The laws of macro investing are being re-written, and investors who fail to adapt to the rapidly changing monetary environment will struggle to keep pace. Felix...
In this episode, Le Shrub joins the show to discuss the end of American exceptionalism, overexposure to Mag7 and the US dollar, and European allocators moving away from the United States. We also delve into the era of geographic diversification, the detox period in the US to lower the 10-year and more. Enjoy!
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Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv
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Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on Ledger.com.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:02) The End of American Exceptionalism
(03:28) Trump Policies and European Response
(08:45) China's DeepSeek Moment
(13:00) Ledger Ad
(13:45) US vs. Europe
(22:52) The Role of Hedge Funds and Pension Funds
(32:53) Ledger Ad
(33:37) The Role of Hedge Funds and Pension Funds (Con't)
(35:51) US Market Flexibility vs. European Rigidity
(37:07) Risks and Opportunities in Europe
(44:51) Trading the US Detox Period
(50:26) Bond Market vs Fiscal Policies
(58:09) Final Thoughts & Main Takeaways
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
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1:00:00
The Secret To Maintaining Dollar Dominance | Joseph Wang & Austin Campbell LIVE @ DAS
In this episode, Joseph Wang and Austin Campbell join the show to discuss their overview of macro after the latest FOMC meeting, the EM-ification of the United States, and how stablecoins play into the continuation of US dollar hegemony. We also delve into support for stablecoin legislation, the case against the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve & US sovereign wealth fund, and more. Enjoy!
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Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125
—
Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv
__
Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on Ledger.com.
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:11) Macro & Crypto Colliding
(01:09) Overview of Macro and FOMC Meeting
(04:25) US EM-ification
(09:39) Ledger Ad
(10:23) What is Good Fiscal & Monetary Policy?
(13:55) Stablecoins and US Treasury Demand
(19:01) Stablecoin Legislation
(23:44) Reinventing Money Market Funds
(24:29) Ledger Ad
(32:58) Strategic Bitcoin Reserve & Sovereign Wealth Fund
(36:54) Final Thoughts
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
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38:47
How To Position For 2025 | Jonah Van Bourg & Avi Felman LIVE from DAS
In this episode, Jonah and Avi from 1000x join the show to discuss Bitcoin vs altcoin inflows, the Trump impact on markets, and the bull case for Bitcoin. We also delve into global liquidity, how to position for 2025, and more. Enjoy!
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Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx
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Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125
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Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
00:30 BTC vs Alt Inflows
08:46 The Trump Impact On Markets
16:14 Why Have Markets Sold Off?
20:14 The Bull Case For Bitcoin
23:09 Global Liquidity
26:13 How To Position In 2025?
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
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32:31
The Fed & Treasury Aren’t Backing Down | Weekly Roundup LIVE @ DAS
This week, we discuss takeaways from the FOMC meeting and SEP, the balance of Treasury and fiscal policy, and how a strategic Bitcoin reserve and stablecoins play into the United States’ goals. We also delve into the US sovereign wealth fund, our highest conviction trades, and more. Enjoy!
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Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx
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Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125
—
Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:08) FOMC Meeting Insights
(05:46) Treasury and Fiscal Policy
(10:26) Global Economic Dynamics
(20:06) Digital Assets and Crypto Market
(24:48) US Sovereign Wealth Fund
(30:20) Digital Asset Big Picture
(34:01) Highest Conviction Trades
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
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39:33
The U.S. Debt Crisis: Why Growth Is the Only Solution | Mohamed El-Erian Pt. 2 LIVE @ DAS
In this episode, Mohamed El-Erian joins the show to discuss his Fed & QT expectations, his outlook for inflation, and the four ways the government can solve its debt problem. We also delve into stablecoins buying US debt, Bitcoin’s potential as a neutral reserve asset for global trade, the sputnik moment in Europe, and more. Enjoy!
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Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx
—
Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125
—
Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv
__
Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on Ledger.com.
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:10) Expectations for the Fed
(02:47) Inflation Expectations
(09:38) Ledger Ad
(10:25) Tariffs & Growth
(13:20) Debt Dynamics and Fiscal Policies
(22:31) Stablecoins and Digital Assets
(25:12) Ledger Ad
(28:31) Bitcoin as a Neutral Reserve Asset
(33:00) Europe's Sputnik Moment
(37:39) Final Thoughts
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
The laws of macro investing are being re-written, and investors who fail to adapt to the rapidly changing monetary environment will struggle to keep pace. Felix Jauvin interviews the brightest minds in finance about which asset classes they think will thrive in the financial future that they envision.
Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc
Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ForwardGuidanceBW
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx