie.comExplore the PROPHIT System: prophitsystem.comThe Ecommerce Playbook mailbag is open — email us at [email protected] to ask us any questions you might have
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  • How to Optimize Ad Spend in Real Time During Black Friday
    Black Friday isn’t won by guessing, it’s won hour by hour.In this episode of the Podcast, Richard and Luke break down how top DTC brands use real-time ad spend optimization to hit — and even exceed — their Black Friday and Cyber Monday targets.You’ll learn how hourly tracking transforms decision making during the biggest shopping weekend of the year, plus:How to spot pacing issues before it’s too lateWhen to scale ad spend versus pull back in real timeWhat hourly data reveals about buyer behavior on BFCMWhy last year’s patterns are your best forecasting tool for this yearLimited offer: Get a free Black Friday Hourly Tracking Report when you purchase a Prophit System, your full-year spend and forecasting model built by Common Thread Collective.Show Notes:This episode is brought to you by: Finaloop: https://get.finaloop.com/ecommerce-playbook-podcast/Explore the PROPHIT System: prophitsystem.comThe Ecommerce Playbook mailbag is open — email us at [email protected] to ask us any questions you might have
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  • Is Ecommerce Finally Rebounding? Here’s What the Data Says.
    After months of mixed signals, new data from the DTC Index shows ecommerce revenue is up 10% year over year — but consumer confidence is heading in the opposite direction.In this episode, host Richard sits down with Steve, CTC’s Chief Data Scientist, to unpack what’s really happening in the numbers. They dig into the latest data from our DTC Index and Consumer Confidence Index, exploring:Why returning customers are driving growth this fallThe strange disconnect between economic sentiment and spending behaviorHow to use consumer confidence data to forecast your spending powerWhat this all means for your Black Friday and 2026 planningIf you’re an ecommerce operator or growth strategist trying to separate signal from noise this holiday season, this one’s for you.Show Notes:This episode is brought to you by: Finaloop: https://get.finaloop.com/ecommerce-playbook-podcast/Explore the PROPHIT System: prophitsystem.comThe Ecommerce Playbook mailbag is open — email us at [email protected] to ask us any questions you might have
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  • How to Plan Hour-by-Hour Spend for Black Friday & Cyber Monday
    Want to stop guessing when to spend your Meta budget during Black Friday and Cyber Monday? This episode breaks down exactly how to plan your ad spend hour by hour so you can hit your revenue goals without wasting a single dollar.Taylor Holiday and Luke Austin walk through the real data behind BFCM revenue flow, showing when sales actually spike, when performance dips, and how top DTC brands use hourly pacing to stay ahead. You’ll learn how to:Map your ad spend across Thanksgiving → Cyber MondayRead the “horseshoe” pattern of revenue flowAvoid early-morning panic when your ROAS looks badSet hourly targets using the Prophit System modelsCourse-correct in real time to hit your daily goalsWhether you’re managing a seven-figure Meta account or running your first big BFCM campaign, this framework will help you build a smarter plan — not just react to dashboards.Show Notes:Ready to solve your influencer strategy? Book Your Strategy Demo at https://www.getsaral.com/demoExplore the PROPHIT System: prophitsystem.comThe Ecommerce Playbook mailbag is open — email us at [email protected] to ask us any questions you might have
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  • DTC Hotline: How would you identify and fill your Q4 revenue gaps?
    This is a special Friday episode feature of CTC's DTC Hotline:Most brands talk about hitting their Q4 goals — but few have a system to identify and close revenue gaps before they happen.In this episode of The DTC Hotline, Tony, Luke, and Richard break down how to spot and fill revenue shortfalls during the holidays, using the same daily frameworks CTC applies across top DTC brands.They’ll walk through:How to pinpoint whether your gap is in new or returning customersThe daily cadence CTC uses to track and close gaps in real timeWhen to deploy incrementality tests and channel expansion (like AppLovin) to recover missed revenueWhy every forecast should translate into specific daily actionsAnd how to think in “units of growth” — the building blocks of hitting your Q4 targetIf you’ve ever wondered how to turn missed forecasts into closed gaps — this episode is your blueprint.Call or text the DTC Hotline: 866-DTC-2263 (866-382-2263)Ask your burning eComm questions and we might answer them live on air.Show Notes:Whether you’re running paid ads on Meta, Google, or TikTok, FERMÀT can help you increase your conversion rates without touching your website. https://www.fermatcommerce.com/ctcExplore the Prophit System:https://www.prophitsystem.comThe DTC Hotline mailbag is open — email us at [email protected] to ask your eCom questions.
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About Ecommerce Playbook: Numbers, Struggles & Growth

2020 transformed the world of ecommerce forever. For the modern DTC brand, the rewards have never been greater. But the waters have also never been choppier, and the way forward has never been more uncertain. So how do you navigate this dangerous new reality? No matter how you do it, you’d better not do it alone. That’s where the Ecommerce Playbook Podcast comes in — join Common Thread Collective’s Taylor Holiday & Richard Gaffin as they bring you guiding insights from across CTC’s portfolio of growing DTC businesses. Whether you need a clear view on the macro issues affecting the world of ecommerce, or want to reorient your business around groundbreaking new big-picture strategies, Taylor & Richard are here to help answer the tough questions about what it takes to scale — and sustain — an ecommerce business.
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