The Exchange

The yield on 10-year notes hitting the highest level since 2007 ahead of the Fed decision. Jefferies’ David Zervos expects a more dovish Warsh and says the market is wrong on rates. Plus, prediction markets are already scoring this NFL season.

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After Anthropic’s Dario Amodei calls to “pace the frontier” on AI, one of the researchers who discovered OpenAI’s hack of a German website says slowing U.S. model development will also curb China. Jefferies’ Chief Economist makes the case for a December rate cut. Plus, the billionaire founder of Groupon and CEO of Tempus AI on how AI is changing healthcare.

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JPMorgan’s Michael Feroli raising his rate hike forecast to two this year after inflation comes in slightly hotter than expected. What record high diesel prices mean for the US economy. Plus, 41-year New York Stock Exchange veteran Peter Tuchman reflects on the 25th anniversary of the September 11 attacks.

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Yields continue higher, and on the heels of a strong 30-year bond auction, Rick Santelli says it’s “war, not Warsh” moving rates. Real Macro’s Jeff Currie on the “toxic” double-trade pushing oil prices higher. Plus, President Trump’s $5,000 midterm ‘dividend.’

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West Texas crude reapproaching $100 a barrel, and while Middle East tensions are ramping, Rapidan’s Bob McNally says China is also playing a big role in driving up prices this time around. We talk to the CEO of AGCO as retaliatory Canadian tariffs going into effect on U.S. goods like dairy and ag equipment. Plus, whether a 25 basis point rate hike at the next Fed meeting would do more harm than good.

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