In it to Win it

In this week's Monday Market Moves, I break down what just happened across the markets and what I expect next as I walk you through equities commodities and crypto.
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Recorded on 4-4-2026. I highlight how the S&P 500 bounced 3.4% and is now pushing into major resistance near the 20 day and 200 day moving averages. I also point out the sharp 23.1% drop in volatility and explain why despite that move the broader trend in the VIX still favors higher levels. I dive into the U.S. dollar sitting at a critical level near 100 and why I believe a breakdown could be coming which would support commodities.
I then shift into the key trades and setups I am watching closely right now. I explain why gold's 4.2% move is likely to stay range bound in the short term while silver continues to form a bearish structure despite recent strength. I break down oil's massive 11.9% rally but show why futures markets and divergence suggest lower prices ahead. I also highlight uranium copper and nickel as strong longer-term opportunities driven by supply demand imbalances while maintaining a cautious short-term outlook across most commodities. Finally, I walk through Bitcoin where I see a slight upside bias but with low conviction as it approaches key resistance levels.
 
Key Insights in this episode
✅ S&P 500 up 3.4% rebounding into resistance near 20 day and 200 day averages around $6,650
✅ VIX down 23.1% but still in an uptrend with bias pointing higher next week
✅ U.S. dollar flat near 100 level with increasing likelihood of breakdown and weakness ahead
✅ Gold up 4.2% facing resistance at $4,825 with 60% probability of range between $4,400 and $4,825
✅ Silver up 4.5% but forming bearish flag with downside risk toward 50 to 55 range
✅ Copper up 1.6% with bearish pennant suggesting short term pullback despite long term bullish demand
✅ Uranium up 1.1% spot and 5.6% in Sprott trust with continued accumulation near 200 day average
✅ Oil WTI up 11.9% but futures curve and divergence point to likely downside reversal
✅ Natural gas down 7.1% breaking lower with bearish bias continuing into next week
✅ Platinum up 5.1% breaking downtrend with improving bullish structure after 200 day bounce
✅ Nickel down 0.7% forming bullish pennant with high probability breakout to upside
✅ Bitcoin up 2.1% with low conviction but slight upside bias toward resistance near $68,650
Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful / Affiliates:
Technical Analysis Series 
Rule Symposium 2026
Rule Classroom (Free) 
Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 
TradingView (Free)
Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)
Uranium Insider Newsletter
 
Chapters
00:00 Introduction And Market Overview
00:15 S&P 500 Outlook And Resistance Levels
05:12 Gold Price Action And Range Forecast
09:36 Silver Setup And Bearish Flag Risk
15:54 Copper Outlook And Short Term Bias
19:19 Uranium Market And Accumulation Zone
20:41 Oil Surge And Reversal Signals
27:43 Natural Gas Breakdown And Weak Trend
28:44 Coal Market Structure And Opportunity
31:37 Platinum And Palladium Recovery Setup
33:32 Nickel Bullish Pennant Formation
34:27 Bitcoin Short Term Direction
35:14 Golden Egg Giveaway!
 
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, the show may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion. I recommend them because they are helpful and useful, not because I am looking for the small commission. Thank you for using the links.
#SteveBarton #MondayMarketMoves #SP500 #Gold #Silver #Oil #Bitcoin #Uranium #Copper #DollarIndex #VIX #Commodities #MacroTrends #Investing #StockMarket #Trading #PreciousMetals #EnergyMarkets #Crypto #MarketOutlook #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt

John Polomny, a veteran resource investor and publisher of Actionable Intelligence Alert on Substack, brings over 30 years of experience uncovering overlooked opportunities in commodities and global markets.
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Recording Date 3-30-2026. In this episode, he lays out a stark and urgent macro view shaped by geopolitical escalation and energy supply disruptions. He argues that the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea dynamics now dominate global markets, warning that the loss of critical oil flows could destabilize the entire world economy. Polomny frames the current situation as part of a broader era of systemic volatility tied to geopolitical conflict and fifth-generation warfare.
He explains how constrained energy flows are already triggering cascading effects across fuel, fertilizer, and food systems, with severe consequences for global supply chains and emerging economies. Polomny highlights how oil shortages, rising fertilizer costs, and disrupted planting cycles could lead to widespread economic pain and even political instability. From an investment perspective, he emphasizes that this is no longer a traditional market but a high-risk trading environment driven by headlines and policy shifts. He concludes that while short-term conditions are dangerous, major long-term opportunities will emerge, particularly in commodities and hard assets once the crisis stabilizes.
 
Key Insights in this episode
✅ The Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea disruptions are now the most critical drivers of global markets
✅ A loss of 10 to 20 percent of global oil supply could halt economic activity worldwide
✅ Fertilizer and energy shortages may trigger a global food crisis and political instability
✅ Current market conditions are highly volatile and favor traders over long-term investors
✅ Gold is declining due to rising real interest rates and liquidity demand, not fundamentals
✅ Long-term outlook favors commodities and gold due to monetary expansion and debt growth
 
Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful / Affiliates:
Technical Analysis Series 
Rule Symposium 2026
Rule Classroom (Free) 
Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 
TradingView (Free)
Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)
Uranium Insider Newsletter
 
Chapters
00:00 Big Picture Macro Outlook
01:05 Global Crisis And Energy Shock
03:42 Strait Disruptions And Oil Flows
07:06 Iran Strategy And Escalation Risks
16:38 Global Impact On Food And Energy
21:48 Commodities And Investment Strategy
27:58 Gold Sell Off Explained
33:25 Where To Follow John Polomny
 
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, the show may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion. I recommend them because they are helpful and useful, not because I am looking for the small commission. Thank you for using the links.
 
#JohnPolomny #OilCrisis #EnergyMarkets #Commodities #GlobalEconomy #MacroInvesting #GoldMarket #Inflation #Geopolitics #FertilizerCrisis #FoodShortage #OilPrices #InvestingStrategy #MarketCrash #ResourceStocks #EnergyCrisis #GlobalTrade #SupplyChain #MacroTrends #HardAssets #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt

In this week's Monday Market Moves, I break down what I am seeing across the markets after another rough week for equities and a growing list of important setups in commodities.
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Recorded on 3-27-2026. I explain why I believe the S&P 500 is breaking down technically after falling 2.1 percent and why I think we could still see a move toward $6,100 or even $6,000 in the near term. I also cover the 16 percent jump in the VIX, the move in the dollar, and the steady rise in the 10-year yield as signals that fear and pressure are still building under the surface. Throughout the first half of the episode, I make the case that weakness in stocks is becoming more pronounced while selective opportunities are beginning to emerge in hard assets.
I spend a big part of this episode on gold because I believe its recent touch of the 200-day moving average is a major event in an ongoing bull market and could become an important long-term buying signal. I also explain why silver may bounce early next week even though I still expect another correction before the next major push higher. Beyond precious metals, I stay constructive on uranium, where I believe current levels are attractive for both physical uranium exposure and uranium miners, while oil remains the most conflicted market on my screen because bearish technicals are clashing with bullish geopolitical fundamentals. I close by warning that Bitcoin still looks vulnerable to me, with support near $62,000, resistance near $76,000, and a broader structure that suggests more downside may still be ahead.
 
Key Insights in this episode
✅ S&P 500 down 2.1% breaking key support with downside targets near 6,000 and 4,825
✅ VIX up 16% signaling rising market fear and volatility expansion
✅ U.S. dollar up 0.7% but expected to weaken after resistance near 100.4
✅ Gold down 1.8% but bullish after touching 200-day moving average with support at 4,350
✅ Silver up 0.2% short-term upside but likely correction toward 200-day average near 56
✅ Copper up 2.2% but bearish pattern suggests pullback toward long-term support
✅ Uranium up 0.5% with 80 million pounds removed from supply tightening market significantly
✅ Oil WTI up 1.4% with bearish charts but strong geopolitical bullish fundamentals
✅ Natural gas down 0.1% holding trendline with ETF stretched far above key averages
✅ Platinum down 4.2% hitting 200-day average with confirmation still needed
✅ Nickel up 0.9% forming bullish structure but recession risk remains
✅ Bitcoin down 2.6% with bearish flag targeting support near 62,000
Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful / Affiliates:
Technical Analysis Series 
Rule Symposium 2026
Rule Classroom (Free) 
Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 
TradingView (Free)
Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)
Uranium Insider Newsletter
 
Chapters
00:00 S&P 500 Technical Collapse
04:20 Gold Key Support And Outlook
10:36 Silver Outlook And Resistance Levels
15:35 Copper Bearish Setup
16:24 Uranium Supply Shock
18:48 Oil Market Divergence
22:34 Natural Gas Volatility
24:13 Coal Market Trends
24:58 Platinum And Palladium Weakness
26:38 Nickel Bullish Setup
29:28 Bitcoin Bearish Structure
30:22 Closing Thoughts And Strategy
 
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, the show may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion. I recommend them because they are helpful and useful, not because I am looking for the small commission. Thank you for using the links.
 
#SP500 #VIX #Gold #Silver #Copper #Uranium #OilMarkets #BitcoinCrash #MacroTrends #StockMarketCrash #Commodities #Inflation #Recession #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #EnergyMarkets #CryptoMarkets #MarketVolatility #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt

David Skarica, a veteran contrarian investor and author known for his macro market insights, returns to break down the current state of global markets amid rising geopolitical tensions and shifting monetary expectations.
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 Recording Date 3-24-2026. In this episode, David explains how recent moves in gold, silver, and oil reflect deeper structural changes rather than short-term noise. Drawing from decades of experience studying market cycles and investor psychology, Skarica highlights why he moved heavily into cash and defensive positioning. He also shares how sentiment, speculation, and global liquidity are driving unusual behavior across asset classes. This episode sets the stage for a potential turning point in markets.
Skarica dives deeper into the implications of a possible equity market correction, arguing that gold and silver may continue consolidating before their next major breakout. He outlines a scenario where rising oil prices and persistent deficits force central banks into a difficult position between inflation and recession. According to him, a liquidity crisis could trigger aggressive monetary easing, which would ultimately fuel a powerful rally in precious metals. He also emphasizes structural issues like declining foreign demand for U.S. debt and geopolitical instability reshaping energy markets. The conversation concludes with tactical insights on positioning, highlighting selective re-entry into oversold assets while maintaining caution.
 
Key Insights in this episode
✅ Skarica moved 70 to 75 percent into cash expecting a market shakeout driven by geopolitical risk
✅ S&P 500 key breakdown level near 6500 could trigger accelerated downside and volatility spike
✅ Gold and silver may decline further short term due to liquidity stress before a major breakout
✅ Massive US deficits and rising debt costs remain the strongest long-term bullish driver for gold
✅ Oil prices may be artificially suppressed despite tight physical supply and geopolitical tensions
✅ Copper and energy transition demand could rise despite recession due to EV and infrastructure shifts
Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful / Affiliates:
Technical Analysis Series 
Rule Symposium 2026
Rule Classroom (Free) 
Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 
TradingView (Free)
Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)
Uranium Insider Newsletter
 
Chapters
00:00 David Skarica Joins the Show
03:17 S&P 500 Chart and Market Breakdown Risk
08:28 Gold Outlook and Short Term Weakness
13:57 Aveeno Silver Entry and Oversold Setup
18:48 Gold Chart Levels and Consolidation View
23:05 Silver Chart and Long Term Support
26:12 JP Morgan Silver Price Impact Debate
28:46 Copper Chart Recession Versus EV Demand
32:08 Oil Outlook and Transocean Analysis
34:04 Where to Follow David Skarica
 
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, the show may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion. I recommend them because they are helpful and useful, not because I am looking for the small commission. Thank you for using the links.
 
#DavidSkarica #Gold #Silver #Oil #StockMarket #Macro #Investing #Commodities #Inflation #Recession #FederalReserve #DebtCrisis #SP500 #VIX #Copper #EnergyStocks #Geopolitics #MarketCrash #Trading #Wealth #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt

In this week's Monday Market Moves, I walked through a broad breakdown of the markets, starting with the S&P 500, which fell 1.9% and confirmed a continued downtrend after failing at the 200-day moving average.
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Recorded on 3-20-2026. I explained why I expect further downside toward the 6,000–6,100 range as volatility remains elevated and yields move higher. I also highlighted weakness in the dollar and how macro factors like global tensions and liquidity pressures are influencing market direction. Overall, my outlook for equities in the near term remains bearish, with key resistance and support levels clearly defined.

In commodities, I covered sharp declines across gold and silver, both of which are now trending lower with strong downside momentum and likely heading toward major support zones and their 200-day averages. I pointed out a potential bounce setup in copper at its 200-day moving average, while uranium continues to weaken short term despite strong structural fundamentals. In energy, oil remains indecisive with a bearish tilt, while natural gas and coal appear stretched and due for pullbacks. I also discussed continued weakness in platinum and palladium, a bullish setup forming in nickel, and a potential short-term rebound in Bitcoin as momentum begins to shift.
 
Key Insights in this episode
✅ S&P 500 fell 1.9%, confirming a downtrend below support
✅ VIX down 1.5%, volatility easing slightly
✅ U.S. dollar down 1%, testing lower support levels
✅ Gold down 9.6%, sharp breakdown toward key support
✅ Silver down 14.4%, strong downside momentum continues
✅ Copper down 6.6%, hitting the 200-day moving average
✅ Uranium down 2.9%, equities nearing key buy zones
✅ Oil down 0.5%, showing indecision with bearish bias
✅ Natural gas up 1.2%, modest upside but stretched
✅ Coal mixed, thermal +8.5% while met coal flat
✅ Platinum down 3.5%, palladium down 8.5%, bearish setups
✅ Nickel down 1.1%, forming a bullish continuation pattern
✅ Bitcoin down 3%, showing signs of a short-term bounce
Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful / Affiliates:
Technical Analysis Series 
Rule Symposium 2026
Rule Classroom (Free) 
Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 
TradingView (Free)
Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)
Uranium Insider Newsletter
 
Chapters
00:00 S&P 500, Dollar & Yields
02:40 Gold Breakdown & Support
09:33 Silver Selloff & Miners
15:47 Copper at 200-Day Support
18:59 Uranium Price & Buy Zone
21:19 Oil Outlook & War Risk
24:11 Natural Gas Near Reversal
24:43 Coal Stalls at Resistance
25:55 Platinum & Palladium Weak
30:00 Nickel Bullish Setup
31:54 Bitcoin Bounce Setup
32:43 Outro & Premium Service
 
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, the show may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion. I recommend them because they are helpful and useful, not because I am looking for the small commission. Thank you for using the links.
 
#CommodityInvesting #Gold #Silver #Copper #Oil #NatGas #Uranium #Bitcoin #SP500 #EnergyStocks #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt