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In it to Win it

Steve Barton
In it to Win it
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665 episodes

  • In it to Win it

    S&P 500 Crash 2.1% VIX Explodes 16% Gold Setup Signals Big Move ~ Monday Market Moves

    29/03/2026 | 30 mins.
    In this week's Monday Market Moves, I break down what I am seeing across the markets after another rough week for equities and a growing list of important setups in commodities.
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    Recorded on 3-27-2026. I explain why I believe the S&P 500 is breaking down technically after falling 2.1 percent and why I think we could still see a move toward $6,100 or even $6,000 in the near term. I also cover the 16 percent jump in the VIX, the move in the dollar, and the steady rise in the 10-year yield as signals that fear and pressure are still building under the surface. Throughout the first half of the episode, I make the case that weakness in stocks is becoming more pronounced while selective opportunities are beginning to emerge in hard assets.
    I spend a big part of this episode on gold because I believe its recent touch of the 200-day moving average is a major event in an ongoing bull market and could become an important long-term buying signal. I also explain why silver may bounce early next week even though I still expect another correction before the next major push higher. Beyond precious metals, I stay constructive on uranium, where I believe current levels are attractive for both physical uranium exposure and uranium miners, while oil remains the most conflicted market on my screen because bearish technicals are clashing with bullish geopolitical fundamentals. I close by warning that Bitcoin still looks vulnerable to me, with support near $62,000, resistance near $76,000, and a broader structure that suggests more downside may still be ahead.
     
    Key Insights in this episode
    ✅ S&P 500 down 2.1% breaking key support with downside targets near 6,000 and 4,825
    ✅ VIX up 16% signaling rising market fear and volatility expansion
    ✅ U.S. dollar up 0.7% but expected to weaken after resistance near 100.4
    ✅ Gold down 1.8% but bullish after touching 200-day moving average with support at 4,350
    ✅ Silver up 0.2% short-term upside but likely correction toward 200-day average near 56
    ✅ Copper up 2.2% but bearish pattern suggests pullback toward long-term support
    ✅ Uranium up 0.5% with 80 million pounds removed from supply tightening market significantly
    ✅ Oil WTI up 1.4% with bearish charts but strong geopolitical bullish fundamentals
    ✅ Natural gas down 0.1% holding trendline with ETF stretched far above key averages
    ✅ Platinum down 4.2% hitting 200-day average with confirmation still needed
    ✅ Nickel up 0.9% forming bullish structure but recession risk remains
    ✅ Bitcoin down 2.6% with bearish flag targeting support near 62,000
    Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful / Affiliates:
    Technical Analysis Series 
    Rule Symposium 2026
    Rule Classroom (Free) 
    Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 
    TradingView (Free)
    Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)
    Uranium Insider Newsletter
     
    Chapters
    00:00 S&P 500 Technical Collapse
    04:20 Gold Key Support And Outlook
    10:36 Silver Outlook And Resistance Levels
    15:35 Copper Bearish Setup
    16:24 Uranium Supply Shock
    18:48 Oil Market Divergence
    22:34 Natural Gas Volatility
    24:13 Coal Market Trends
    24:58 Platinum And Palladium Weakness
    26:38 Nickel Bullish Setup
    29:28 Bitcoin Bearish Structure
    30:22 Closing Thoughts And Strategy
     
    DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
    WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
    AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, the show may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion. I recommend them because they are helpful and useful, not because I am looking for the small commission. Thank you for using the links.
     
    #SP500 #VIX #Gold #Silver #Copper #Uranium #OilMarkets #BitcoinCrash #MacroTrends #StockMarketCrash #Commodities #Inflation #Recession #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #EnergyMarkets #CryptoMarkets #MarketVolatility #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt
  • In it to Win it

