In it to Win it

Michael Oliver, founder of Momentum Structural Analysis and veteran market technician, joins me to break down what he sees as a major shift away from paper assets and toward commodities and monetary metals. 
👉 Michael Oliver's Website: https://www.olivermsa.com
Recording Date 9-10-2026. In this episode, Michael explains why weakening Treasury bonds, rising yields, a vulnerable U.S. dollar, and continued monetary expansion could become the forces driving the next major market rotation. We examine his bearish dollar thesis, the yen's potential turn, and a money supply that has increased nearly 50% since COVID. Michael argues that stocks have absorbed enormous liquidity since the post-2008 QE era, but with equities now looking like a bubble by his metrics and government bonds losing their traditional safe-haven appeal, capital may increasingly seek alternatives.
I also dig into Michael's bullish commodity, gold, and silver outlook. He highlights the Bloomberg Commodity Index near 146 versus its 2008 peak around 235 and identifies a breakout from a roughly 16-year declining channel. Michael believes commodity-related stocks, agriculture, oil, base-metal miners, and ETFs such as MOO could benefit. Gold's previous major bull markets delivered roughly eightfold advances, while the current move from about $1,050 has only quadrupled, supporting his argument for potentially $8,000–$9,000 gold. Silver is even more explosive in his framework, with Michael discussing a theoretical $500 long-term target while emphasizing that silver and precious-metals miners could ultimately outperform gold.
 
Key Insights In This Episode
✅ Michael expects rising yields, weaker bonds, and a falling dollar to drive the next major monetary-metals move.
✅ Money supply has increased nearly 50% since COVID, reinforcing his long-term inflation and hard-asset thesis.
✅ The Bloomberg Commodity Index has broken a roughly 16-year declining channel and could enter a major second upwave.
✅ Gold could reach $8,000–$9,000 if this bull market merely matches the eightfold magnitude of its prior major advances.
✅ Silver's historical range produces a theoretical $500 target, while its long-term momentum structure remains bullish.
✅ Michael expects silver and precious-metals miners to outperform gold as capital rotates away from stocks and government bonds.
 
Affiliates /Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful:
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Chapters
00:00 Macro Outlook and Treasury Bond Warning
03:08 Yen Turn and Dollar Weakness
05:56 The Dollar Could Become an Event
07:27 Money Supply and Real Inflation
09:02 Nearly 50% Money Supply Expansion
14:56 Historic Commodity Rotation
17:42 Oil Joins the Commodity Breakout
19:41 Gold Bull Market Outlook
23:01 Silver's Massive Upside Potential
24:38 Gold at $4,500 and Silver Breakout
26:08 Silver Gold and Miners Turn Higher
27:43 Premium Commodity Outlook
 
DISCLAIMER: Steve Barton and In It To Win It are not registered investment advisers or broker-dealers. This is general, impersonal education and opinion - not individualized financial advice. Stocks, price levels, position sizes, and personal trades are not instructions to act. Investing involves risk, including total loss. I may own and trade securities discussed. Any of these links may be affiliate links, meaning at no extra cost to you In It To Win It may get compensation. Any sponsored travel will be disclosed. Information may change without notice. Do your own due diligence and consult a licensed professional. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
#MichaelOliver #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt #Gold #Silver #GoldPrice #SilverPrice #Commodities #CommoditySupercycle #PreciousMetals #GoldMiners #SilverMiners #USDollar #TreasuryBonds #Inflation #MoneySupply #StockMarket #Copper #Oil #HardAssets

Chris Vermeulen, Founder and CEO of The Technical Traders, technical analyst, equities trader, investment strategist, educator, and creator of Asset Revesting, joins me to break down where the strongest market opportunities are developing. 
👉 Technical Traders: https://thetechnicaltraders.com/?am_id=steve5172 
Recording Date 9-7-2026. In this episode, Chris explains why uncertainty around Treasury yields, the bond market, the dollar, war, energy prices, crypto, and precious metals has investors searching for direction. We dig into gold's conflicting signals, with its short-term trend moving higher while his longer-term technical framework remains bearish. Chris identifies gold support around $4,000 and $3,600, with deeper downside potentially near $3,100, while Fibonacci projections point toward roughly $6,400 and ultimately $7,900 to $8,000 if a confirmed bullish trend develops.
I also ask Chris about silver, platinum, palladium, copper, the Nasdaq, and S&P 500. Silver remains a laggard, while platinum and palladium have yet to confirm a broad precious-metals bull move. Copper looks considerably stronger, with higher highs and higher lows supporting a potential 10% advance toward approximately $7.40. Chris walks me through his Fibonacci methodology, including the 61.8% and 100% measured-move levels, bull flags, and the risks of triangle breakouts near the apex. Most importantly, Chris reveals where he is positioned now: long equities through highly liquid ETFs, with strong Nasdaq and S&P 500 setups and potential for another roughly 20% Nasdaq advance if an AI-driven euphoric phase develops.
 
Key Insights In This Episode
✅ Gold Could Target $8,000 after confirmation, while $3,600 remains a major downside support zone.
✅ Copper Has Roughly 10% Upside toward $7.40 as its higher-high and higher-low structure remains bullish.
✅ Nasdaq Could Rally Another 20% if equities enter another AI-driven euphoric phase.
✅ Silver Is Still Underperforming Gold but could eventually become a late-cycle catch-up trade.
✅ Platinum and Palladium Are Not Confirming a broad precious-metals bull market yet.
✅ Chris Is Long Equities and Out of Metals using Asset Revesting to rotate toward assets already rising in value.
 
Affiliates /Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful:
Technical Analysis Series 
Battle Bank 
Rule Symposium 2026
Rule Classroom (Free) 
Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 
TradingView (Free)
Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)
Uranium Insider Newsletter
 
Chapters
00:00 Macro Market Outlook
01:34 Gold Technical Analysis
05:12 Gold Downside and Upside Targets
09:02 What Turns Chris Bullish on Gold
11:08 Silver Outlook and Underperformance
13:27 Platinum and Palladium Signals
15:26 Precious Metals Investment Opportunities
16:35 Copper Targets $7.40
18:05 Best Fibonacci Extension Levels
19:39 How to Draw Fibonacci Extensions
23:16 Copper Triangle Breakout Risk
25:22 Chris Vermeulen's Favorite Market Bet
26:54 Why Chris Trades Indices and ETFs
27:36 How to Follow Chris Vermeulen
28:12 Premium Uranium Oil and Energy Preview
 
DISCLAIMER: Steve Barton and In It To Win It are not registered investment advisers or broker-dealers. This is general, impersonal education and opinion - not individualized financial advice. Stocks, price levels, position sizes, and personal trades are not instructions to act. Investing involves risk, including total loss. I may own and trade securities discussed. Any of these links may be affiliate links, meaning at no extra cost to you In It To Win It may get compensation. Any sponsored travel will be disclosed. Information may change without notice. Do your own due diligence and consult a licensed professional. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
#ChrisVermeulen #TheTechnicalTraders #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt #Gold #Silver #Copper #GoldPrice #SilverPrice #CopperPrice #PreciousMetals #Nasdaq #SP500 #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #Commodities #Investing #MarketOutlook #AssetRevesting

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🌎 Conference Nov 22-24 Discount Code ITW500 
Recording Date 9-6-2026. The S&P 500 finished up just 0.1%, while the dollar fell 0.5% after nearly reaching 100 on the DXY. Treasury yields remain a major macro signal, with the 10-year yield up 1.1% for the week and the 30-year yield reaching its highest level since 2007. Gold dropped 1.2%, and I'm watching $4,265 as an important potential entry level. Silver declined 1.5% after rejection near $72, with $61.50 to $62.50 looking more attractive to me. I also cover GDX, PSLV and SILJ, including the technical levels where I would consider adding exposure.
Energy is where the action really picked up. WTI surged 9.3% after breaking out of an inverse head and shoulders pattern, while Brent gained 8.6%. Natural gas rose 2.6%, and Pacific and Atlantic thermal coal are challenging major resistance levels. Met coal delivered an impressive 16% weekly move and closed around $275 per ton. I also examine copper and COPX, uranium through SRUUF and URNM, plus XLE, FCG, platinum, palladium, nickel and PICK. Across these markets, I'm looking for disciplined entries rather than chasing strength, using moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, support zones and limit orders to identify where the next higher-probability opportunities may emerge.
 