    David Skarica Warns S&P 500 Could Crash 20% From Here

    25/03/2026 | 35 mins.
    David Skarica, a veteran contrarian investor and author known for his macro market insights, returns to break down the current state of global markets amid rising geopolitical tensions and shifting monetary expectations.
     👉 Mega Returns
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    📩 Substack
    👉 Technical Analysis Video Series
     Recording Date 3-24-2026. In this episode, David explains how recent moves in gold, silver, and oil reflect deeper structural changes rather than short-term noise. Drawing from decades of experience studying market cycles and investor psychology, Skarica highlights why he moved heavily into cash and defensive positioning. He also shares how sentiment, speculation, and global liquidity are driving unusual behavior across asset classes. This episode sets the stage for a potential turning point in markets.
    Skarica dives deeper into the implications of a possible equity market correction, arguing that gold and silver may continue consolidating before their next major breakout. He outlines a scenario where rising oil prices and persistent deficits force central banks into a difficult position between inflation and recession. According to him, a liquidity crisis could trigger aggressive monetary easing, which would ultimately fuel a powerful rally in precious metals. He also emphasizes structural issues like declining foreign demand for U.S. debt and geopolitical instability reshaping energy markets. The conversation concludes with tactical insights on positioning, highlighting selective re-entry into oversold assets while maintaining caution.
     
    Key Insights in this episode
    ✅ Skarica moved 70 to 75 percent into cash expecting a market shakeout driven by geopolitical risk
    ✅ S&P 500 key breakdown level near 6500 could trigger accelerated downside and volatility spike
    ✅ Gold and silver may decline further short term due to liquidity stress before a major breakout
    ✅ Massive US deficits and rising debt costs remain the strongest long-term bullish driver for gold
    ✅ Oil prices may be artificially suppressed despite tight physical supply and geopolitical tensions
    ✅ Copper and energy transition demand could rise despite recession due to EV and infrastructure shifts
    Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful / Affiliates:
    Technical Analysis Series 
    Rule Symposium 2026
    Rule Classroom (Free) 
    Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 
    TradingView (Free)
    Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)
    Uranium Insider Newsletter
     
    Chapters
    00:00 David Skarica Joins the Show
    03:17 S&P 500 Chart and Market Breakdown Risk
    08:28 Gold Outlook and Short Term Weakness
    13:57 Aveeno Silver Entry and Oversold Setup
    18:48 Gold Chart Levels and Consolidation View
    23:05 Silver Chart and Long Term Support
    26:12 JP Morgan Silver Price Impact Debate
    28:46 Copper Chart Recession Versus EV Demand
    32:08 Oil Outlook and Transocean Analysis
    34:04 Where to Follow David Skarica
     
    DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
    WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
    AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, the show may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion. I recommend them because they are helpful and useful, not because I am looking for the small commission. Thank you for using the links.
     
    #DavidSkarica #Gold #Silver #Oil #StockMarket #Macro #Investing #Commodities #Inflation #Recession #FederalReserve #DebtCrisis #SP500 #VIX #Copper #EnergyStocks #Geopolitics #MarketCrash #Trading #Wealth #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt
  • In it to Win it

    Gold Down 9.6% Silver Down 14.4% Market Shock ~ Monday Market Moves

    22/03/2026 | 33 mins.
    In this week's Monday Market Moves, I walked through a broad breakdown of the markets, starting with the S&P 500, which fell 1.9% and confirmed a continued downtrend after failing at the 200-day moving average.
    📩 Website
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    👉 Technical Analysis Video Series
    Recorded on 3-20-2026. I explained why I expect further downside toward the 6,000–6,100 range as volatility remains elevated and yields move higher. I also highlighted weakness in the dollar and how macro factors like global tensions and liquidity pressures are influencing market direction. Overall, my outlook for equities in the near term remains bearish, with key resistance and support levels clearly defined.

    In commodities, I covered sharp declines across gold and silver, both of which are now trending lower with strong downside momentum and likely heading toward major support zones and their 200-day averages. I pointed out a potential bounce setup in copper at its 200-day moving average, while uranium continues to weaken short term despite strong structural fundamentals. In energy, oil remains indecisive with a bearish tilt, while natural gas and coal appear stretched and due for pullbacks. I also discussed continued weakness in platinum and palladium, a bullish setup forming in nickel, and a potential short-term rebound in Bitcoin as momentum begins to shift.
     
    Key Insights in this episode
    ✅ S&P 500 fell 1.9%, confirming a downtrend below support
    ✅ VIX down 1.5%, volatility easing slightly
    ✅ U.S. dollar down 1%, testing lower support levels
    ✅ Gold down 9.6%, sharp breakdown toward key support
    ✅ Silver down 14.4%, strong downside momentum continues
    ✅ Copper down 6.6%, hitting the 200-day moving average
    ✅ Uranium down 2.9%, equities nearing key buy zones
    ✅ Oil down 0.5%, showing indecision with bearish bias
    ✅ Natural gas up 1.2%, modest upside but stretched
    ✅ Coal mixed, thermal +8.5% while met coal flat
    ✅ Platinum down 3.5%, palladium down 8.5%, bearish setups
    ✅ Nickel down 1.1%, forming a bullish continuation pattern
    ✅ Bitcoin down 3%, showing signs of a short-term bounce
    Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful / Affiliates:
    Technical Analysis Series 
    Rule Symposium 2026
    Rule Classroom (Free) 
    Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 
    TradingView (Free)
    Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)
    Uranium Insider Newsletter
     
    Chapters
    00:00 S&P 500, Dollar & Yields
    02:40 Gold Breakdown & Support
    09:33 Silver Selloff & Miners
    15:47 Copper at 200-Day Support
    18:59 Uranium Price & Buy Zone
    21:19 Oil Outlook & War Risk
    24:11 Natural Gas Near Reversal
    24:43 Coal Stalls at Resistance
    25:55 Platinum & Palladium Weak
    30:00 Nickel Bullish Setup
    31:54 Bitcoin Bounce Setup
    32:43 Outro & Premium Service
     
    DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
    WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
    AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, the show may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion. I recommend them because they are helpful and useful, not because I am looking for the small commission. Thank you for using the links.
     
    #CommodityInvesting #Gold #Silver #Copper #Oil #NatGas #Uranium #Bitcoin #SP500 #EnergyStocks #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt
  • In it to Win it

    Doomberg Explains Why Oil Stays Near $95 Despite 8M Barrel Supply Shock

    17/03/2026 | 36 mins.
    Doomberg joins the discussion to break down the surprising stability in oil markets amid the Iran conflict and the disruption of the Strait of Hormuz, revealing why prices remain anchored near $95 WTI despite one of the most significant geopolitical shocks in decades.
    👉 Doomberg Substack
    📩 Substack
    👉 Technical Analysis Video Series
    Recording Date 3-16-2026. In this interview, Doomberg explains how the global oil market is absorbing a potential multi-million barrel per day supply disruption through a combination of excess global capacity, strategic petroleum reserve releases, and rapid production responses from regions such as U.S. shale, Russia, Canada, Venezuela, and Argentina. He outlines a "supply waterfall" framework, showing how incremental production, inventory drawdowns, and demand destruction can offset even large shocks, keeping prices far below extreme forecasts. According to Doomberg, the market's calm is signaling that the world is not short oil, but rather well supplied, even in crisis conditions.
    Doomberg also dives into the mechanics of oil pricing, emphasizing that the quoted "price of oil" depends heavily on contract timing, delivery location, and futures roll dynamics, factors often misunderstood during volatile periods. He highlights how past anomalies, including negative WTI pricing, illustrate the importance of understanding contract structures. Looking ahead, Doomberg expects oil prices to trend significantly lower over the next 12–18 months, arguing that any spike driven by war would be temporary and ultimately unsustainable as supply overwhelms demand. He also explores longer-term implications, including new pipeline infrastructure to bypass chokepoints and the broader political consequences shaping market sentiment.
     
    Key Insights in this episode
    ✅ Doomberg explains why oil remains near $95 despite a major geopolitical shock
    ✅ Global oversupply, SPR releases, and rapid production response stabilize prices
    ✅ Strait of Hormuz disruption exposes risks, but not a true shortage
    ✅ Markets adjust through "all-of-the-above" supply, rerouting, and substitution
    ✅ Oil pricing depends on contracts, location, and futures roll dynamics
    ✅ LNG disruption is smaller in global context than headlines suggest
    ✅ Long-term outlook points to significantly lower oil prices within 12–18 months
    Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful / Affiliates:
    Technical Analysis Series 
    Rule Symposium 2026
    Rule Classroom (Free) 
    Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 
    TradingView (Free)
    Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)
    Uranium Insider Newsletter
     
    Chapters
    00:00 Doomberg on the Iran War
    01:37 Escalation & Risks
    05:37 Strait of Hormuz Closure Impact
    12:57 Supply Response vs Rerouting
    14:38 Understanding Oil Contracts (WTI)
    19:47 Fade the Spike? Trading Oil
    22:50 Bypassing Hormuz Long-Term
    26:07 Commodity Spillover (Sulfur, Metals)
    27:04 Political Fallout & GOP Impact
    31:56 Election Outlook & Impeachment Risk
    35:19 Final Thoughts & Premium Teaser
     
    DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
    WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
    AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, the show may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion. I recommend them because they are helpful and useful, not because I am looking for the small commission. Thank you for using the links.
     
    #Doomberg #OilPrices #WTI #BrentCrude #StraitOfHormuz #IranWar #EnergyMarkets #OilSupply #Commodities #Macro #Investing #FuturesTrading #NaturalGas #LNG #Geopolitics #MarketAnalysis #SP500 #Bitcoin #Gold #Silver #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt
  • In it to Win it

    Oil Surges, Gold & Silver Drop – Market Warning? ~ Monday Market Moves

    15/03/2026 | 39 mins.
    In this week's Monday Market Moves, I review the biggest developments across global markets and explain the key signals I'm watching as we head into the next trading week.
    📩 Website
    📩 Substack
    👉 Technical Analysis Video Series
    Recorded on 3-13-2026. I begin with the S&P 500, which moved lower during the week and is starting to show signs of technical weakness as volatility rises and the U.S. dollar strengthens. With bond yields climbing and investors becoming more cautious, I discuss why the short-term outlook for equities may remain pressured and where the next potential support zones could emerge if selling continues.
    From there I move through the major commodity markets and highlight the technical setups forming across the sector. Gold has started to soften after a strong run while silver and mining stocks are showing more pronounced downside momentum. Copper remains under pressure as it drifts toward longer-term moving averages, uranium equities are approaching levels that could create new buying opportunities, and energy markets remain highly sensitive to geopolitical developments. I also touch on natural gas momentum, coal's reaction to broader energy trends, weakness developing in platinum and palladium, a tightening consolidation pattern forming in nickel, and the short-term technical picture for Bitcoin as it trades near important resistance levels.
     
    Key Insights in this episode
    ✅ S&P 500 fell 1.6%, showing a potential topping pattern
    ✅ VIX rising as market uncertainty increases
    ✅ U.S. dollar up 1.7% as investors seek safety
    ✅ Gold down 1.9% after breaking a bear flag
    ✅ Silver down 3.5%, signaling further weakness
    ✅ Copper down 0.9%, trending toward the 200-day average
    ✅ Uranium mostly flat, equities drifting toward support
    ✅ Oil surged 8.6% on geopolitical tensions
    ✅ Natural gas down 1.7% but still in an uptrend
    ✅ Coal mostly flat, struggling at resistance
    ✅ Platinum & palladium down ~5%, bearish setups forming
    ✅ Nickel forming a bullish pennant
    ✅ Bitcoin slightly down, facing resistance near key levels
     
    Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful / Affiliates:
    Technical Analysis Series 
    Rule Symposium 2026
    Rule Classroom (Free) 
    Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 
    TradingView (Free)
    Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)
    Uranium Insider Newsletter
     
    Chapters
    00:00 S&P 500 & Dollar Outlook
    03:17 Gold Market Breakdown
    10:28 Silver Weakness
    15:06 Copper Trend
    16:49 Uranium Setup
    20:39 Oil Surge & Geopolitics
    28:16 Natural Gas Trend
    29:05 Coal Prices
    30:20 Platinum & Palladium
    33:00 Nickel Outlook
    38:14 Bitcoin Levels
     
    DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
    WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
    AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, the show may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion. I recommend them because they are helpful and useful, not because I am looking for the small commission. Thank you for using the links.
     
    #CommodityInvesting #Gold #Silver #Copper #Oil #NatGas #Uranium #Bitcoin #SP500 #EnergyStocks #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt

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