Key Insights in this episode
✅ WTI surged 9.3% after breaking its inverse head and shoulders pattern, though a short-term retest could follow.
✅ Met coal jumped 16% to roughly $275 per ton, strengthening the bullish setup across coal markets.
✅ Gold fell 1.2%, with $4,265 standing out as a key support and potential accumulation level.
✅ Silver dropped 1.5%, with stronger entry territory identified around $61.50 to $62.50.
✅ Uranium remains constructive longer term, with URNM near $53 and its 50-day moving average an important support area.
✅ Treasury yields continue climbing, with the 30-year yield reaching its highest level since 2007.
 
Affiliates /Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful:
Technical Analysis Series 
Battle Bank 
Rule Symposium 2026
Rule Classroom (Free) 
Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 
TradingView (Free)
Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)
Uranium Insider Newsletter
 
Chapters
0:00 S&P 500 Dollar VIX And Treasury Yields
02:03 Gold Pullback And $4,265 Target
04:44 Silver Downside And Key Entry Levels
09:29 Copper Resistance And COPX Setup
11:05 Uranium SRUUF And URNM Opportunities
13:23 WTI Oil Breakout And Brent Rally
15:08 Natural Gas Outlook And FCG
17:01 Thermal Coal And Met Coal Breakout
20:39 Platinum And Palladium Entries
22:03 Nickel Breakout Setup
22:37 PICK ETF Limit Order Setup
23:19 Final Market Outlook
 
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, the show may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion. I recommend them because they are helpful and useful, not because I am looking for the small commission. Thank you for using the links.
#InItToWinIt #SteveBarton #MondayMarketMoves #CommodityInvesting #Gold #Silver #Oil #WTI #NaturalGas #Uranium #Copper #Coal #MetCoal #Platinum #Palladium #Nickel #GDX #URNM #COPX #StockMarket

Doomberg, the pseudonymous voice of the independent Doomberg publication and newsletter focused on energy, finance, and geopolitics, represents a team of entrepreneurs with deep professional experience in heavy industry, private equity, and the hard sciences. 
👉 Doomberg Newsletter
Recording Date 9-1-2026. In this episode, Doomberg joins me to break down what the oil market is really telling investors amid turmoil in the Middle East, diesel concerns, and shifting global energy flows. We start with crack spreads and why the difference between crude oil costs and the value of refined products is essential to understanding refinery profitability. Doomberg explains why oil futures can provide a higher-quality market signal than equities, why delivery and contract expiration enforce discipline in crude markets, and why the failure of oil to reach the predicted $150 to $200 range during the Iran conflict forced him to reassess his own expectations.
We then turn to Venezuela, where Doomberg says production has recovered to roughly 1.1 million barrels per day and argues the country could eventually move back toward the roughly 4 million barrels per day it once produced. I ask him about the potential role of Chevron, Exxon and other supermajors, the advantages of blending Venezuelan heavy crude with lighter Permian hydrocarbons, and his expectation that substantial outside capital could accelerate the country's energy revival. We also examine Greenland, Saudi Aramco, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, diesel exports, and oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Doomberg's key message is that investors should pay attention to the price signals coming directly from sophisticated oil markets rather than assume geopolitical headlines dictate prices. With Brent trading in the $80s during the discussion, he argues enough oil is reaching the global market to prevent a sustained shortage and says $200 oil remains unlikely unless an extreme event, such as the destruction of major Saudi oil and gas infrastructure, dramatically changes the supply picture.
 
Key Insights In This Episode
✅ Crack spreads reveal refinery economics and whether the bottleneck is crude supply or refining capacity.
✅ Doomberg argues oil futures provide unusually valuable signals because contracts face delivery and expiration.
✅ $200 oil is unlikely in Doomberg's view without catastrophic disruption to Saudi oil and gas infrastructure.
✅ Venezuela once produced roughly 4 million barrels per day and was already back near 1.1 million by July.
✅ Doomberg expects major outside capital and eventually companies such as Chevron to pursue Venezuela's revival.
✅ America's SPR matters less domestically because the U.S. has become an energy superpower and net exporter.
 
Affiliates /Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful:
Technical Analysis Series 
Battle Bank 
Rule Symposium 2026
Rule Classroom (Free) 
Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 
TradingView (Free)
Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)
Uranium Insider Newsletter
 
Chapters
00:00 Welcome Back Doomberg
00:19 Diesel And Crack Spreads
04:09 Why Oil Futures Matter
09:26 How Refiners Make Money
13:20 Why One Person Cannot Control Oil
14:48 Greenland Oil And Geopolitics
16:57 Venezuela's 4 Million Barrel Opportunity
21:35 The Venezuela Investment Structure
24:31 Strategic Petroleum Reserve And Hormuz
27:41 What Oil Futures Are Signaling
28:38 Premium Canada Tariffs And Energy
 
DISCLAIMER:
Steve Barton and In It to Win It are not registered investment advisers or broker-dealers. This is general, impersonal education and opinion—not individualized financial advice. Stocks, price levels, position sizes, and personal trades are not instructions to act. Investing involves risk, including total loss. I may own and trade securities discussed. Any issuer compensation, sponsored travel, or affiliate relationship will be disclosed. Information may change without notice. Do your own due diligence and consult a licensed professional. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
#InItToWinIt #SteveBarton #Doomberg #Oil #CrudeOil #Diesel #Energy #OilPrices #Venezuela #Chevron #Exxon #SaudiAramco #StraitOfHormuz #Iran #CrackSpreads #EnergyInvesting #Commodities #Geopolitics #StrategicPetroleumReserve #PermianBasin

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🌎 Conference Nov 22-24 Discount Code ITW500 
Recording Date 8-30-2026. The S&P 500 gained 0.5%, and I'm giving it a modest 55% probability of moving higher, while the DXY jumped 0.9% and broke several important moving averages. Precious metals were much weaker. Gold dropped 3.2% after being rejected around $4,755, and I think the correction has further to run, with support around $4,450, $4,400 and $4,265. Silver fell 2.5% after reaching $72.05, while GDX dropped 3.1% and PSLV lost 4.4%. I also explain how I use staged 15%, 35% and 50% allocations, Fibonacci retracements, and historical support and resistance to build positions as prices become cheaper.
In commodities, I'm watching some very different opportunities develop. Copper gained 1.1%, and I think it could challenge a new all-time high, although the COPX copper miners ETF looks vulnerable to a pullback. Uranium barely moved at 0.1%, but URNM fell 2.6%, creating what I see as a potentially attractive accumulation opportunity around $56, with deeper levels near $50 and $47.50. WTI dropped 3.7%, while Brent fell 5.7%, yet I remain constructive on oil beyond the near-term weakness. Natural gas gained 4.1%, palladium surged 5.8%, and I remain optimistic on platinum despite its 2.2% weekly decline. Nickel, meanwhile, fell 1.6%, and after reassessing its chart in real time, I'm leaning bearish for next week.
 
Key Insights in this episode
✅ Gold fell 3.2%, with Steve expecting further downside toward key Fibonacci support levels.
✅ Silver dropped 2.5% after reaching $72.05, shifting next week's bias slightly bearish.
✅ Copper gained 1.1%, with a possible new all-time high developing despite COPX weakness.
✅ URNM fell 2.6%, creating potential uranium accumulation levels around $56, $50 and $47.50.
✅ Natural gas climbed 4.1%, while leveraged BOIL remains a short-term trading vehicle due to decay.
✅ Palladium surged 5.8% as platinum and palladium show increasingly bullish technical setups.
 
Affiliates /Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful:
Technical Analysis Series 
Battle Bank 
Rule Symposium 2026
Rule Classroom (Free) 
Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 
TradingView (Free)
Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)
Uranium Insider Newsletter
 
Chapters
0:00 S&P 500 And Dollar Market Outlook
01:59 Gold Drops 3.2% And Tests Major Support
07:25 Silver Falls 2.5% After Hitting $72
10:24 Copper Breakout And COPX Reversal Risk
12:19 Uranium Stocks And URNM Buying Levels
15:20 WTI Oil Bear Flag And Energy Outlook
17:34 Natural Gas Rally And BOIL Strategy
20:10 Platinum And Palladium Bullish Setups
22:43 Nickel False Breakout And Downside Risk
23:46 Final Market Thoughts
 
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, the show may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion. I recommend them because they are helpful and useful, not because I am looking for the small commission. Thank you for using the links.
#InItToWinIt #SteveBarton #MondayMarketMoves #MMM #SP500 #Gold #Silver #Copper #Uranium #Oil #NaturalGas #Platinum #Palladium #Nickel #GDX #URNM #COPX #CommodityInvesting #TechnicalAnalysis #MiningStocks